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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Subsidizing Homeborrowership

Subsidizing Homeborrowership

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  • jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote last edited by
    #1

    I have a better idea - let’s make it easier to build homes.

    If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote last edited by
      #2

      FFS

      The Brad

      1 Reply Last reply
      • LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins Dad
        wrote last edited by
        #3

        This is why you don’t elect democrats to office.

        The Brad

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nycJ Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote last edited by jon-nyc
          #4

          I ran the numbers real quick on the median mortgage (at origination) of 324k after 10 years (average time we own homes).

          At selling time you’d have 17k of equity vs 50k. That house you got the 324k mortgage for is valued at ~410k.

          17k wouldn’t cover closing costs. You built essentially no equity unless the value increased.

          If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

          LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

            I ran the numbers real quick on the median mortgage (at origination) of 324k after 10 years (average time we own homes).

            At selling time you’d have 17k of equity vs 50k. That house you got the 324k mortgage for is valued at ~410k.

            17k wouldn’t cover closing costs. You built essentially no equity unless the value increased.

            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote last edited by
            #5

            @jon-nyc said in Subsidizing Homeborrowership:

            I ran the numbers real quick on the median mortgage (at origination) of 324k after 10 years (average time we own homes).

            At selling time you’d have 17k of equity vs 50k. That house you got the 324k mortgage for is valued at ~410k.

            17k wouldn’t cover closing costs. You built essentially no equity unless the value increased.

            As a comparison the 30yr mortgage would provide 51k of equity.

            In all fairness, you would also have to factor in the home’s current market value after 10 years. That would likely bump up the equity substantially;

            The Brad

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote last edited by jon-nyc
              #6

              I did mention that that would be the entirety of your equity. Though that depends on population growth outpacing housing stock growth, which, while always true in our lifetimes, is really now dependent on immigration.

              If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                #7

                Why not perpetual mortgages?

                The UK has perpetual bonds. Some are left over from the War of Austrian Succession (~1750). They used to fuck with our modeling.

                It formalizes the idea that you make payments as low as possible and just accept that your equity will only be from appreciation

                If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nycJ Offline
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote last edited by
                  #8

                  Of course it only lowers your payment in our example by $21 a month. lol

                  If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nycJ Offline
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote last edited by
                    #9

                    By the way it looks like the UK called all its remaining perpetual bonds in 2015 - after I was out of the business. (They were always callable)

                    If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • 89th8 Offline
                      89th8 Offline
                      89th
                      wrote last edited by
                      #10

                      You know, for having the most powerful country with the best GDP and all that... we sure are putting a ton of bandaids over near-existential economic problems.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • HoraceH Online
                        HoraceH Online
                        Horace
                        wrote last edited by
                        #11

                        It's easy to understand where the economic populism of the young generation is coming from. And it's not stupid, not at all. Individual policies might be, but not the perspective on unfairness and hopelessness.

                        Education is extremely important.

                        LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Offline
                          jon-nycJ Offline
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote last edited by jon-nyc
                          #12

                          I couldn’t agree more.

                          If we would just make it legal to build housing everywhere it would go a long way to reliving it, IMO.

                          (When I say ‘everywhere’ I mean throughout the country, I don’t mean, say, in national parks).

                          If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote last edited by
                            #13

                            https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/10/trumps-50-year-mortgage-plan-is-getting-panned-allies-blame-this-man-00645654?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=dlvr.it

                            If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                            AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
                            • HoraceH Horace

                              It's easy to understand where the economic populism of the young generation is coming from. And it's not stupid, not at all. Individual policies might be, but not the perspective on unfairness and hopelessness.

                              LuFins DadL Offline
                              LuFins DadL Offline
                              LuFins Dad
                              wrote last edited by
                              #14

                              @Horace said in Subsidizing Homeborrowership:

                              It's easy to understand where the economic populism of the young generation is coming from. And it's not stupid, not at all. Individual policies might be, but not the perspective on unfairness and hopelessness.

                              Just wait till the AI layoffs hit.

                              While I’m an optimist and think there will be potential massive economic opportunities, that will be after quite a bit of economic pain for many people….

                              The Brad

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • MikM Offline
                                MikM Offline
                                Mik
                                wrote last edited by Mik
                                #15

                                Agreed, LuFin. I'm gently coaxing my daughter to get on top of this and be the one who pilots using it in project management at her firm. i say gently because she's up to her ass in alligators at the moment through poorly written contracts and scopes.

                                "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

                                89th8 1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                  https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/10/trumps-50-year-mortgage-plan-is-getting-panned-allies-blame-this-man-00645654?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=dlvr.it

                                  AxtremusA Offline
                                  AxtremusA Offline
                                  Axtremus
                                  wrote last edited by
                                  #16

                                  @jon-nyc said in Subsidizing Homeborrowership:

                                  https://www.politico.com/news/2025/11/10/trumps-50-year-mortgage-plan-is-getting-panned-allies-blame-this-man-00645654?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=dlvr.it

                                  It’s like they don’t expect Trump to be able to think for himself. How rude!

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ Offline
                                    jon-nycJ Offline
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote last edited by
                                    #17

                                    Very illuminating.

                                    IMG_8730.jpeg

                                    If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                                    LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                      Very illuminating.

                                      IMG_8730.jpeg

                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins Dad
                                      wrote last edited by
                                      #18

                                      @jon-nyc said in Subsidizing Homeborrowership:

                                      Very illuminating.

                                      IMG_8730.jpeg

                                      Kind of surprising that it went up that much. Yes, I get that interest rates nearly doubled, but I would still think that the vast majority of mortgages pre-date the rate increases and wouldn’t be affected. Plus, there’s been a substantial decrease in home purchases over the last three years with the higher rates, and to top it off, cash buyers represent over a third of those new home sales…The only way this chart makes sense to me is if more people had variable rate mortgages than I had supposed.

                                      The Brad

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • LuFins DadL Offline
                                        LuFins DadL Offline
                                        LuFins Dad
                                        wrote last edited by LuFins Dad
                                        #19

                                        Yeah, the more I think about it, that must be based on new mortgages only.

                                        Edit… Unless Interest only mortgages have made another comeback? I know a lot of investors use them when buying vacation rental properties….

                                        The Brad

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • MikM Mik

                                          Agreed, LuFin. I'm gently coaxing my daughter to get on top of this and be the one who pilots using it in project management at her firm. i say gently because she's up to her ass in alligators at the moment through poorly written contracts and scopes.

                                          89th8 Offline
                                          89th8 Offline
                                          89th
                                          wrote last edited by
                                          #20

                                          @Mik said in Subsidizing Homeborrowership:

                                          Agreed, LuFin. I'm gently coaxing my daughter to get on top of this and be the one who pilots using it in project management at her firm. i say gently because she's up to her ass in alligators at the moment through poorly written contracts and scopes.

                                          Smart, if you can get informed NOW (certs, training, youtube videos, etc) and help lead the adoption of AI tools, you will cover your butt for a few years at least. I'll start a new thread with a fun AI game called gandalf...

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