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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread

The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread

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  • Doctor PhibesD Online
    Doctor PhibesD Online
    Doctor Phibes
    wrote last edited by
    #1011

    If he wasn't teetotal I'd honestly be convinced he got shit-faced most afternoons.

    I was only joking

    1 Reply Last reply
    • 89th8 89th

      Is NATO even required to act if the "attack" is from a country (i.e., Iran) responding to an attack by a NATO member (i.e., USA)? And further, isn't Article 5 limited in that attacks in Asia and Africa don't count?

      W Do not disturb
      W Do not disturb
      Wim
      wrote last edited by
      #1012

      @89th Well, Turkey is actually more Asian than European (in square km).

      1 Reply Last reply
      • 89th8 89th

        Is NATO even required to act if the "attack" is from a country (i.e., Iran) responding to an attack by a NATO member (i.e., USA)? And further, isn't Article 5 limited in that attacks in Asia and Africa don't count?

        RenaudaR Offline
        RenaudaR Offline
        Renauda
        wrote last edited by Renauda
        #1013

        @89th said:

        Is NATO even required to act if the "attack" is from a country (i.e., Iran) responding to an attack by a NATO member (i.e., USA)? And further, isn't Article 5 limited in that attacks in Asia and Africa don't count?

        Fairly straightforward although a unanimous decision of the member states offers flexibility:

        Key Limitations and Scope of Article 5
        Geographic Limitations: Per Article 6, the treaty covers territory in Europe or North America, the Mediterranean Sea, or the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer.

        Outside Territory & Entities: It does not automatically apply to attacks on bases or territories outside the defined geographical area, such as the Falkland Islands conflict.

        No Automatic War Trigger: Article 5 does not mean an immediate automatic military response. Instead, each ally determines "such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area".

        Collective Decision Making: The determination that an event qualifies as a triggering incident is made by the 32 member countries acting together via the North Atlantic Council.

        Not for Domestic Issues: Purely domestic acts of terrorism or internal armed conflict generally do not trigger Article 5, as the incident must have an international dimension.

        Threshold of Attacks: It requires an "armed attack" by a state actor, though recent interpretations include serious, large-scale cyberattacks or hybrid attacks.

        Not for Non-Members: The clause does not extend to non-NATO countries, such as Ukraine, regardless of their proximity to the conflict zone.

        Exceptions and Nuances

        First Use Example: It was invoked for the first time by the United States following the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.

        Expanded Scope: NATO leaders have clarified that Article 5 can cover attacks to, from, or within space, and hybrid actions like cyberattacks.

        Spillover Risks: Attacks causing death or destruction across the border of a NATO ally, or causing significant harm to a member, can be interpreted as an armed attack by the council.

        In conclusion, Trump is in way over his head and, like any banal narcissist, is looking to blame others for his ineptitude.

        Elbows up!

        1 Reply Last reply
        • A Offline
          A Offline
          AndyD
          wrote last edited by
          #1014

          He has a fascinating way of speaking, a confident contradictory rambling style. I was just trying to compose something in Trumpian style:

          We're working hard unleashing hell on the lunatic nation. Let me be quite clear it's still an existential threat; but I feel it in my bones their military is decimated and we've won, and it's a beautiful thing, yes, a beautiful thing.

          (🙄 I used to think management speak was bollocks and he's right up there)

          Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
          • MikM Mik

            A tortured view of NATO's purpose.

            Doctor PhibesD Online
            Doctor PhibesD Online
            Doctor Phibes
            wrote last edited by
            #1015

            @Mik said:

            A tortured view of NATO's purpose.

            I'm a little surprised he hasn't asked his Board of Peace to step up.

            I was only joking

            1 Reply Last reply
            • A AndyD

              He has a fascinating way of speaking, a confident contradictory rambling style. I was just trying to compose something in Trumpian style:

              We're working hard unleashing hell on the lunatic nation. Let me be quite clear it's still an existential threat; but I feel it in my bones their military is decimated and we've won, and it's a beautiful thing, yes, a beautiful thing.

              (🙄 I used to think management speak was bollocks and he's right up there)

              Doctor PhibesD Online
              Doctor PhibesD Online
              Doctor Phibes
              wrote last edited by
              #1016

              @AndyD said:

              ( I used to think management speak was bollocks and he's right up there)

              He'd never hold down a CEO position for a company he didn't own rambling on like that.

              I was only joking

              1 Reply Last reply
              • RenaudaR Offline
                RenaudaR Offline
                Renauda
                wrote last edited by
                #1017

                Vlad Vexler on Trump’s latest post truth meltdowns:

                Link to video

                Elbows up!

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                  #1018

                  At some point even many of those against the war will see the need to carry on.

                  BlackRock CEO Larry Fink: "If the war stops but Iran remains a threat… we could face oil above $100, even near $150 for years."

                  Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote last edited by
                    #1019

                    Nate is tracking support for the war. He says that by and large Americans don't support the war unless they're MAGA voters (notwithstanding the loss of some of the influencer population per @horace). So that 39% is probably maga+neocons for the most part.

                    Screenshot 2026-03-26 at 2.36.26 PM.png

                    Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote last edited by
                      #1020

                      I see this breaking news and my first thought is, how does it still exist one month in?

                      Not that I don’t trust the two militaries to prioritize targets, but still I’m surprised it didn’t rank high enough to be destroyed yet.

                      IRGC Joint Staff HQ under U.S. Israel Attack

                      Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • RenaudaR Offline
                        RenaudaR Offline
                        Renauda
                        wrote last edited by
                        #1021

                        Interesting, I would have thought it a target on day one of this.

                        Elbows up!

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                          #1022

                          It could also be that they thought the Iranian Delcy Rodriguez would come from there so they spared it for some time.

                          Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • RenaudaR Offline
                            RenaudaR Offline
                            Renauda
                            wrote last edited by
                            #1023

                            lol

                            Elbows up!

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote last edited by
                              #1024

                              Someone on Twitter pointed out Trump started out the year talking about affordability, then with the Iraq war, made one of the few policy decisions Trump could that would simultaneously raise gas prices and mortgage rates.

                              IMG_1237.png

                              Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                              1 Reply Last reply

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