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Jolly · wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 14:50

This is the last polling info from their site, compared to actuals.

Note when I say 'Trending [Name]" that's just directional, not a prognostication on where it'll end up.

In other words, you think they nailed it? Again?

jon-nyc · 5 Nov 2020, 17:11

I think they'll be 2 for 5 on their Trump calls. Possibly 3 for 5.

So, as I suggested before, maybe they don't really have a secret sauce so much as a consistent GOP lean.

Loki · wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 15:28

We should compare Nate’s grades on all the pollsters and how well they actually did.

jon-nyc · 5 Nov 2020, 15:37

He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of pollsters.

Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-

I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.

Loki · wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 15:37

@jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of posters.

Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-

I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.

I saw him on GMA this morning. He talked about how hard it is to poll anymore, no good answers. A little frustrating that he continues to say when you the roll the dice theses things happen from time to time as he is always defending the bad rolls.

Jolly · wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 17:10

@jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of pollsters.

Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-

I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.

When you're right more than your competitors, I'd say you rate a bit better.

Jolly · wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 17:11

@jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

I think they'll be 2 for 5 on their Trump calls. Possibly 3 for 5.

So, as I suggested before, maybe they don't really have a secret sauce so much as a consistent GOP lean.

Well, without fraud, I think they'd be 4/5.

jon-nyc · 5 Nov 2020, 17:26

Undermining confidence in elections could end up being Trump’s worst legacy.

Jolly · wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 17:26

@jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

Undermining confidence in elections could end up being Trump’s worst legacy.

I think it may be his best legacy.

The best thing that Al Gore ever did for the U.S., was help fix the election mess in Florida.

Loki · 11 May 2020, 17:37

@jon-nyc said in Trafalgar:

Undermining confidence in elections could end up being Trump’s worst legacy.

That’s total BS. And where is the civil war that was predicted?

The transition too is going to be very smooth versus the hysteria we had to suffer through.

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