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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Flooding in Texas - 81 dead, ten little girls from a summer camp still missing…

Flooding in Texas - 81 dead, ten little girls from a summer camp still missing…

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  • jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote last edited by
    #24

    I knew magatry could be fatal for children, but I thought it was only vaccine related.

    Thank you for your attention to this matter.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • 89th8 89th

      Yup, and it was "Biden's money" they didn't want to accept. They sure showed sleepy joe!!

      https://www.reddit.com/r/texas/comments/1lwt3qb/old_video_transcript_of_kerr_county_council/

      https://www.texastribune.org/2025/07/10/texas-kerr-county-commissioners-flooding-warning/


      Read paragraph 19,21,21.

      Kerr County did not opt for ARPA to fund flood warning systems despite commissioners discussing such projects nearly two dozen times since 2016. In fact, a survey sent to residents about ARPA spending showed that 42% of the 180 responses wanted to reject the $10 million bonus altogether, largely on political grounds.

      “I’m here to ask this court today to send this money back to the Biden administration, which I consider to be the most criminal treasonous communist government ever to hold the White House,” one resident told commissioners in April 2022, fearing strings were attached to the money.

      “We don't want to be bought by the federal government, thank you very much,” another resident told commissioners. “We'd like the federal government to stay out of Kerr County and their money.”


      Obviously Trump didn't do this directly, but his rhetoric and lies about Biden caused this to an extent.

      89th8 Offline
      89th8 Offline
      89th
      wrote last edited by
      #25

      @89th said in Flooding in Texas - 81 dead, ten little girls from a summer camp still missing…:

      “We don't want to be bought by the federal government, thank you very much,” another resident told commissioners. “We'd like the federal government to stay out of Kerr County and their money.”

      ...Says the person who never travels on interstates, or flies in an airplane, or takes shelter during a tornado warning, or who eats food without worrying about its quality, or sleeps peacefully knowing we have the best military.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • 89th8 Offline
        89th8 Offline
        89th
        wrote last edited by
        #26

        Major TLDW... they didn't want to use the funds because they thought it would later require vaccines and masks.

        Link to video

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote last edited by
          #27

          Death by magatry. All those little girls.

          Thank you for your attention to this matter.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • kluursK Offline
            kluursK Offline
            kluurs
            wrote last edited by kluurs
            #28

            Aged well

            Link to video

            LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nyc
              wrote last edited by
              #29

              I still don’t understand why are magats????

              Thank you for your attention to this matter.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote last edited by
                #30

                Why would this be ‘the devils money’ while they happily cash their social security checks, drive on I-10, spend Medicare/medicaid dollars, get Pell grants for their kids, etc?

                Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • kluursK Offline
                  kluursK Offline
                  kluurs
                  wrote last edited by
                  #31

                  My understanding is that they took $10M - but just wanted to use it for their Sheriffs dept - not those damned sirens - which traditionally are louder than wind turbines.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote last edited by
                    #32

                    Heck of a job, Kristi.

                    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/11/climate/fema-missed-calls-texas-floods.html?unlocked_article_code=1.V08.44nk.vtSQBQDgIjBm&smid=url-share

                    Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • kluursK kluurs

                      Aged well

                      Link to video

                      LuFins DadL Offline
                      LuFins DadL Offline
                      LuFins Dad
                      wrote last edited by
                      #33

                      @kluurs said in Flooding in Texas - 81 dead, ten little girls from a summer camp still missing…:

                      Aged well

                      Link to video

                      While this and @jon-nyc s posts are interesting and worth consideration, it’s also worth remembering that warnings were being sent to sheriffs, county/town commissioners, fire departments WELL in advance, the NWS had issued various level of alerts including that cellphone override system. I doubt that sirens would have been heeded any more than the other warnings.

                      The Brad

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • MikM Offline
                        MikM Offline
                        Mik
                        wrote last edited by
                        #34

                        A siren just alerts you that something, God knows what, might be happening. There's no information to make a decision on. I remember in the 80's they installed these things. One was very close to my house and would go off at 3 AM if there was going to be a thunderstorm. Thanks for waking me from a sound sleep to tell me it's going to rain. I only want it to sound for Armageddon.

                        "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote last edited by
                          #35

                          Those little girls and their camp counselors would have woken up to the sirens.

                          Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                          LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                            Those little girls and their camp counselors would have woken up to the sirens.

                            LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins Dad
                            wrote last edited by
                            #36

                            @jon-nyc said in Flooding in Texas - 81 dead, ten little girls from a summer camp still missing…:

                            Those little girls and their camp counselors would have woken up to the sirens.

                            Those camp counselors were woken up by NWS alerts likely 3-4 times a summer. The failure to react this time, and not having a responsible party monitoring NWS alerts is criminal. Not having a siren system is questionable, but the lack of preparedness and responsibility on the part of the camp is simply mind boggling. Bitch all you want, but the camp has weathered and survivedmany of these flash floods over its 100 year history with no need of a siren. Small ones every year, and large ones every decade. The failure to react this time is simply gross negligence. They ignored alerts. I’m sure that after having those sirens go off a dozen times every summer they would probably ignore those as well.

                            The Brad

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote last edited by
                              #37

                              How common are false alarms with modern flood sirens

                              False alarms with modern flood sirens are relatively rare but not unheard of—typically less than 1–2% of activations in well-maintained systems. Their frequency depends on several factors:

                              ⸻

                              🔢 Estimated Frequency
                              • Well-managed systems (e.g. in the U.S., Germany, Japan):
                              • False alarms are estimated at 1 in 50 to 1 in 100 siren activations.
                              • Many systems haven’t had any false alarms in years due to improved automation, oversight, and redundancy.
                              • Older or poorly maintained systems:
                              • Rates may be higher, especially where sensor calibration or human procedures are inconsistent.
                              • Dam warning sirens (often the most robust):
                              • Have some of the lowest false alarm rates, as many require manual confirmation before sounding.

                              ⸻

                              🛠️ What Makes Them Less Common Now

                              Modern systems reduce false positives through:
                              • Sensor fusion: Multiple data points (e.g. rainfall + stream gauges) must agree before triggering.
                              • Threshold tuning: Alert thresholds are based on years of hydrological modeling, reducing “overreaction” to minor fluctuations.
                              • Fail-safes: Systems include manual review or multi-step confirmations.
                              • Smart algorithms: Some systems use AI or predictive modeling to rule out spurious triggers.

                              ⸻

                              📉 Why They Still Occasionally Happen

                              Even advanced systems can produce false alarms due to:
                              • Sudden, localized sensor spikes (e.g. a heavy storm cell over one sensor)
                              • Equipment failure (e.g. power surges, wildlife damage)
                              • Miscommunication during drills
                              • Data latency causing the system to misread the progression of an event

                              ⸻

                              🧩 Real-World Perspective
                              • A 2020 study of European flood warning systems found that less than 5% of alerts were false positives, and most of those were localized and non-disruptive (i.e. people were cautious but not evacuated).
                              • In the U.S., FEMA and Army Corps of Engineers document very low false alarm rates for dam-related sirens—often near zero.

                              ⸻

                              ✅ Summary
                              • False alarms with modern flood sirens are uncommon.
                              • Where they do happen, it’s usually due to technical issues or human error, not fundamental flaws in design.
                              • Continuous upgrades, oversight, and public education help ensure the public doesn’t become “numb” to warnings.

                              Would you like a comparison to false alarm rates in other systems (e.g., tornado sirens or tsunami alerts)?

                              Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins DadL Offline
                                LuFins Dad
                                wrote last edited by
                                #38

                                How in the name of hell does that address the responsibility of the camp to monitor NWS reports and respond accordingly? Complacency was the killer here, not MAGATRY, though it seems like you and a large number of people are obsessed with trying to pin this natural disaster to political causes. First it was cuts to the NWS, and the NWS failed to appropriately warn the public because MAGA. Turns out that was wrong, they were adequately warned. So now the argument is they should have had a second warning system yo say “Hey! We really mean it?”

                                I lived in a flood valley. Nothing as active as Flood Alley, but we had our share of minor floods. The alarms went off 3-4 times a year. Not false alarms, legitimate small flooding that impacted specific areas. You learn to ignore it.

                                The Brad

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ Online
                                  jon-nycJ Online
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                                  #39

                                  Sorry man I never jumped on the funding cut bandwagon and only blamed magatry when 89 posted the video of actual magats saying out loud that they didn’t want satan’s money for flood sirens.

                                  And of course there were other ways disaster could have been avoided besides flood sirens.

                                  Thank you for your attention to this matter.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • kluursK Offline
                                    kluursK Offline
                                    kluurs
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #40

                                    We really don't have a lot of details about the situation. I can imagine the idea of taking scores of young girls out in a blinding rain storm in the middle of the night doesn't sound like such a great idea - and we don't know what it would have taken to get them to higher ground. I did read that the head of the camp was in favor of a better warning system - but lacking that one would have thought of a plan B as LuFin has suggested.

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