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  3. Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years

Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years

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  • taiwan_girlT Offline
    taiwan_girlT Offline
    taiwan_girl
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Other than President Franklin Roosevelt, the US stock market has done better under President Biden since election day than any other President in the last 100 years.

    Good thing that @Horace and I doesn't think that the president has much to do with the economy and stock market as many people think - otherwise he may have to say that President Biden is doing pretty good so far. (Just teasing you Horace. :couple_with_heart: )

    (https://www.macrotrends.net/2613/stock-market-performance-by-president-from-election-date)

    (PS Before someone here claims that the current stock market is due to President Trump, I have been told by many people here that the stock market is future look, not past look. If not, then President Trumps success must be part due to President Obama, right?)

    JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
    • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

      Other than President Franklin Roosevelt, the US stock market has done better under President Biden since election day than any other President in the last 100 years.

      Good thing that @Horace and I doesn't think that the president has much to do with the economy and stock market as many people think - otherwise he may have to say that President Biden is doing pretty good so far. (Just teasing you Horace. :couple_with_heart: )

      (https://www.macrotrends.net/2613/stock-market-performance-by-president-from-election-date)

      (PS Before someone here claims that the current stock market is due to President Trump, I have been told by many people here that the stock market is future look, not past look. If not, then President Trumps success must be part due to President Obama, right?)

      JollyJ Offline
      JollyJ Offline
      Jolly
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      @taiwan_girl said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

      Other than President Franklin Roosevelt, the US stock market has done better under President Biden since election day than any other President in the last 100 years.

      Good thing that @Horace and I doesn't think that the president has much to do with the economy and stock market as many people think - otherwise he may have to say that President Biden is doing pretty good so far. (Just teasing you Horace. :couple_with_heart: )

      (https://www.macrotrends.net/2613/stock-market-performance-by-president-from-election-date)

      (PS Before someone here claims that the current stock market is due to President Trump, I have been told by many people here that the stock market is future look, not past look. If not, then President Trumps success must be part due to President Obama, right?)

      Inflation.

      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

      AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
      • JollyJ Jolly

        @taiwan_girl said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

        Other than President Franklin Roosevelt, the US stock market has done better under President Biden since election day than any other President in the last 100 years.

        Good thing that @Horace and I doesn't think that the president has much to do with the economy and stock market as many people think - otherwise he may have to say that President Biden is doing pretty good so far. (Just teasing you Horace. :couple_with_heart: )

        (https://www.macrotrends.net/2613/stock-market-performance-by-president-from-election-date)

        (PS Before someone here claims that the current stock market is due to President Trump, I have been told by many people here that the stock market is future look, not past look. If not, then President Trumps success must be part due to President Obama, right?)

        Inflation.

        AxtremusA Away
        AxtremusA Away
        Axtremus
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        @jolly said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

        Inflation.

        Really? Is this just your expectation or do you have data to back this up?

        LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
        • AxtremusA Axtremus

          @jolly said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

          Inflation.

          Really? Is this just your expectation or do you have data to back this up?

          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins Dad
          wrote on last edited by LuFins Dad
          #4

          @axtremus said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

          @jolly said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

          Inflation.

          Really? Is this just your expectation or do you have data to back this up?

          https://finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-buffett-we-are-seeing-substantial-inflation-and-are-raising-prices-220539307.html

          The Brad

          1 Reply Last reply
          • LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            https://finance.yahoo.com/news/these-companies-that-are-jacking-up-prices-because-of-surging-inflation-194542023.html

            The Brad

            1 Reply Last reply
            • AxtremusA Away
              AxtremusA Away
              Axtremus
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              Thanks, @LuFins-Dad. If you are at liberty to talk about it ... are piano prices, digital and acoustic alike, undergoing inflation too?

              The acoustic ones sure use a lot of lumber and metal, and the digital ones use microchips, something that’s reported to be in short supply.

              LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Offline
                HoraceH Offline
                Horace
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                This from Goldman Sachs, on the subject of real tangible effects a presidential election can have:

                The megacaps, Apple, Alphabet, Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) accounted for 18% of total cash spending in 2020.

                The potential for a new tax code is the biggest risk for spending in 2022 and beyond, Goldman says.

                "From a corporate cash spending perspective, three proposals are key: (1) Raising the statutory federal corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%; (2) raising the minimum tax rate on foreign income from 11% to 21%; and (3) raising the personal tax rate on long-term capital gains and qualified dividends from 23.8% to 43.4% for people with annual incomes above $1 million," the strategists write.

                "Our political economists believe that Democrats will pass a scaled-down version of tax reform later this year," they said. "Assuming this view is correct, we expect less S&P 500 cash spending will occur than would have otherwise been the case without tax reform."

                "We also expect higher taxes will weigh on buybacks more than dividends, capex, and R&D. Repurchases have exhibited greater variability than nearly ever other use of cash."

                Education is extremely important.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  I love the way when the market does well under a conservative, all the liberals say it's because of other things, and when the market does well under a liberal, all the conservatives say it's because of other things.

                  It goes down, it goes up, it goes down, it goes up again.

                  Yeah, yeah, I know, we're on the verge of catastrophe, we're always on the verge of freaking catastrophe. There comes a point when you need to stop listening to this bullshit.

                  Personally, as long as my 401K is good in the medium to long term , I'm not going to worry about it.

                  I was only joking

                  HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                  • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                    I love the way when the market does well under a conservative, all the liberals say it's because of other things, and when the market does well under a liberal, all the conservatives say it's because of other things.

                    It goes down, it goes up, it goes down, it goes up again.

                    Yeah, yeah, I know, we're on the verge of catastrophe, we're always on the verge of freaking catastrophe. There comes a point when you need to stop listening to this bullshit.

                    Personally, as long as my 401K is good in the medium to long term , I'm not going to worry about it.

                    HoraceH Offline
                    HoraceH Offline
                    Horace
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    @doctor-phibes said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                    I love the way when the market does well under a conservative, all the liberals say it's because of other things, and when the market does well under a liberal, all the conservatives say it's because of other things.

                    It goes down, it goes up, it goes down, it goes up again.

                    Yeah, yeah, I know, we're on the verge of catastrophe, we're always on the verge of freaking catastrophe. There comes a point when you need to stop listening to this bullshit.

                    Personally, as long as my 401K is good in the medium to long term , I'm not going to worry about it.

                    It would be nice to at least arrive at a point in the discussion where there is acknowledgment that policy affects the stock market, and that elections affect policy. But we can't even get that far here.

                    Education is extremely important.

                    Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                    • HoraceH Horace

                      @doctor-phibes said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                      I love the way when the market does well under a conservative, all the liberals say it's because of other things, and when the market does well under a liberal, all the conservatives say it's because of other things.

                      It goes down, it goes up, it goes down, it goes up again.

                      Yeah, yeah, I know, we're on the verge of catastrophe, we're always on the verge of freaking catastrophe. There comes a point when you need to stop listening to this bullshit.

                      Personally, as long as my 401K is good in the medium to long term , I'm not going to worry about it.

                      It would be nice to at least arrive at a point in the discussion where there is acknowledgment that policy affects the stock market, and that elections affect policy. But we can't even get that far here.

                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                      Doctor PhibesD Offline
                      Doctor Phibes
                      wrote on last edited by Doctor Phibes
                      #10

                      @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                      @doctor-phibes said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                      I love the way when the market does well under a conservative, all the liberals say it's because of other things, and when the market does well under a liberal, all the conservatives say it's because of other things.

                      It goes down, it goes up, it goes down, it goes up again.

                      Yeah, yeah, I know, we're on the verge of catastrophe, we're always on the verge of freaking catastrophe. There comes a point when you need to stop listening to this bullshit.

                      Personally, as long as my 401K is good in the medium to long term , I'm not going to worry about it.

                      It would be nice to at least arrive at a point in the discussion where there is acknowledgment that policy affects the stock market, and that elections affect policy. But we can't even get that far here.

                      So you get "liberal" Bill Clinton and his IT bubble, and you get "conservative" George W Bush, and his housing crisis-related crash, and then you get Obama's slow recovery, and then you get Trump's boom and then Covid-bust, and apparently Joe Biden's boom, and then you get a load of people coming out with all kinds of partisan stuff to try and explain away the difference between what should have happened in their perfect world, and what actually happened.

                      I'm not entirely convinced that the stock market is the thing we should be focusing on when figuring out whether a president is successful or not.

                      I was only joking

                      HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                      • MikM Offline
                        MikM Offline
                        Mik
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        I call BS. The market was smoking hot before the election and continued that way. Biden inherited this market. He did not cause it.

                        This is not to say that Trump caused it necessarily, but for damn sure Biden did not. The market drops every time he opens his mouth about higher taxes and even more profligate spending.

                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                        Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                        • MikM Mik

                          I call BS. The market was smoking hot before the election and continued that way. Biden inherited this market. He did not cause it.

                          This is not to say that Trump caused it necessarily, but for damn sure Biden did not. The market drops every time he opens his mouth about higher taxes and even more profligate spending.

                          Doctor PhibesD Offline
                          Doctor PhibesD Offline
                          Doctor Phibes
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          @mik said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                          I call BS. The market was smoking hot before the election and continued that way. Biden inherited this market. He did not cause it.

                          The same was said of Obama's crash. But only by his supporters.

                          I think the market's mostly going up because there's light at the end of the Covid tunnel.

                          People look at everything through political glasses, when there's no real need.

                          I was only joking

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                            @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                            @doctor-phibes said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                            I love the way when the market does well under a conservative, all the liberals say it's because of other things, and when the market does well under a liberal, all the conservatives say it's because of other things.

                            It goes down, it goes up, it goes down, it goes up again.

                            Yeah, yeah, I know, we're on the verge of catastrophe, we're always on the verge of freaking catastrophe. There comes a point when you need to stop listening to this bullshit.

                            Personally, as long as my 401K is good in the medium to long term , I'm not going to worry about it.

                            It would be nice to at least arrive at a point in the discussion where there is acknowledgment that policy affects the stock market, and that elections affect policy. But we can't even get that far here.

                            So you get "liberal" Bill Clinton and his IT bubble, and you get "conservative" George W Bush, and his housing crisis-related crash, and then you get Obama's slow recovery, and then you get Trump's boom and then Covid-bust, and apparently Joe Biden's boom, and then you get a load of people coming out with all kinds of partisan stuff to try and explain away the difference between what should have happened in their perfect world, and what actually happened.

                            I'm not entirely convinced that the stock market is the thing we should be focusing on when figuring out whether a president is successful or not.

                            HoraceH Offline
                            HoraceH Offline
                            Horace
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            @doctor-phibes said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                            @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                            @doctor-phibes said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                            I love the way when the market does well under a conservative, all the liberals say it's because of other things, and when the market does well under a liberal, all the conservatives say it's because of other things.

                            It goes down, it goes up, it goes down, it goes up again.

                            Yeah, yeah, I know, we're on the verge of catastrophe, we're always on the verge of freaking catastrophe. There comes a point when you need to stop listening to this bullshit.

                            Personally, as long as my 401K is good in the medium to long term , I'm not going to worry about it.

                            It would be nice to at least arrive at a point in the discussion where there is acknowledgment that policy affects the stock market, and that elections affect policy. But we can't even get that far here.

                            So you get "liberal" Bill Clinton and his IT bubble, and you get "conservative" George W Bush, and his housing crisis-related crash, and then you get Obama's slow recovery, and then you get Trump's boom and then Covid-bust, and apparently Joe Biden's boom, and then you get a load of people coming out with all kinds of partisan stuff to try and explain away the difference between what should have happened in their perfect world, and what actually happened.

                            I'm not entirely convinced that the stock market is the thing we should be focusing on when figuring out whether a president is successful or not.

                            Yes there are a lot of variables. One of which, an important one, is policy, especially tax policy. No amount of digging one's heels into the notion that elections don't matter for the stock market, will change that.

                            Education is extremely important.

                            X 1 Reply Last reply
                            • MikM Offline
                              MikM Offline
                              Mik
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              No sane individual could possibly deny that Obama inherited his economic disaster.

                              The market has been going up since the end of the first wave. Even with the massive second wave it continued up.

                              “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • HoraceH Horace

                                @doctor-phibes said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                                @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                                @doctor-phibes said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                                I love the way when the market does well under a conservative, all the liberals say it's because of other things, and when the market does well under a liberal, all the conservatives say it's because of other things.

                                It goes down, it goes up, it goes down, it goes up again.

                                Yeah, yeah, I know, we're on the verge of catastrophe, we're always on the verge of freaking catastrophe. There comes a point when you need to stop listening to this bullshit.

                                Personally, as long as my 401K is good in the medium to long term , I'm not going to worry about it.

                                It would be nice to at least arrive at a point in the discussion where there is acknowledgment that policy affects the stock market, and that elections affect policy. But we can't even get that far here.

                                So you get "liberal" Bill Clinton and his IT bubble, and you get "conservative" George W Bush, and his housing crisis-related crash, and then you get Obama's slow recovery, and then you get Trump's boom and then Covid-bust, and apparently Joe Biden's boom, and then you get a load of people coming out with all kinds of partisan stuff to try and explain away the difference between what should have happened in their perfect world, and what actually happened.

                                I'm not entirely convinced that the stock market is the thing we should be focusing on when figuring out whether a president is successful or not.

                                Yes there are a lot of variables. One of which, an important one, is policy, especially tax policy. No amount of digging one's heels into the notion that elections don't matter for the stock market, will change that.

                                X Offline
                                X Offline
                                xenon
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #15

                                @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                                Yes there are a lot of variables. One of which, an important one, is policy, especially tax policy. No amount of digging one's heels into the notion that elections don't matter for the stock market, will change that.

                                It's not that it doesn't matter. As you said though - it's one variable among many.

                                It'd be like talking about putting together a championship football team, and we keep talking about the kicker (The President).

                                Sure - it matters to have a good kicker. But it's one small aspect.

                                HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                                • HoraceH Offline
                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  Horace
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #16

                                  As far as the definition of a successful president goes, that isn't the discussion. Heck, buried deep beneath the surface of many on the left, is the desire to see the stock market burn. That would be deemed a success by them. I'm not interested in anybody's value judgement of the stock market.

                                  Education is extremely important.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • X xenon

                                    @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                                    Yes there are a lot of variables. One of which, an important one, is policy, especially tax policy. No amount of digging one's heels into the notion that elections don't matter for the stock market, will change that.

                                    It's not that it doesn't matter. As you said though - it's one variable among many.

                                    It'd be like talking about putting together a championship football team, and we keep talking about the kicker (The President).

                                    Sure - it matters to have a good kicker. But it's one small aspect.

                                    HoraceH Offline
                                    HoraceH Offline
                                    Horace
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #17

                                    @xenon said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                                    @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                                    Yes there are a lot of variables. One of which, an important one, is policy, especially tax policy. No amount of digging one's heels into the notion that elections don't matter for the stock market, will change that.

                                    It's not that it doesn't matter. As you said though - it's one variable among many.

                                    It'd be like talking about putting together a championship football team, and we keep talking about the kicker (The President).

                                    Sure - it matters to have a good kicker. But it's one small aspect.

                                    Ok. That's an attempt to quantify the importance of a president to the stock market. Duly noted. I certainly agree that free market capitalism is a much more important player. Tax policy is like a weight of some size, be it small or large, tied to the ankles of every player on the field.

                                    Education is extremely important.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • AxtremusA Axtremus

                                      Thanks, @LuFins-Dad. If you are at liberty to talk about it ... are piano prices, digital and acoustic alike, undergoing inflation too?

                                      The acoustic ones sure use a lot of lumber and metal, and the digital ones use microchips, something that’s reported to be in short supply.

                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins Dad
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #18

                                      @axtremus said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                                      Thanks, @LuFins-Dad. If you are at liberty to talk about it ... are piano prices, digital and acoustic alike, undergoing inflation too?

                                      The acoustic ones sure use a lot of lumber and metal, and the digital ones use microchips, something that’s reported to be in short supply.

                                      Let's just say that if you are considering buying a piano in the next few years, you may want to speed up the process.

                                      The Brad

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • L Offline
                                        L Offline
                                        Loki
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #19

                                        Let’s say the stock market corrects by 30%? I’d say it’s enough of a risk based on Biden’s spending ask that folks here better keep some of their powder dry because they may be inadvertently proving the opposite of what is written here.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • MikM Offline
                                          MikM Offline
                                          Mik
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #20

                                          We need to let the economy cool down from all the funny money before dumping a bunch more in.

                                          “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

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