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  3. So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?

So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?

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  • bachophileB bachophile

    I find it hard to believe all this talk on social media how the Russians are frustrated and surprised that there is such fierce resistance.

    This must have been war gamed out a millions ways to consider every option.

    I think the idea of the Ukrainians rallying around a brave president and showing spunk must have crossed their planners minds. As well as vast international condemnation. I’m sure they knew it was coming but made their calculations that they can weather the storm.

    Hard to believe after four days Putin is saying,oh man maybe I goofed.

    George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #3

    @bachophile said in So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?:

    Hard to believe after four days Putin is saying,oh man maybe I goofed.

    "Don't get cocky, kid."

    You may be right, but I am still not optimistic. The resistance has been remarkable, to say the least.

    But, if I'm wrong, and I hope I am, what happens to Putin after this clusterfuck of an invasion?

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • George KG Offline
      George KG Offline
      George K
      wrote on last edited by
      #4

      Is Putin blinking?

      https://www.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-news-02-27-22/index.html

      Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said he would be willing to hold talks with Russia but rejected the Russian proposal for a meeting to be held in Belarus, a staging ground for Moscow's invasion of Ukraine.

      “We’ve heard a lot of talk about a meeting between Ukraine and Russia that might end this war and bring the peace back to us. Quite often [Minsk] is mentioned as the place for these negotiations," Zelensky said in an address posted on the presidency website on Sunday morning.

      "The location was not chosen by [Ukraine] nor by [Belarus]. It was chosen by the Russian leadership."

      Belarus has played a key role in Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Russian troops invaded through the Belarus border with support from Belarus' government, according to Ukrainian officials. The Biden administration has sanctioned nine Belarusian defense firms for their support of the invasion.

      Addressing Belarus directly, Zelensky said: “If there were no aggressive actions from your territory, we could talk in Minsk, your city. When you were neutral, we talked in Minsk. That’s why we’re not talking in Minsk now."

      In 2015, Ukrainian and Russian officials met in the Belarus capital to draw up the Minsk Agreements, which included a fragile ceasefire in two areas of Ukraine taken over by pro-Russian separatists the year before.

      "Of course we want peace and want to meet. We want to end the war. Warsaw, Bratislava, Istanbul and Baku were offered to Russia. Any other cities are fine with us as long as there are no missiles flying from this country,” Zelensky said.

      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • MikM Offline
        MikM Offline
        Mik
        wrote on last edited by
        #5

        Opposition seems to be worldwide. The cyber part of this is really interesting. Anonymous claims to have had great success in shutting down things .ru.

        https://www.msn.com/en-us/tv/news/anonymous-hacker-collective-takes-credit-for-cyberattacks-against-russian-government/ar-AAUmbAn?ocid=msedgntp

        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

        LuFins DadL George KG 2 Replies Last reply
        • MikM Mik

          Opposition seems to be worldwide. The cyber part of this is really interesting. Anonymous claims to have had great success in shutting down things .ru.

          https://www.msn.com/en-us/tv/news/anonymous-hacker-collective-takes-credit-for-cyberattacks-against-russian-government/ar-AAUmbAn?ocid=msedgntp

          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins Dad
          wrote on last edited by
          #6

          @Mik said in So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?:

          Opposition seems to be worldwide. The cyber part of this is really interesting. Anonymous claims to have had great success in shutting down things .ru.

          https://www.msn.com/en-us/tv/news/anonymous-hacker-collective-takes-credit-for-cyberattacks-against-russian-government/ar-AAUmbAn?ocid=msedgntp

          I have been wondering if they have been countering some of Russia’s cyber attacks? I don’t think we will ever really know.

          The Brad

          George KG 1 Reply Last reply
          • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

            @Mik said in So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?:

            Opposition seems to be worldwide. The cyber part of this is really interesting. Anonymous claims to have had great success in shutting down things .ru.

            https://www.msn.com/en-us/tv/news/anonymous-hacker-collective-takes-credit-for-cyberattacks-against-russian-government/ar-AAUmbAn?ocid=msedgntp

            I have been wondering if they have been countering some of Russia’s cyber attacks? I don’t think we will ever really know.

            George KG Offline
            George KG Offline
            George K
            wrote on last edited by
            #7

            @LuFins-Dad said in So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?:

            I have been wondering if they have been countering some of Russia’s cyber attacks? I don’t think we will ever really know.

            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • George KG Offline
              George KG Offline
              George K
              wrote on last edited by
              #8

              What is the website for the president of Russia?

              http://en.kremlin.ru/

              What is the website for the government of Russia?

              http://government.ru/en/

              What is the website for the mayor of Moscow?

              https://www.mos.ru/en/

              Go ahead, look at those pages.

              "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

              The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • RenaudaR Offline
                RenaudaR Offline
                Renauda
                wrote on last edited by Renauda
                #9

                No doubt Ukrainian resistance thus far has been Alamo like and, as bach pointed out anticipated and gamed by the Russians well in advance. My hunch though is that the Kremlin has deliberately reined in the advance upon the urban centres in the hope of forcing a capitulation. In particular, Moscow would want to keep damage to Kyiv - which Putin himself has described as the “spiritual heart of the Russian nation” - at a minimum.

                Zelenskyi in the past half hour announced that a Ukrainian delegation will meet a Russian delegation on the Belarus border at the Pripyat River. I suspect terms will be offered to the Ukrainians in the event the final offensive will be avoided.

                Elbows up!

                JollyJ George KG 2 Replies Last reply
                • bachophileB bachophile

                  I find it hard to believe all this talk on social media how the Russians are frustrated and surprised that there is such fierce resistance.

                  This must have been war gamed out a millions ways to consider every option.

                  I think the idea of the Ukrainians rallying around a brave president and showing spunk must have crossed their planners minds. As well as vast international condemnation. I’m sure they knew it was coming but made their calculations that they can weather the storm.

                  Hard to believe after four days Putin is saying,oh man maybe I goofed.

                  CopperC Offline
                  CopperC Offline
                  Copper
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #10

                  @bachophile said in So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?:

                  Hard to believe after four days Putin is saying,oh man maybe I goofed.

                  How does the current situation compare to his stated goal for this date?

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • RenaudaR Renauda

                    No doubt Ukrainian resistance thus far has been Alamo like and, as bach pointed out anticipated and gamed by the Russians well in advance. My hunch though is that the Kremlin has deliberately reined in the advance upon the urban centres in the hope of forcing a capitulation. In particular, Moscow would want to keep damage to Kyiv - which Putin himself has described as the “spiritual heart of the Russian nation” - at a minimum.

                    Zelenskyi in the past half hour announced that a Ukrainian delegation will meet a Russian delegation on the Belarus border at the Pripyat River. I suspect terms will be offered to the Ukrainians in the event the final offensive will be avoided.

                    JollyJ Offline
                    JollyJ Offline
                    Jolly
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #11

                    @Renauda said in So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?:

                    No doubt Ukrainian resistance thus far has been Alamo like and, as bach pointed out anticipated and gamed by the Russians well in advance. My hunch though is that the Kremlin has deliberately reined in the advance upon the urban centres in the hope of forcing a capitulation. In particular, Moscow would want to keep damage to Kyiv - which Putin himself has described as the “heart of the Russian nation” - minimised.

                    Zelensky in the past half hour announced that a Ukrainian delegation will meet a Russian delegation on the Belarus border at the Pripyat River. I suspect terms will be offered to the Ukrainians in the event the final offensive will be avoided.

                    Russians will press and Ukranians will play for time?

                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • RenaudaR Renauda

                      No doubt Ukrainian resistance thus far has been Alamo like and, as bach pointed out anticipated and gamed by the Russians well in advance. My hunch though is that the Kremlin has deliberately reined in the advance upon the urban centres in the hope of forcing a capitulation. In particular, Moscow would want to keep damage to Kyiv - which Putin himself has described as the “spiritual heart of the Russian nation” - at a minimum.

                      Zelenskyi in the past half hour announced that a Ukrainian delegation will meet a Russian delegation on the Belarus border at the Pripyat River. I suspect terms will be offered to the Ukrainians in the event the final offensive will be avoided.

                      George KG Offline
                      George KG Offline
                      George K
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #12

                      @Renauda said in So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?:

                      I suspect terms will be offered to the Ukrainians in the event the final offensive will be avoided.

                      I wonder what terms would be acceptable to the Ukrainians?

                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • MikM Offline
                        MikM Offline
                        Mik
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #13

                        I wonder what precipitated the offer of talks.

                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                        RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                        • MikM Mik

                          I wonder what precipitated the offer of talks.

                          RenaudaR Offline
                          RenaudaR Offline
                          Renauda
                          wrote on last edited by Renauda
                          #14

                          @Mik

                          Cynically I believe, it was in the Bear’s plan all along. It provides yet another thin layer of veneer of justification for domestic consumption.

                          Elbows up!

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • MikM Offline
                            MikM Offline
                            Mik
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #15

                            Could well be. Easier to believe than Putin was taken by surprise by world reaction and Ukrainian opposition.

                            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                            RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                            • MikM Mik

                              Could well be. Easier to believe than Putin was taken by surprise by world reaction and Ukrainian opposition.

                              RenaudaR Offline
                              RenaudaR Offline
                              Renauda
                              wrote on last edited by Renauda
                              #16

                              @Mik

                              But realistically, Zelenskyi and his people must also know Churchill’s famous, although probably apocryphal, dictum;

                              “You cannot reason with a tiger when your head is in its mouth!”

                              Elbows up!

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • LarryL Offline
                                LarryL Offline
                                Larry
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #17

                                Putin is scared shitless. He has already put his nuclear weapons forces on high alert, claiming it's because of the sanctions that have been put on him personally. He is scared that the Ukrainians might actually force him out, he is worried about the massive protests going on in Russia, and I believe he has snapped mentally. Lots of options for other world leaders to actually lead, but the US is being led by a moron, so expect Biden to fuck up any chance there might be to stop wwIII.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • LuFins DadL Offline
                                  LuFins DadL Offline
                                  LuFins Dad
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #18

                                  I think Putin expected the comedian to have already cut and run and become a government in exile. That’s what’s causing the problems for him. Yes, they expected tough resistance, but they expected a lot of that resistance to crumble when Zelensky left.

                                  Beyond that, do you honestly believe Putin gives a rat’s ass about what the rest of the world thinks? I don’t.

                                  The Brad

                                  George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                    I think Putin expected the comedian to have already cut and run and become a government in exile. That’s what’s causing the problems for him. Yes, they expected tough resistance, but they expected a lot of that resistance to crumble when Zelensky left.

                                    Beyond that, do you honestly believe Putin gives a rat’s ass about what the rest of the world thinks? I don’t.

                                    George KG Offline
                                    George KG Offline
                                    George K
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #19

                                    @LuFins-Dad said in So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?:

                                    Beyond that, do you honestly believe Putin gives a rat’s ass about what the rest of the world thinks? I don’t.

                                    Agreed about the "think" part. I don't think he expected the "does" part.

                                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • MikM Mik

                                      Opposition seems to be worldwide. The cyber part of this is really interesting. Anonymous claims to have had great success in shutting down things .ru.

                                      https://www.msn.com/en-us/tv/news/anonymous-hacker-collective-takes-credit-for-cyberattacks-against-russian-government/ar-AAUmbAn?ocid=msedgntp

                                      George KG Offline
                                      George KG Offline
                                      George K
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #20

                                      @Mik said in So are the Russians surprised by outcomes?:

                                      Opposition seems to be worldwide. The cyber part of this is really interesting. Anonymous claims to have had great success in shutting down things .ru.

                                      https://www.msn.com/en-us/tv/news/anonymous-hacker-collective-takes-credit-for-cyberattacks-against-russian-government/ar-AAUmbAn?ocid=msedgntp

                                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

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