Trafalgar
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wrote on 19 Oct 2020, 14:35 last edited by
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wrote on 19 Oct 2020, 15:26 last edited by
And how close did Nate come to the 2016 election?
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wrote on 19 Oct 2020, 15:35 last edited by
How one votes should have no connection to how the candidates are doing in the polls, but apparently it must.
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wrote on 19 Oct 2020, 15:51 last edited by
Shimon Peres once said israel is the one place in the world where people vote the truth in the polls but lie in the voting booth. Most places it’s the opposite. Lie as much as you want in a poll but vote your truth in the booth.
If it’s true in America, then it’s troubling (to me at least).
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wrote on 19 Oct 2020, 17:34 last edited by
The one thing that I have been hearing for a while is to watch the job approval numbers. If they get to to the 46-48% range he stands a decent chance....
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wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 13:46 last edited by jon-nyc 11 May 2020, 13:48
This is the last polling info from their site, compared to actuals.
Note when I say 'Trending [Name]" that's just directional, not a prognostication on where it'll end up.
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This is the last polling info from their site, compared to actuals.
Note when I say 'Trending [Name]" that's just directional, not a prognostication on where it'll end up.
wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 14:50 last edited by -
wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 15:01 last edited by
I think they'll be 2 for 5 on their Trump calls. Possibly 3 for 5.
So, as I suggested before, maybe they don't really have a secret sauce so much as a consistent GOP lean.
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wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 15:28 last edited by
We should compare Nate’s grades on all the pollsters and how well they actually did.
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wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 15:31 last edited by jon-nyc 11 May 2020, 15:35
He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of pollsters.
Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-
I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.
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He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of pollsters.
Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-
I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.
wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 15:37 last edited byHe keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of posters.
Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-
I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.
I saw him on GMA this morning. He talked about how hard it is to poll anymore, no good answers. A little frustrating that he continues to say when you the roll the dice theses things happen from time to time as he is always defending the bad rolls.
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He keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of pollsters.
Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-
I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.
wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 17:10 last edited byHe keeps detailed statistics on hundreds of pollsters.
Trafalgar is correct 75% of the time. He gives them a C-
I'm sure he'll have plenty of analysis on how polling firms did over the next few months.
When you're right more than your competitors, I'd say you rate a bit better.
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I think they'll be 2 for 5 on their Trump calls. Possibly 3 for 5.
So, as I suggested before, maybe they don't really have a secret sauce so much as a consistent GOP lean.
wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 17:11 last edited by -
wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 17:22 last edited by jon-nyc 11 May 2020, 17:23
Undermining confidence in elections could end up being Trump’s worst legacy.
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wrote on 5 Nov 2020, 17:36 last edited by Loki 11 May 2020, 17:37