Calling the States

[Loki]

@nobodyssock said in Calling the States:

Correct me if I'm wrong but looking at the maps there are 7 states that are still in doubt:

NV - 6 Biden lead
AZ - 11 Biden lead
WI - 10 Biden lead
MI - 16 Biden lead

PA - 20 Trump lead
NC - 15 Trump lead
GA - 16 Trump lead

So Biden has 227 votes to Trump's 213 at this moment.

If leads are maintained in all of these undecided states, my math puts Biden right at 270 and Trump at 264.

Yeah, this won't be sorted out for weeks.

It’s over already except for the formalization

[LuFins Dad]

[George K]

[LuFins Dad]

I lost track, how is James doing?

[George K]

@LuFins-Dad said in Calling the States:

I lost track, how is James doing?

Leading by 10K (soon to be 15K) votes.

[LuFins Dad]

I am wondering why the media outlets aren’t calling Michigan yet?

[Axtremus]

@LuFins-Dad said in Calling the States:

I am wondering why the media outlets aren’t calling Michigan yet?

More eyeballs, more clicks.

[Klaus]

If I understand correctly, Biden would be at exactly 270 if everything goes as it is currently projected.

However, only 67% are counted in Nevada right now, and it's pretty close. Is there a realistic chance that Nevada could turn around and give Trump the necessary votes?

[jon-nyc]

It's possible, a little more so since Trump over-performed among Latinos.

But that possibility doesn't seem to be animating the knowledgable election watchers. Even that GOP-leaning polling firm that called FL, MN, MI etc for Trump predicts a Biden win there.

[jon-nyc]

There's still a decent chance Biden could pull ahead in PA.

Almost by definition the counties that take the longest to count are the populous ones, where Biden has commanding leads.

[jon-nyc]

The betting odds favor Biden in PA.

https://www.electionbettingodds.com

[Copper]

Now we'll see which side planned ahead.

Then we'll see how fast the other side can catch up.

Will we get a concession speech before or after Thanksgiving?

[jon-nyc]

CNN called WI.

A little anti-climactic since Stepien effectively called it 2 hrs ago.

[Jolly]

@xenon said in Calling the States:

@LuFins-Dad I think you're underappreciating how much the new media landscape has broken the dominance of traditional media. (and this will continue to be the trend)

It's the same thing that led to wokeness / mass protests without even a figurehead.

51% of Americans get their news online, 35% from tv, 9% from radio and 5% from print media. Many of those online are visiting sites such as NYT or CNN.

If the vast majority of all types of media were biased against Trump (they were), how does this effect the vote? If Biden is elected, it is in large part due to media bias and Trump's personality. The media has helped elect a dementia patient as POTUS.

But, there is a silver lining. A Biden presidency is going to be a disaster, if he follows through on his promises.

[Copper]

The msm won't let Mr. Biden do anything wrong.

They can guarantee it.

He is all set.

And the Harris presidency is even more iron clad.

What racist misogynist will dare say a discouraging word?

[Axtremus]

Small town democracy.

[LuFins Dad]

ABC just retracted their call for Arizona and put it back into toss/up.

[Klaus]

If this ends up 270:268, how likely would it be that one or a few faithless electors would appear?

[Doctor Phibes]

American elections are like NASCAR (the alternative to motor racing) - the rules are tailored to guarantee the maximum amount of uncertainty so that it isn't until right at the end that some guy who doesn't appear to be quite all there is declared the ultimate victor.

[George K]