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I don't think the data from 3 weeks ago support these numbers either.
All of this points out that cumulative numbers may or may not apply to your particular situation.
The CDC is certainly attracting attention with its new model.
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/05/22/860981956/scientists-say-new-lower-cdc-estimates-for-severity-of-covid-19-are-optimistic
So it is what the CDC is saying but I guess now we are learning the CDC is NOT to be trusted.
When analyzing data, my boss sometimes says 'But does it pass the giggle test?'
I rather feel that this data doesn't.