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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Trafalgar

Trafalgar

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  • bachophileB Offline
    bachophileB Offline
    bachophile
    wrote on last edited by
    #6

    Shimon Peres once said israel is the one place in the world where people vote the truth in the polls but lie in the voting booth. Most places it’s the opposite. Lie as much as you want in a poll but vote your truth in the booth.

    If it’s true in America, then it’s troubling (to me at least).

    1 Reply Last reply
    • LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on last edited by
      #7

      The one thing that I have been hearing for a while is to watch the job approval numbers. If they get to to the 46-48% range he stands a decent chance....

      The Brad

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
        #8

        This is the last polling info from their site, compared to actuals.

        d8dc2fc3-285c-471e-8b2d-dd28e370255a-image.png

        Note when I say 'Trending [Name]" that's just directional, not a prognostication on where it'll end up.

        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
        -Cormac McCarthy

        JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

          This is the last polling info from their site, compared to actuals.

          d8dc2fc3-285c-471e-8b2d-dd28e370255a-image.png

          Note when I say 'Trending [Name]" that's just directional, not a prognostication on where it'll end up.

          JollyJ Offline
          JollyJ Offline
          Jolly
          wrote on last edited by
          #9

          @jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

          This is the last polling info from their site, compared to actuals.

          d8dc2fc3-285c-471e-8b2d-dd28e370255a-image.png

          Note when I say 'Trending [Name]" that's just directional, not a prognostication on where it'll end up.

          In other words, you think they nailed it? Again?

          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by
            #10

            I think they'll be 2 for 5 on their Trump calls. Possibly 3 for 5.

            So, as I suggested before, maybe they don't really have a secret sauce so much as a consistent GOP lean.

            "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
            -Cormac McCarthy

            JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
            • L Offline
              L Offline
              Loki
              wrote on last edited by
              #11

              We should compare Nate’s grades on all the pollsters and how well they actually did.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                #12

                He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of pollsters.

                Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-

                I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.

                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                -Cormac McCarthy

                L JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                  He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of pollsters.

                  Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-

                  I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.

                  L Offline
                  L Offline
                  Loki
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #13

                  @jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

                  He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of posters.

                  Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-

                  I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.

                  I saw him on GMA this morning. He talked about how hard it is to poll anymore, no good answers. A little frustrating that he continues to say when you the roll the dice theses things happen from time to time as he is always defending the bad rolls.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                    He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of pollsters.

                    Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-

                    I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.

                    JollyJ Offline
                    JollyJ Offline
                    Jolly
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #14

                    @jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

                    He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of pollsters.

                    Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-

                    I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.

                    When you're right more than your competitors, I'd say you rate a bit better.

                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                      I think they'll be 2 for 5 on their Trump calls. Possibly 3 for 5.

                      So, as I suggested before, maybe they don't really have a secret sauce so much as a consistent GOP lean.

                      JollyJ Offline
                      JollyJ Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #15

                      @jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

                      I think they'll be 2 for 5 on their Trump calls. Possibly 3 for 5.

                      So, as I suggested before, maybe they don't really have a secret sauce so much as a consistent GOP lean.

                      Well, without fraud, I think they'd be 4/5.

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                        #16

                        Undermining confidence in elections could end up being Trump’s worst legacy.

                        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                        -Cormac McCarthy

                        JollyJ L 2 Replies Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                          Undermining confidence in elections could end up being Trump’s worst legacy.

                          JollyJ Offline
                          JollyJ Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #17

                          @jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

                          Undermining confidence in elections could end up being Trump’s worst legacy.

                          I think it may be his best legacy.

                          The best thing that Al Gore ever did for the U.S., was help fix the election mess in Florida.

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                            Undermining confidence in elections could end up being Trump’s worst legacy.

                            L Offline
                            L Offline
                            Loki
                            wrote on last edited by Loki
                            #18

                            @jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

                            Undermining confidence in elections could end up being Trump’s worst legacy.

                            That’s total BS. And where is the civil war that was predicted?

                            The transition too is going to be very smooth versus the hysteria we had to suffer through.

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