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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. CDC COVID case fatality rate

CDC COVID case fatality rate

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  • LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins Dad
    wrote on last edited by
    #18

    That’s the problem when you try to apply a national average (and I’m not agreeing to the national average or the math that brought us to that number) to a localized outbreak. Especially for a disease that seems to have several strains of various magnitude.

    I am suggesting that a 1% CFR in NYC is plausible and it’s plausible for other outbreaks to have a lower CFR. But bringing it down to.26% seems difficult to believe!

    The Brad

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    • jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by
      #19

      Right but also it’s not just any localized outbreak. It is the main outbreak, still accounting for 1/5 of cases and deaths in the US.

      Seems like you can’t really say “my model is what’s really going on, that stuff in NYC? Not sure what’s up with that. Must be an aberration”.

      Only non-witches get due process.

      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
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      • ? Offline
        ? Offline
        A Former User
        wrote on last edited by
        #20
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        • HoraceH Offline
          HoraceH Offline
          Horace
          wrote on last edited by
          #21

          I don't think the data from 3 weeks ago support these numbers either.

          Education is extremely important.

          ? 1 Reply Last reply
          • L Loki

            Okay, I didn’t read it wrong. The CDC is wrong. That’s the suggestion, right?

            ? Offline
            ? Offline
            A Former User
            wrote on last edited by
            #22
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            • HoraceH Horace

              I don't think the data from 3 weeks ago support these numbers either.

              ? Offline
              ? Offline
              A Former User
              wrote on last edited by A Former User
              #23
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              • MikM Away
                MikM Away
                Mik
                wrote on last edited by
                #24

                All of this points out that cumulative numbers may or may not apply to your particular situation.

                “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

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                • L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Loki
                  wrote on last edited by Loki
                  #25

                  The CDC is certainly attracting attention with its new model.

                  https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/05/22/860981956/scientists-say-new-lower-cdc-estimates-for-severity-of-covid-19-are-optimistic

                  So it is what the CDC is saying but I guess now we are learning the CDC is NOT to be trusted.

                  ? 1 Reply Last reply
                  • L Loki

                    The CDC is certainly attracting attention with its new model.

                    https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/05/22/860981956/scientists-say-new-lower-cdc-estimates-for-severity-of-covid-19-are-optimistic

                    So it is what the CDC is saying but I guess now we are learning the CDC is NOT to be trusted.

                    ? Offline
                    ? Offline
                    A Former User
                    wrote on last edited by A Former User
                    #26
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                    • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                      Doctor Phibes
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #27

                      When analyzing data, my boss sometimes says 'But does it pass the giggle test?'

                      I rather feel that this data doesn't.

                      I was only joking

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