This is all we need

[Horace]

The numbers are not screaming that our culture is doing particularly badly, and I suspect they will not scream so in the future. But we will see.

[jon-nyc]

@Horace said in This is all we need:

... I suspect they will not scream so in the future. But we will see.

Specific, measurable predictions?

[jon-nyc]

@Horace said in This is all we need:

The numbers are not screaming that our culture is doing particularly badly

There’s currently quite a bit of coercive social distancing.

[Horace]

That our culture won't be an outlier statistically compared to other cultures in terms of death rate of the virus over the coming year? Is that specific enough?

[Horace]

@jon-nyc said in This is all we need:

@Horace said in This is all we need:

The numbers are not screaming that our culture is doing particularly badly

There’s currently quite a bit of coercive social distancing.

I'm anticipating masks as an ordinary thing. And the people not wearing them will not totally destroy the effectiveness of a majority who do.

[jon-nyc]

@Horace said in This is all we need:

That our culture won't be an outlier statistically compared to other cultures in terms of death rate of the virus over the coming year? Is that specific enough?

It is a really low bar. It would be satisfied by something like ‘hey look, the UK fucked this up too!’ (Or whichever country).

Doesn’t seem as confident as your earlier statement.

[Horace]

"Numbers won't scream" is not a particularly bold statement and is adequately reframed as "numbers won't be an outlier".