The Iran Nuclear Program thread
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 14:47 last edited by jon-nyc
The exact size of the military presence at the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant is not publicly known, but based on defense analyses and satellite imagery, experts estimate:
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Estimated Military Presence at Fordow
Permanent On-Site Security
• Likely 200–400 IRGC personnel, including:
• Facility guards
• Technical security teams
• Command staff and rapid response elementsThese forces are probably drawn from the IRGC Quds and Aerospace forces, with access tightly controlled.
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Perimeter & Area Security
• Additional 500–1,000 troops may be stationed at nearby IRGC bases that provide regional security for Fordow and Qom
• Likely include:
• Motorized infantry
• Air defense crews
• Logistics and support units⸻
Air Defense Units
• Fordow is protected by dedicated air defense batteries:
• S-300PMU-2 system (mobile or semi-permanent)
• Iranian equivalents (e.g., Bavar-373, Khordad-15)
• These systems require dozens to hundreds of personnel to operate, maintain, and coordinate radar and missile systems⸻
Total Military Footprint (Broad Estimate)
Component
Estimated Personnel
On-site security: 200–400
Regional IRGC presence: 500–1,000
Air defense teams: 100–300
Total: 800–1,700 (approx.) -
wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 15:00 last edited by
Whatever the normal staffing I’d imagine it’s a lot more this week.
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 15:12 last edited by
I'm surprised they haven't opened a day care and a hospital on the ground floor.
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 15:12 last edited by
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 15:45 last edited by
I was thinking this morning that it was weird that the WH leaked that there was going to be a statement from Trump last night, but ultimately there wasn't.
But then I remembered yesterday was Tuesday....
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 15:57 last edited by
@bachophile said in The Iran Nuclear Program thread:
Negotiaters? Defectors? VIPs looking for a safe quiet weekend?
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 16:00 last edited by
I just hope they weren't carrying weapons-grade uranium.
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 16:22 last edited by
Yes. That's the nightmare. And consistent with Iran's recent rhetoric.
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 16:32 last edited by
Alert from home front. Incoming….
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 16:48 last edited by
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 16:50 last edited by
Hey @bachophile - what do you do if you’re in surgery and one of these alerts comes in? Just hope for the best?
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 16:51 last edited by
Intercepted. Definitely see much less missiles since the first two nights. I guess the hunting expeditions are working.
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 16:52 last edited by
Fewer.
/AquaLetifer
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Hey @bachophile - what do you do if you’re in surgery and one of these alerts comes in? Just hope for the best?
wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 16:52 last edited by@jon-nyc great question
My hospital (Sheba ) has 10 ORs underground for emergencies. So we just keep on working. Sometimes we don’t even know there are alerts until they are over.
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 16:52 last edited by
@jon-nyc yup. My grammar sucks.
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 16:54 last edited by
By the way I met a young lady at your hospital recently. Can’t remember if it was AASLD, ERS, or ATS. She knew who you were though hadn’t met you.
When I asked if she knew you she said ‘of course I know who he is’.
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 17:00 last edited by Renauda
A worsening of this is what will bring regime change to Iran. We will know for certain when the women hit the streets en masse in protest because their kids are crying from hunger:
One contributor from Karaj, a city just outside of Tehran, says: "Yesterday, I went to a supermarket to buy fruit and found almost empty shelves.
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/cx23e4jz2g0t?post=asset%3Ad8dab1e5-53f4-41c9-a148-e471414bd321#post
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 17:18 last edited by
That's sad.
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wrote on 18 Jun 2025, 17:23 last edited by