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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Calling the States

Calling the States

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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:42 last edited by
    #66

    Scenario:

    Trump gets PA, OH. Biden gets WI MI. Then Biden only needs one of the tossup NE/ME house districts to get to 270.

    They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • J Offline
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      jon-nyc
      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:43 last edited by
      #67

      Remember, PA, MI, WI have only reported in-person ballots so far.

      They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

      L 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 04:49
      • J jon-nyc
        4 Nov 2020, 04:43

        Remember, PA, MI, WI have only reported in-person ballots so far.

        L Offline
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        LuFins Dad
        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:49 last edited by
        #68

        @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

        Remember, PA, MI, WI have only reported in-person ballots so far.

        Yeah, I’m thinking Arizona sunk Trump. Michigan will bear some watching, but...

        The Brad

        1 Reply Last reply
        • J Offline
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          jon-nyc
          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:52 last edited by
          #69

          Although in fairness only Fox has called it.

          But FWIW Nate was in awe at some Maricopa county in-person results that boded poorly for the president.

          They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • K Offline
            K Offline
            Klaus
            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:55 last edited by Klaus 11 Apr 2020, 04:56
            #70

            Waking up in the middle of the night to check who won and all I see is confusion and uncertainty.

            What’s so hard about counting votes?

            1 Reply Last reply
            • J Offline
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              Jolly
              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:56 last edited by
              #71

              Texas to Trump.

              “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

              Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

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              • J Offline
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                jon-nyc
                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 04:59 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 05:00
                #72

                @Klaus

                1 The votes aren't even in yet, at least not everywhere.

                2 Here all this shit is handled at the local level, and many jurisdictions simply didn't prepare for much larger mail-in and early voting, for reasons both banal and benign.

                3 In many places, the GOP has fought to make it hard. Their pros know they're a minority party.

                They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • K Offline
                  K Offline
                  Klaus
                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:02 last edited by
                  #73

                  So I understand right now it looks better for Trump than predicted by the polls but overall it’s still very open. Is that about it?

                  L 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 05:10
                  • J Offline
                    J Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:03 last edited by
                    #74

                    THat's a good summary.

                    It'll be a nail-biter.

                    They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • J Offline
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                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:08 last edited by
                      #75

                      Screen Shot 2020-11-04 at 12.08.03 AM.png

                      They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • K Klaus
                        4 Nov 2020, 05:02

                        So I understand right now it looks better for Trump than predicted by the polls but overall it’s still very open. Is that about it?

                        L Offline
                        L Offline
                        Loki
                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:10 last edited by Loki 11 Apr 2020, 05:10
                        #76

                        @Klaus said in Calling the States:

                        So I understand right now it looks better for Trump than predicted by the polls but overall it’s still very open. Is that about it?

                        Yup. Arizona is Biden. It’s down to PA, Michigan and Wisconsin. Betting odds are 60/40 Trump

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • M Away
                          M Away
                          Mik
                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:11 last edited by
                          #77

                          It looks like neither the House or Senate will change majorities.

                          "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • M Away
                            M Away
                            Mik
                            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:17 last edited by
                            #78

                            I do not like this stopping the count in Fulton County until morning.

                            "The intelligent man who is proud of his intelligence is like the condemned man who is proud of his large cell." Simone Weil

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • J Offline
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                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:17 last edited by
                              #79

                              Holy fuck. Georgia needle is now leaning Biden.

                              Screen Shot 2020-11-04 at 12.16.56 AM.png

                              They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • J Offline
                                J Offline
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:18 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 05:19
                                #80

                                Seems like Nate thinks this is an aberration.

                                They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • K Offline
                                  K Offline
                                  Klaus
                                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:23 last edited by
                                  #81

                                  What’s the matter with those odd 80% Trump in Nevada? I thought this was a battle state?

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • J Offline
                                    J Offline
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:25 last edited by
                                    #82

                                    Where are you seeing that?

                                    If Fox, ignore it, their needles have proven a big disappointment tonight

                                    Also, probabilities converge to 100 as results come in, so 'X swing state showing 80%' is inevitable for all swing states.

                                    They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                                    K 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 05:43
                                    • J Offline
                                      J Offline
                                      jon-nyc
                                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:30 last edited by
                                      #83

                                      Minesoooota.

                                      Screen Shot 2020-11-04 at 12.30.31 AM.png

                                      They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • L Offline
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                                        Larry
                                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:32 last edited by
                                        #84

                                        This isn't the first time Philadelphia has tried to steal an election.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • J Offline
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                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 05:32 last edited by
                                          #85

                                          Shocking thing - neither Trump nor Biden have tweeted much of anything tonight.

                                          A few retweets and Biden said something about staying in line if you're in line and the polls close.

                                          They’ll end up, after a lot of drama, with the same formula they use every time they have a trifecta: take away health care and food assistance from low income families and use the money to fund tax cuts for their donors.

                                          L 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 05:34
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