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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Trumpenomics

Trumpenomics

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  • HoraceH Horace

    Stock market? More like drop market.

    CopperC Offline
    CopperC Offline
    Copper
    wrote on last edited by
    #169

    @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

    Stock market? More like drop market.

    Not any more, today it is going up like a rocket!

    Let's all celebrate!

    Thanks to Mr. Trump!

    1 Reply Last reply
    • 89th8 Offline
      89th8 Offline
      89th
      wrote on last edited by
      #170

      IMG_2177.jpeg

      1 Reply Last reply
      • AxtremusA Offline
        AxtremusA Offline
        Axtremus
        wrote on last edited by
        #171

        North Dakota went big for Trump. Now many farmers say they face an uncertain future

        https://www.npr.org/2025/03/14/nx-s1-5320335/north-dakota-went-big-for-trump-now-many-farmers-say-they-face-an-uncertain-future

        As they get bit by tariffs, the North Dakota farmers who voted for Trump may be experiencing "buyer's remorse."

        CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
        • AxtremusA Axtremus

          North Dakota went big for Trump. Now many farmers say they face an uncertain future

          https://www.npr.org/2025/03/14/nx-s1-5320335/north-dakota-went-big-for-trump-now-many-farmers-say-they-face-an-uncertain-future

          As they get bit by tariffs, the North Dakota farmers who voted for Trump may be experiencing "buyer's remorse."

          CopperC Offline
          CopperC Offline
          Copper
          wrote on last edited by
          #172

          @Axtremus said in Trumpenomics:

          farmers say they face an uncertain future

          Was there ever a farmer who did not face an uncertain future?

          1 Reply Last reply
          • HoraceH Offline
            HoraceH Offline
            Horace
            wrote on last edited by
            #173

            I’ll be worried if the tariffs don’t drop his poll numbers noticeably.

            Education is extremely important.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

              @89th said in Trumpenomics:

              "Tariffs are a tax a tax hike on foreign countries. Tariffs are a tax cut for the American people."

              Press secretary has to be one of the worst jobs I would not want.

              N Offline
              N Offline
              NobodySock
              wrote on last edited by
              #174

              @taiwan_girl said in Trumpenomics:

              @89th said in Trumpenomics:

              "Tariffs are a tax a tax hike on foreign countries. Tariffs are a tax cut for the American people."

              Press secretary has to be one of the worst jobs I would not want.

              If you lie good enough, you can become governor of a red state the very next election.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                Fifth fasted correction since 1950.

                IMG_3593.jpeg

                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on last edited by
                #175

                @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                Fifth fasted correction since 1950.

                IMG_3593.jpeg

                That’s great news! It means everyone is investing in bonds, which is huge since we’re raising our debt and pretty soon no other countries will want to buy it! Winning at 5D Chess!

                The Brad

                1 Reply Last reply
                • JollyJ Offline
                  JollyJ Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on last edited by Jolly
                  #176

                  If you lie good enough, you can become governor of a red state the very next election.

                  Or you can run for POTUS in the 2028 Democrat primaries.

                  Helps if you're half dead. Bring your own bongos.

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #177

                    Ha.

                    Only non-witches get due process.

                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • HoraceH Offline
                      HoraceH Offline
                      Horace
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #178

                      Good take from Larry Summers, starting at 9:30.

                      Link to video

                      Education is extremely important.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #179

                        Funny how they never claimed the stock market was "overvalued" during the late Biden administration, the fall campaign, the transition, or even Trump's first month when he promised immediate prosperity.

                        But his tariffs cause a 10% freefall and suddenly "corrections are healthy."

                        IMG_3668.jpeg

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                        • HoraceH Offline
                          HoraceH Offline
                          Horace
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #180

                          There was always a fair case to be made that the market was overvalued (and continues to be). But that doesn't mean that this correction has anything to do with anything other than the chaos tariffs.

                          Education is extremely important.

                          jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                            Funny how they never claimed the stock market was "overvalued" during the late Biden administration, the fall campaign, the transition, or even Trump's first month when he promised immediate prosperity.

                            But his tariffs cause a 10% freefall and suddenly "corrections are healthy."

                            IMG_3668.jpeg

                            LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins Dad
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #181

                            @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                            Funny how they never claimed the stock market was "overvalued" during the late Biden administration, the fall campaign, the transition, or even Trump's first month when he promised immediate prosperity.

                            But his tariffs cause a 10% freefall and suddenly "corrections are healthy."

                            IMG_3668.jpeg

                            That’s willfully ignoring many posts and links from @Jolly over that time discussing the real estate bubble and way out of proportion PE Ratios. There were discussions about why Buffett was holding so much cash, and several times there were links provided where Trump himself was stating there was a likely recession coming and he almost didn’t want the job because of the predicted downturn.

                            All that being said, as @Horace pointed out, we are all still blaming the current fall on the Trump Tariff Tangent, and it’s likely not a true correction. We will have to wait and see.

                            The Brad

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • HoraceH Horace

                              There was always a fair case to be made that the market was overvalued (and continues to be). But that doesn't mean that this correction has anything to do with anything other than the chaos tariffs.

                              jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                              #182

                              @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                              There was always a fair case to be made that the market was overvalued (and continues to be). But that doesn't mean that this correction has anything to do with anything other than the chaos tariffs.

                              My point was they (Trump and his financial team) never even hinted that they believed that before the Trump sell off.

                              Only non-witches get due process.

                              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                              HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                              • X Offline
                                X Offline
                                xenon
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #183

                                Existing over valuation - if it were real - makes the situation worse.

                                The fed will use its dry powder to combat the tariff-induced slowdown. When (if) the real slowdown comes, we’re extra fucked.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                  @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                                  There was always a fair case to be made that the market was overvalued (and continues to be). But that doesn't mean that this correction has anything to do with anything other than the chaos tariffs.

                                  My point was they (Trump and his financial team) never even hinted that they believed that before the Trump sell off.

                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  Horace
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #184

                                  @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                                  @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                                  There was always a fair case to be made that the market was overvalued (and continues to be). But that doesn't mean that this correction has anything to do with anything other than the chaos tariffs.

                                  My point was they (Trump and his financial team) never even hinted that they believed that before the Trump sell off.

                                  I took your point, that they are using situational rhetoric. That would be ubiquitous in all of politics.

                                  Education is extremely important.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • HoraceH Offline
                                    HoraceH Offline
                                    Horace
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #185

                                    I wonder how much money will go to the coffers through these tariffs. It seems like that's never talked about. I'm not sure it's even budgeted in the deficit forecasts. Of course, nobody knows what the tariffs will be, so there's good reason not to budget them.

                                    Education is extremely important.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • X Offline
                                      X Offline
                                      xenon
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #186

                                      Current total tariffable trade is $4T. At 25% that’d be $1T.

                                      But either the tariffs are about stopping imports to stimulate domestic producers or it’s about raising revenue. Can’t be both.

                                      HoraceH jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
                                      • X xenon

                                        Current total tariffable trade is $4T. At 25% that’d be $1T.

                                        But either the tariffs are about stopping imports to stimulate domestic producers or it’s about raising revenue. Can’t be both.

                                        HoraceH Offline
                                        HoraceH Offline
                                        Horace
                                        wrote on last edited by Horace
                                        #187

                                        @xenon I think the practical effect of tariffs is necessarily a bit of both.

                                        But the part where it's a supposedly good thing to bring back a bunch of mindless assembly line jobs at inflated wages in a dying industry that is destined to be overtaken by machines, makes me a little sick in my stomach. Then if it got to the point where we didn't allow those jobs to be overtaken by machines, because of union protectionism, while the rest of the world sprinted past us with automation, that becomes dystopic. Manufacturing jobs are nobody's American dream.

                                        Education is extremely important.

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins DadL Offline
                                          LuFins Dad
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #188

                                          If it was possible to have factories up and running within a month or two, this still wouldn’t have merit.

                                          The Brad

                                          HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
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