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Issues with the IHME model.

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28 Posts 7 Posters 472 Views

G George K

@Loki said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME has been updated.
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Loki

wrote on last edited by

#18

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

@Loki said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME has been updated.

Florida should not be ignored just because it is inconvenient politically. Who cares if the GOP was “asleep the wheel” and didn’t apply the social distancing as coronavirus as spreading rapidly.There is real information in a different result that we can learn from.
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George K

wrote on last edited by

#19

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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jon-nyc

wrote on last edited by

#20

I think we’ll only see that low a number if there’s significant seasonality in transmission.
Only non-witches get due process.

Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
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G George K

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.
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jon-nyc

wrote on last edited by

#21

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

We'll hit that number in May.
Only non-witches get due process.

Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
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J jon-nyc

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

We'll hit that number in May.
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George K

wrote on last edited by

#22

@jon-nyc yup.
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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Mik

wrote on last edited by

#23

Models are just that models, based on assumptions that may or may not be correct. And in this case we are flying very, very blind.
“I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill
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George K

wrote on last edited by

#24

Updated again. 135K...

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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89th

wrote on last edited by

#25

Brings it back to the 100-250k range
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J jon-nyc

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

We'll hit that number in May.
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jon-nyc

wrote on last edited by

#26

@jon-nyc said in Issues with the IHME model.:

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

IHME is now predicting 74K deaths by Aug 4.

We'll hit that number in May.

May 7th, to be exact.
Only non-witches get due process.

Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
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G George K

Updated again. 135K...

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
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George K

wrote on last edited by

#27

@George-K said in Issues with the IHME model.:

Updated again. 147K...

https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
1 Reply Last reply
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jon-nyc

wrote on last edited by

#28

I suspect we’ll hit that by the first week of June.

Unless seasonality saves us.
Only non-witches get due process.

Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
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