US has a shitload of cases
-
I would love for the Tibco estimates to be true.
I keep meaning to look into the calculations with more detail.
The reason I'm skeptical is the study from Wuhan and the study form Imperial College re Europe. Those were deep dives (which I've yet to fully dive into myself) into estimating R0 in countries that are ahead of us and/or did a stiricter lockdown. And they we not likely there.
I worry the tibco calculations are less rigorous, something arithmetically generated with each new day's data. But I don't know enough yet.
-
But to answer your question 89, look here and scroll down. The site is pretty nonfunctional on mobile devices.
-
Great site. Got better as I dug into each section, thanks!
@Aqua-Letifer What do you mean we're ever going to get there. I'd imagine very soon (in the next 2-3 weeks) we'll have fewer cases "today" than there were "yesterday" on a consistent basis.
-
@jon-nyc said in US has a shitload of cases:
209,071 14% increase. Deaths 4633 up 25%
238,820, 14% increase. Deaths 5758, up 24%."
331,234, 11.5% daily* increase. Deaths 9458, 18% daily* increase.
364,723, 10% increase. Deaths 10,689, 13% increase.
386,817, 6% increase. Deaths 12,285 15% increase.
423,135 9% increase. Deaths 14,390 17% increase.
454,305 7.3% increase. Deaths 16,267 13% increase.
550,016 6.6% daily increase. Deaths 21,994 10.6% daily increase.
577,307 5% increase. Deaths 23,219 up 5.6%
632,878 4.7% daily increase. Deaths 27,850 9.5% daily increase.
658,263 4% increase. Deaths 32,186 up 15.6%692,169 5.2% increase. Deaths 32,232 up 0.14% increase. I'm thinking yesterday's number was wrong???
-
@jon-nyc said in US has a shitload of cases:
331,234, 11.5% daily* increase. Deaths 9458, 18% daily* increase.
364,723, 10% increase. Deaths 10,689, 13% increase.
386,817, 6% increase. Deaths 12,285 15% increase.
423,135 9% increase. Deaths 14,390 17% increase.
454,305 7.3% increase. Deaths 16,267 13% increase.
550,016 6.6% daily increase. Deaths 21,994 10.6% daily increase.
577,307 5% increase. Deaths 23,219 up 5.6%
632,878 4.7% daily increase. Deaths 27,850 9.5% daily increase.
658,263 4% increase. Deaths 32,186 up 15.6%
692,169 5.2% increase. Deaths 32,232 up 0.14% increase.726,645 5% increase. Deaths 37,938 up 17.7%
At what point does a flat % increase go from being mildly encouraging to mildly concerning?
-
I’m not terribly surprised. I think my community is better than most, and I still am surprised at how cavalier some people are.
I commented to Aqua the other day that my biggest concern was a long drawn out stretch at 5%.
-
@jon-nyc said in US has a shitload of cases:
364,723, 10% increase. Deaths 10,689, 13% increase.
386,817, 6% increase. Deaths 12,285 15% increase.
423,135 9% increase. Deaths 14,390 17% increase.
454,305 7.3% increase. Deaths 16,267 13% increase.
550,016 6.6% daily increase. Deaths 21,994 10.6% daily increase.
577,307 5% increase. Deaths 23,219 up 5.6%
632,878 4.7% daily increase. Deaths 27,850 9.5% daily increase.
658,263 4% increase. Deaths 32,186 up 15.6%
692,169 5.2% increase. Deaths 32,232 up 0.14% increase.
726,645 5% increase. Deaths 37,938 up 17.7%755,533 4% increase. Deaths 40,461 up 6.7%
-
@jon-nyc said in US has a shitload of cases:
386,817, 6% increase. Deaths 12,285 15% increase.
423,135 9% increase. Deaths 14,390 17% increase.
454,305 7.3% increase. Deaths 16,267 13% increase.
550,016 6.6% daily increase. Deaths 21,994 10.6% daily increase.
577,307 5% increase. Deaths 23,219 up 5.6%
632,878 4.7% daily increase. Deaths 27,850 9.5% daily increase.
658,263 4% increase. Deaths 32,186 up 15.6%
692,169 5.2% increase. Deaths 32,232 up 0.14% increase.
726,645 5% increase. Deaths 37,938 up 17.7%
755,533 4% increase. Deaths 40,461 up 6.7%820,104. 4.2% increase. Deaths 44,228 up 4.6%
-
@jon-nyc said in US has a shitload of cases:
454,305 7.3% increase. Deaths 16,267 13% increase.
550,016 6.6% daily increase. Deaths 21,994 10.6% daily increase.
577,307 5% increase. Deaths 23,219 up 5.6%
632,878 4.7% daily increase. Deaths 27,850 9.5% daily increase.
658,263 4% increase. Deaths 32,186 up 15.6%
692,169 5.2% increase. Deaths 32,232 up 0.14% increase.
726,645 5% increase. Deaths 37,938 up 17.7%
755,533 4% increase. Deaths 40,461 up 6.7%
820,104. 4.2% increase. Deaths 44,228 up 4.6%846,982 3.3% increase. Deaths 46,560 up 5.3%
-
@jon-nyc said in US has a shitload of cases:
454,305 7.3% increase. Deaths 16,267 13% increase.
550,016 6.6% daily increase. Deaths 21,994 10.6% daily increase.
577,307 5% increase. Deaths 23,219 up 5.6%
632,878 4.7% daily increase. Deaths 27,850 9.5% daily increase.
658,263 4% increase. Deaths 32,186 up 15.6%
692,169 5.2% increase. Deaths 32,232 up 0.14% increase.
726,645 5% increase. Deaths 37,938 up 17.7%
755,533 4% increase. Deaths 40,461 up 6.7%
820,104. 4.2% increase. Deaths 44,228 up 4.6%
846,982 3.3% increase. Deaths 46,560 up 5.3%890,524, 2.5% increase. Deaths 51,017 up up 4.7%.
-
@jon-nyc said in US has a shitload of cases:
550,016 6.6% daily increase. Deaths 21,994 10.6% daily increase.
577,307 5% increase. Deaths 23,219 up 5.6%
632,878 4.7% daily increase. Deaths 27,850 9.5% daily increase.
658,263 4% increase. Deaths 32,186 up 15.6%
692,169 5.2% increase. Deaths 32,232 up 0.14% increase.
726,645 5% increase. Deaths 37,938 up 17.7%
755,533 4% increase. Deaths 40,461 up 6.7%
820,104. 4.2% increase. Deaths 44,228 up 4.6%
846,982 3.3% increase. Deaths 46,560 up 5.3%
890,524, 2.5% increase. Deaths 51,017 up up 4.7%.963,168 4% increase. Deaths 54,530 up 3.4%.
89, I think unfortunately your 1MM by may 1 will come true. That's less than 1% a day.
We'll probably hit it Tuesday if not tomorrow.
-
Yes we did.
@jon-nyc said in US has a shitload of cases:
632,878 4.7% daily increase. Deaths 27,850 9.5% daily increase.
658,263 4% increase. Deaths 32,186 up 15.6%
692,169 5.2% increase. Deaths 32,232 up 0.14% increase.
726,645 5% increase. Deaths 37,938 up 17.7%
755,533 4% increase. Deaths 40,461 up 6.7%
820,104. 4.2% increase. Deaths 44,228 up 4.6%
846,982 3.3% increase. Deaths 46,560 up 5.3%
890,524, 2.5% increase. Deaths 51,017 up up 4.7%.
963,168 4% increase. Deaths 54,530 up 3.4%.1,010,717. 2.4% increase. Deaths 58,365 up 3.5%
-
We lost more people to COVID-19 in the past 3 months than we did soldiers during the entire Vietnam War.
WWII I believe is the next benchmark. I think we have a very decent chance of meeting it.