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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread

The Iran War (was Nuclear Program) thread

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  • RenaudaR Offline
    RenaudaR Offline
    Renauda
    wrote last edited by Renauda
    #994

    Iran issues its own maximalist conditions to end the war…..

    https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cn8dldl0jx9t?post=asset%3A95cce47e-33a2-4b62-a70f-e08d18561586#post

    Seems that the Iranians were correct, Trump’s team has been negotiating these past couple of days with itself.

    Looks like there’ll be US boots on the ground sooner rather than later.

    Elbows up!

    taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
    • RenaudaR Renauda

      Iran issues its own maximalist conditions to end the war…..

      https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cn8dldl0jx9t?post=asset%3A95cce47e-33a2-4b62-a70f-e08d18561586#post

      Seems that the Iranians were correct, Trump’s team has been negotiating these past couple of days with itself.

      Looks like there’ll be US boots on the ground sooner rather than later.

      taiwan_girlT Offline
      taiwan_girlT Offline
      taiwan_girl
      wrote last edited by
      #995

      @Renauda Unfortunately, I agree.

      Of the five points mentioned in the article, #1 is the only one that would have any sort of possible of happening. Definitely compromises will probably have to be done on both sides. From a practical point of view, the US obviously is in the stronger position, but the longer this goes on, public opinion, etc. almost balances that out for the Iranians.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

        Well it’s clear the administration is negotiating with somebody there. Sounds like the people he’s talking to don’t have suppprt of some or all of the IRGC. If you recall he said he didn’t want to give a name so that the person didn’t get killed.

        It’s really hard to know what’s going on now.

        RenaudaR Offline
        RenaudaR Offline
        Renauda
        wrote last edited by Renauda
        #996

        @jon-nyc said:

        Well it’s clear the administration is negotiating with somebody there. Sounds like the people he’s talking to don’t have suppprt of some or all of the IRGC. If you recall he said he didn’t want to give a name so that the person didn’t get killed.

        It’s really hard to know what’s going on now.

        Maybe the Iranian equivalent to Rudolf Hess?

        Or maybe someone who approached Steve Witkoff through his associate Kirill Dimitriev?

        Elbows up!

        jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
        • RenaudaR Renauda

          @jon-nyc said:

          Well it’s clear the administration is negotiating with somebody there. Sounds like the people he’s talking to don’t have suppprt of some or all of the IRGC. If you recall he said he didn’t want to give a name so that the person didn’t get killed.

          It’s really hard to know what’s going on now.

          Maybe the Iranian equivalent to Rudolf Hess?

          Or maybe someone who approached Steve Witkoff through his associate Kirill Dimitriev?

          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote last edited by
          #997

          @Renauda said:

          @jon-nyc said:

          Well it’s clear the administration is negotiating with somebody there. Sounds like the people he’s talking to don’t have suppprt of some or all of the IRGC. If you recall he said he didn’t want to give a name so that the person didn’t get killed.

          It’s really hard to know what’s going on now.

          Maybe the Iranian equivalent to Rudolf Hess?

          Exactly.

          Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • RenaudaR Offline
            RenaudaR Offline
            Renauda
            wrote last edited by
            #998

            Whoever it is be rest assured Witkoff can vouch for him.

            Elbows up!

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nyc
              wrote last edited by
              #999

              Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: "The fact that they are now talking about negotiations is an admission of defeat; didn’t they claim unconditional surrender before?

              So why are they now mobilizing their top officials to negotiate?"

              Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • MikM Offline
                MikM Offline
                Mik
                wrote last edited by
                #1000

                https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/what-did-iran-give-trump-he-called-the-gift-a-very-nice-thing/ar-AA1Zof3M?cvpid=125c35425ae547f88dd2b01f439bf94e

                "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote last edited by
                  #1001

                  Interesting ‘pressure index’ created by Deutsche Bank doing a kind of technical analysis on the TACO trade.

                  IMG_1226.jpeg

                  Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • bachophileB Offline
                    bachophileB Offline
                    bachophile
                    wrote last edited by
                    #1002

                    c3d7825b-742f-4ec3-941d-2c06371264e3-image.jpeg

                    just a taste of what the day has been like, we've had about 7 missile alarms in the space of about two hours.

                    this pic, not far from my house, a couple was driving that car, there was an alarm and they parked and went into a nearby shelter, and u can see a direct hit of shrapnel thru the roof and the car went flying.

                    this makes a small little news item, "damage to car from shrapnel, no one injured"

                    its been a crazy day.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • bachophileB Offline
                      bachophileB Offline
                      bachophile
                      wrote last edited by
                      #1003

                      Here’s the action shot. It’s an Arab village not far from my town.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote last edited by
                        #1004

                        Saw that. Crazy how that car flipped around like a toy.

                        Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote last edited by
                          #1005

                          Presented without comment.

                          IMG_1229.jpeg

                          Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • MikM Offline
                            MikM Offline
                            Mik
                            wrote last edited by
                            #1006

                            A tortured view of NATO's purpose.

                            "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

                            Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                            • Doctor PhibesD Online
                              Doctor PhibesD Online
                              Doctor Phibes
                              wrote last edited by
                              #1007

                              Trump isn't the only person who will "never forget".

                              I was only joking

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • 89th8 Offline
                                89th8 Offline
                                89th
                                wrote last edited by 89th
                                #1008

                                Is NATO even required to act if the "attack" is from a country (i.e., Iran) responding to an attack by a NATO member (i.e., USA)? And further, isn't Article 5 limited in that attacks in Asia and Africa don't count?

                                W RenaudaR 2 Replies Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ Online
                                  jon-nycJ Online
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #1009

                                  We will never forget your refusal to give us help we don’t need in the war we already won.

                                  Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • 89th8 Offline
                                    89th8 Offline
                                    89th
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #1010

                                    Hahahaha so well summarized.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • Doctor PhibesD Online
                                      Doctor PhibesD Online
                                      Doctor Phibes
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #1011

                                      If he wasn't teetotal I'd honestly be convinced he got shit-faced most afternoons.

                                      I was only joking

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • 89th8 89th

                                        Is NATO even required to act if the "attack" is from a country (i.e., Iran) responding to an attack by a NATO member (i.e., USA)? And further, isn't Article 5 limited in that attacks in Asia and Africa don't count?

                                        W Offline
                                        W Offline
                                        Wim
                                        wrote last edited by
                                        #1012

                                        @89th Well, Turkey is actually more Asian than European (in square km).

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • 89th8 89th

                                          Is NATO even required to act if the "attack" is from a country (i.e., Iran) responding to an attack by a NATO member (i.e., USA)? And further, isn't Article 5 limited in that attacks in Asia and Africa don't count?

                                          RenaudaR Offline
                                          RenaudaR Offline
                                          Renauda
                                          wrote last edited by Renauda
                                          #1013

                                          @89th said:

                                          Is NATO even required to act if the "attack" is from a country (i.e., Iran) responding to an attack by a NATO member (i.e., USA)? And further, isn't Article 5 limited in that attacks in Asia and Africa don't count?

                                          Fairly straightforward although a unanimous decision of the member states offers flexibility:

                                          Key Limitations and Scope of Article 5
                                          Geographic Limitations: Per Article 6, the treaty covers territory in Europe or North America, the Mediterranean Sea, or the North Atlantic area north of the Tropic of Cancer.

                                          Outside Territory & Entities: It does not automatically apply to attacks on bases or territories outside the defined geographical area, such as the Falkland Islands conflict.

                                          No Automatic War Trigger: Article 5 does not mean an immediate automatic military response. Instead, each ally determines "such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area".

                                          Collective Decision Making: The determination that an event qualifies as a triggering incident is made by the 32 member countries acting together via the North Atlantic Council.

                                          Not for Domestic Issues: Purely domestic acts of terrorism or internal armed conflict generally do not trigger Article 5, as the incident must have an international dimension.

                                          Threshold of Attacks: It requires an "armed attack" by a state actor, though recent interpretations include serious, large-scale cyberattacks or hybrid attacks.

                                          Not for Non-Members: The clause does not extend to non-NATO countries, such as Ukraine, regardless of their proximity to the conflict zone.

                                          Exceptions and Nuances

                                          First Use Example: It was invoked for the first time by the United States following the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.

                                          Expanded Scope: NATO leaders have clarified that Article 5 can cover attacks to, from, or within space, and hybrid actions like cyberattacks.

                                          Spillover Risks: Attacks causing death or destruction across the border of a NATO ally, or causing significant harm to a member, can be interpreted as an armed attack by the council.

                                          In conclusion, Trump is in way over his head and, like any banal narcissist, is looking to blame others for his ineptitude.

                                          Elbows up!

                                          1 Reply Last reply

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