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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread

Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread

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  • X Offline
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    xenon
    wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 19:53 last edited by
    #366

    That’s the most charitable interpretation.

    He could be doing this just because he wants to see others cave (even if we end up at the same or worse spot relative to where we started).

    Or he’s a true believer.

    I think it’s 2 or 3… but don’t really know.

    8 1 Reply Last reply 13 Mar 2025, 20:18
    • H Offline
      H Offline
      Horace
      wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 19:57 last edited by
      #367

      The market continues to lend more credence to his seriousness about this stuff, a day at a time. I'm not sure where it'd end up at 100% credence that these tariffs are permanent, and America is essentially isolationist. But I'm very sure that that would not be an economically great America.

      Education is extremely important.

      1 Reply Last reply
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        xenon
        wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 20:01 last edited by xenon
        #368

        I dunno - I haven’t heard specific businesses complain yet. They might be afraid of the political ramifications from being the first to speak up.

        I know from first hand experience right now that this is making business planning impossible.

        If it’s like anything else in politics, government won’t react until the problem has gotten really bad.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • C Copper
          13 Mar 2025, 19:45

          You didn't attend a lot of Trump rallies, did you?

          R Offline
          R Offline
          Renauda
          wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 20:12 last edited by Renauda
          #369

          @Copper said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

          You didn't attend a lot of Trump rallies, did you?

          If you want to contribute something to this thread then write something that gives the rest of us at least a slight impression that there is something other than shit between your ears.

          You have nothing to say other than your usual trite snark so STFU.

          Elbows up!

          1 Reply Last reply
          • H Horace
            13 Mar 2025, 19:49

            He sure is pushing a lot of America's chips to the center of the table in this ploy to, what, save a few 10s of billions in some trade agreements that he hopes Canada is motivated to amend? Create a bunch of manufacturing jobs where the workers will be paid so much more than their global counterparts that their products will have no value on the global market?

            8 Offline
            8 Offline
            89th
            wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 20:15 last edited by
            #370

            @Horace said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

            He sure is pushing a lot of America's chips to the center of the table in this ploy to, what, save a few 10s of billions in some trade agreements that he hopes Canada is motivated to amend? Create a bunch of manufacturing jobs where the workers will be paid so much more than their global counterparts that their products will have no value on the global market?

            Pretty good summary.

            @xenon about businesses complaining, I think the big businesses are a bit hesitant to criticize yet, but it'll come once their financial statements start to kill their stock price. And small businesses are ABSOLUTELY getting hosed (to use a Canadian term) right now since many rely on imported goods to support their product offerings.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • X xenon
              13 Mar 2025, 19:53

              That’s the most charitable interpretation.

              He could be doing this just because he wants to see others cave (even if we end up at the same or worse spot relative to where we started).

              Or he’s a true believer.

              I think it’s 2 or 3… but don’t really know.

              8 Offline
              8 Offline
              89th
              wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 20:18 last edited by
              #371

              @xenon said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

              He could be doing this just because he wants to see others cave (even if we end up at the same or worse spot relative to where we started).

              My prediction (note I have a losing track record lately) is that he's doing this to distract from the other land expansion idea (Greenland) where he's making bold statements and massive distractions with secretly the end goal of allowing Greenland to vote for its own independence and/or eventually become an unincorporated territory of the United States, similar to Puerto Rico. That would give the USA certain rights over the land, including natural resources and defense, while not needing to modify how many stars are on the American flag.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • H Horace
                13 Mar 2025, 19:49

                He sure is pushing a lot of America's chips to the center of the table in this ploy to, what, save a few 10s of billions in some trade agreements that he hopes Canada is motivated to amend? Create a bunch of manufacturing jobs where the workers will be paid so much more than their global counterparts that their products will have no value on the global market?

                R Offline
                R Offline
                Renauda
                wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 20:22 last edited by Renauda
                #372

                @Horace

                Create a bunch of manufacturing jobs where the workers will be paid so much more than their global counterparts that their products will have no value on the global market?

                That is question I have been wrestling with the past week or so. Sooner or later Trump will have to take on the unions to drive down the cost of labour. And not by any small margin either. He seems oblivious to the fact that manufacturing moved elsewhere owing to the high cost of US labour. We struggle with the same issue here in Canada but to a much lesser extent in part because of higher personal income taxes. Also industry here is not burdened with having to administer costly employee benefit packages such as private health care insurance or even pension funds.

                Elbows up!

                1 Reply Last reply
                • J Online
                  J Online
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 20:43 last edited by
                  #373

                  The simplest explanation is that he thinks trade deficits are a per se bad thing and tariffs are a per se good thing.

                  You were warned.

                  R 1 Reply Last reply 13 Mar 2025, 20:57
                  • X xenon
                    13 Mar 2025, 18:56

                    He says today he’s not gonna bend, subsidizing Canada for $200B a year and the only way Canada works is as a state.

                    At what point do you (can you) pull the plug on this guy

                    Link to video

                    R Offline
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                    Renauda
                    wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 20:44 last edited by
                    #374

                    @xenon said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                    He says today he’s not gonna bend, subsidizing Canada for $200B a year and the only way Canada works is as a state.

                    The more he goes on about the more we are viewing it as a destabilising threat:

                    "Is [Trump] trying to change political views in this country? If so, that's foreign interference," said Dick Fadden, who also headed CSIS and served as national security adviser to former prime minister Stephen Harper.

                    "It's no more acceptable from the United States than it is from China or Russia or anybody else."

                    https://www.cbc.ca/amp/1.7479890

                    Elbows up!

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • X Offline
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                      xenon
                      wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 20:48 last edited by
                      #375

                      Despite being such an amazing communicator, he seems to have zero empathy. As in I really don’t think he can conceptualize how this is landing with Canadians.

                      I wouldn’t go so far as to say he’s autistic, but others have mentioned it:

                      Link to video

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • J jon-nyc
                        13 Mar 2025, 20:43

                        The simplest explanation is that he thinks trade deficits are a per se bad thing and tariffs are a per se good thing.

                        R Offline
                        R Offline
                        Renauda
                        wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 20:57 last edited by Renauda
                        #376

                        @jon-nyc said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                        The simplest explanation is that he thinks trade deficits are a per se bad thing and tariffs are a per se good thing.

                        Ostensibly yes, but if you subtract the oil and gas imports from Alberta into the US, the US is actually running a trade surplus with Canada which, for the most part, is in value added products and services. Take aluminum for beer cans. We ship rolled aluminium into the US and the US sells it back to Canadian brewers as beer can blanks.

                        Arguably even the discounted oil which we send to the US gets blended with US product or as in case of natural gas, it is liquified and exported to third markets.

                        Tell me then who is subsidizing who?

                        Elbows up!

                        J 1 Reply Last reply 13 Mar 2025, 21:45
                        • H Horace
                          13 Mar 2025, 19:49

                          He sure is pushing a lot of America's chips to the center of the table in this ploy to, what, save a few 10s of billions in some trade agreements that he hopes Canada is motivated to amend? Create a bunch of manufacturing jobs where the workers will be paid so much more than their global counterparts that their products will have no value on the global market?

                          J Offline
                          J Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 20:58 last edited by
                          #377

                          @Horace said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                          He sure is pushing a lot of America's chips to the center of the table in this ploy to, what, save a few 10s of billions in some trade agreements that he hopes Canada is motivated to amend? Create a bunch of manufacturing jobs where the workers will be paid so much more than their global counterparts that their products will have no value on the global market?

                          Link to video

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          H 1 Reply Last reply 13 Mar 2025, 21:22
                          • J Jolly
                            13 Mar 2025, 20:58

                            @Horace said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                            He sure is pushing a lot of America's chips to the center of the table in this ploy to, what, save a few 10s of billions in some trade agreements that he hopes Canada is motivated to amend? Create a bunch of manufacturing jobs where the workers will be paid so much more than their global counterparts that their products will have no value on the global market?

                            Link to video

                            H Offline
                            H Offline
                            Horace
                            wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 21:22 last edited by
                            #378

                            @Jolly said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                            @Horace said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                            He sure is pushing a lot of America's chips to the center of the table in this ploy to, what, save a few 10s of billions in some trade agreements that he hopes Canada is motivated to amend? Create a bunch of manufacturing jobs where the workers will be paid so much more than their global counterparts that their products will have no value on the global market?

                            Link to video

                            O'Leary presents a best case scenario of unknown (to me) plausibility, about how this tariff war could result in a zero-tariff free market between the US and Canada. Then Lutnick presents a strange case scenario where tariffs are used to fund an eradication of income tax for anybody making less than 150k. The Trump whisperers aren't cohering with each other.

                            Education is extremely important.

                            J 1 Reply Last reply 14 Mar 2025, 00:23
                            • X Offline
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                              xenon
                              wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 21:33 last edited by xenon
                              #379

                              Canada’s value weighted tariffs on American goods is 1.4%, American’s on Canada’s goods are about 1.7%.

                              Getting to zero is…. Not a big deal.

                              Everyone knows better.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • X xenon
                                13 Mar 2025, 18:56

                                He says today he’s not gonna bend, subsidizing Canada for $200B a year and the only way Canada works is as a state.

                                At what point do you (can you) pull the plug on this guy

                                Link to video

                                AxtremusA Offline
                                AxtremusA Offline
                                Axtremus
                                wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 21:39 last edited by
                                #380

                                @xenon said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                                At what point do you (can you) pull the plug on this guy

                                It's called "impeachment"; so far zero for two against this guy.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • J Online
                                  J Online
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 21:44 last edited by
                                  #381

                                  Actually 2 for 2. It’s the convictions that are elusive.

                                  You were warned.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • R Renauda
                                    13 Mar 2025, 20:57

                                    @jon-nyc said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                                    The simplest explanation is that he thinks trade deficits are a per se bad thing and tariffs are a per se good thing.

                                    Ostensibly yes, but if you subtract the oil and gas imports from Alberta into the US, the US is actually running a trade surplus with Canada which, for the most part, is in value added products and services. Take aluminum for beer cans. We ship rolled aluminium into the US and the US sells it back to Canadian brewers as beer can blanks.

                                    Arguably even the discounted oil which we send to the US gets blended with US product or as in case of natural gas, it is liquified and exported to third markets.

                                    Tell me then who is subsidizing who?

                                    J Online
                                    J Online
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 21:45 last edited by jon-nyc
                                    #382

                                    @Renauda said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                                    @jon-nyc said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                                    The simplest explanation is that he thinks trade deficits are a per se bad thing and tariffs are a per se good thing.

                                    Ostensibly yes, but if you subtract the oil and gas imports from Alberta into the US, the US is actually running a trade surplus with Canada which for the most part is in value added products and services. Take aluminum for beer cans. We ship rolled aluminium into the US and the US sells it back to Canadian brewers as beer can blanks.

                                    Arguably even the discounted oil which we send to the US gets blended with US product or as in case of natural gas, it is liquified and exported to third markets.

                                    Tell me then who is subsidizing who?

                                    I agree with all you say here but that’s a bit too detailed for Trump’s attention span. He sees the top line number and decides we’re being ‘ripped off’.

                                    You were warned.

                                    R 1 Reply Last reply 13 Mar 2025, 22:39
                                    • J jon-nyc
                                      13 Mar 2025, 21:45

                                      @Renauda said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                                      @jon-nyc said in Canadian Tariff situation gets its own thread:

                                      The simplest explanation is that he thinks trade deficits are a per se bad thing and tariffs are a per se good thing.

                                      Ostensibly yes, but if you subtract the oil and gas imports from Alberta into the US, the US is actually running a trade surplus with Canada which for the most part is in value added products and services. Take aluminum for beer cans. We ship rolled aluminium into the US and the US sells it back to Canadian brewers as beer can blanks.

                                      Arguably even the discounted oil which we send to the US gets blended with US product or as in case of natural gas, it is liquified and exported to third markets.

                                      Tell me then who is subsidizing who?

                                      I agree with all you say here but that’s a bit too detailed for Trump’s attention span. He sees the top line number and decides we’re being ‘ripped off’.

                                      R Offline
                                      R Offline
                                      Renauda
                                      wrote on 13 Mar 2025, 22:39 last edited by Renauda
                                      #383

                                      @jon-nyc

                                      I agree with all you say here but that’s a bit too detailed for Trump’s attention span.

                                      Not just Trump’s. I can think of a couple of others as well.

                                      Elbows up!

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • taiwan_girlT Offline
                                        taiwan_girlT Offline
                                        taiwan_girl
                                        wrote on 14 Mar 2025, 00:13 last edited by
                                        #384

                                        Anybody here know anybody who has "buyer remorse" from the election?

                                        I am guess it is still too early for that to happen. Maybe best to come back to this question end June.

                                        8 H C 3 Replies Last reply 14 Mar 2025, 02:15
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                                          xenon
                                          wrote on 14 Mar 2025, 00:19 last edited by
                                          #385

                                          I don’t understand why we needed this guy as the Republican nominee… too late to think about that now.

                                          On the one hand, I love that the dems got burned down to the ground. On the other hand, Kamala would have been way better than this. Hell, Biden would have been better.

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