Interesting visual from 538.com
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wrote on 6 Oct 2020, 17:24 last edited by
Let’s just hope it’s accurate.
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wrote on 6 Oct 2020, 17:48 last edited by
Basically, it says your political system is like a giant tape worm.
Hard to argue with that.
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wrote on 6 Oct 2020, 19:13 last edited by
Very cool visualization
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wrote on 6 Oct 2020, 20:13 last edited by Copper 10 Jun 2020, 20:13
Trump people don't like to reveal their intentions.
Because they might get their heads bashed in
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Trump people don't like to reveal their intentions.
Because they might get their heads bashed in
wrote on 6 Oct 2020, 20:25 last edited by@Copper said in Interesting visual from 538.com:
Trump people don't like to reveal their intentions.
Because they might get their heads bashed in
To win however you need Trump people plus what are affectionally known as RHINOs. The latter group will have had to accept a lot in terms of their view of the Presidency in order to flip the same lever again. I don’t see it and place greater odds on a clear Biden win pretty close to election night.
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wrote on 6 Oct 2020, 20:37 last edited by
The thread was more about the visual display of quantitative information rather than the current state of polling.
The ribbon segments are proportional to electoral votes, and are placed in order of safe R to lean R to lean D to safe D. In the middle is the line to care about. Kind of cool.
As for the polling I think we’re all more cautious this year than 2016, but it’s hard to imagine the polling companies learned and changed nothing. 2018 polling was quite good.
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Trump people don't like to reveal their intentions.
Because they might get their heads bashed in
wrote on 7 Oct 2020, 00:32 last edited by@Copper said in Interesting visual from 538.com:
Trump people don't like to reveal their intentions.
I agree with this. I think that the actual vote will be closer than the polls are saying right now.
Even so, I do think that VP Biden has the edge.
But, yes, it is a cool way to graph it.
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wrote on 7 Oct 2020, 03:02 last edited by
Cool visualization. Also, the GOP should be concerned that Texas is becoming less and less red over the years. If that state turns (not now, but maybe by 2028?), you won't see another Republican president, maybe ever again.
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wrote on 7 Oct 2020, 03:52 last edited by
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wrote on 7 Oct 2020, 11:08 last edited by
What's "NE3"?
I wonder why DC is the most liberal state (well, it's not a state - but what's the word for states + DC?). Is there a particular explanation for that?
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What's "NE3"?
I wonder why DC is the most liberal state (well, it's not a state - but what's the word for states + DC?). Is there a particular explanation for that?
wrote on 7 Oct 2020, 11:46 last edited by@Klaus I think because Eashington DC just a city. And cities are usually democrat very strongly.
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wrote on 7 Oct 2020, 11:49 last edited by
So you think it has nothing (or little) to do with DC being the place where the government is?
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wrote on 7 Oct 2020, 12:02 last edited by
It's funny - the idea that the City of Westminster would be the most staunchly Labour constituency in the UK is hilarious.
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wrote on 7 Oct 2020, 12:19 last edited by jon-nyc 10 Jul 2020, 12:27
Klaus, DC is the most heavily african American of any voting district. It’s heavy african American population dates back to the founding when 25% of the city were enslaved people. After the civil war many freedmen flocked there too. By 1900 it had the highest percentage of blacks of any city in the US.
As for Nebraska and Maine, unlike all the other states, they don’t vote all of their electoral votes for a single candidate. They give two votes to the popular vote winner statewide, and give each congressional district a single vote. (Note that that formula 2 senators + x congressmen is how the number of electoral votes per state are decided to begin with)
One of the NE regions, Omaha and suburbs, is in play for Biden. Obama won it at least once. In Maine, one is more rural and will go for Trump, while the coastal region will go Biden.
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Klaus, DC is the most heavily african American of any voting district. It’s heavy african American population dates back to the founding when 25% of the city were enslaved people. After the civil war many freedmen flocked there too. By 1900 it had the highest percentage of blacks of any city in the US.
As for Nebraska and Maine, unlike all the other states, they don’t vote all of their electoral votes for a single candidate. They give two votes to the popular vote winner statewide, and give each congressional district a single vote. (Note that that formula 2 senators + x congressmen is how the number of electoral votes per state are decided to begin with)
One of the NE regions, Omaha and suburbs, is in play for Biden. Obama won it at least once. In Maine, one is more rural and will go for Trump, while the coastal region will go Biden.
wrote on 7 Oct 2020, 14:09 last edited by Klaus 10 Jul 2020, 14:09Thanks, Jon!
@jon-nyc said in Interesting visual from 538.com:
NE regions
Ah, so this is what NE1, NE2 etc. are - "regions". Never heard that before.
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wrote on 7 Oct 2020, 14:15 last edited by Axtremus 10 Jul 2020, 14:30
NE1, NE2, and NE3 refer to the three "congressional districts" in the state of Nebraska.
Nebraska is a state that allows the "splitting" of electoral college votes, hence it's broken down into "districts" in the graphics @jon-nyc posted.
See https://www.270towin.com/content/split-electoral-votes-maine-and-nebraska/(Otherwise, "NE" as an acronym in the context of North American geography usually refers to the New England region.)
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wrote on 28 Oct 2020, 21:11 last edited by
538's 'snake chart' now has Georgia leaning Biden, estimating 54% chance that George's electoral votes will go to Biden. Not sure how long that will last.
Ohio was also leaning Biden for a while, but now leans Trump.
