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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Trumpenomics

Trumpenomics

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  • jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by
    #168

    Fifth fasted correction since 1950.

    IMG_3593.jpeg

    You were warned.

    LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
    • HoraceH Horace

      Stock market? More like drop market.

      CopperC Offline
      CopperC Offline
      Copper
      wrote on last edited by
      #169

      @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

      Stock market? More like drop market.

      Not any more, today it is going up like a rocket!

      Let's all celebrate!

      Thanks to Mr. Trump!

      1 Reply Last reply
      • 89th8 Offline
        89th8 Offline
        89th
        wrote on last edited by
        #170

        IMG_2177.jpeg

        1 Reply Last reply
        • AxtremusA Offline
          AxtremusA Offline
          Axtremus
          wrote on last edited by
          #171

          North Dakota went big for Trump. Now many farmers say they face an uncertain future

          https://www.npr.org/2025/03/14/nx-s1-5320335/north-dakota-went-big-for-trump-now-many-farmers-say-they-face-an-uncertain-future

          As they get bit by tariffs, the North Dakota farmers who voted for Trump may be experiencing "buyer's remorse."

          CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
          • AxtremusA Axtremus

            North Dakota went big for Trump. Now many farmers say they face an uncertain future

            https://www.npr.org/2025/03/14/nx-s1-5320335/north-dakota-went-big-for-trump-now-many-farmers-say-they-face-an-uncertain-future

            As they get bit by tariffs, the North Dakota farmers who voted for Trump may be experiencing "buyer's remorse."

            CopperC Offline
            CopperC Offline
            Copper
            wrote on last edited by
            #172

            @Axtremus said in Trumpenomics:

            farmers say they face an uncertain future

            Was there ever a farmer who did not face an uncertain future?

            1 Reply Last reply
            • HoraceH Online
              HoraceH Online
              Horace
              wrote on last edited by
              #173

              I’ll be worried if the tariffs don’t drop his poll numbers noticeably.

              Education is extremely important.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                @89th said in Trumpenomics:

                "Tariffs are a tax a tax hike on foreign countries. Tariffs are a tax cut for the American people."

                Press secretary has to be one of the worst jobs I would not want.

                N Offline
                N Offline
                NobodySock
                wrote on last edited by
                #174

                @taiwan_girl said in Trumpenomics:

                @89th said in Trumpenomics:

                "Tariffs are a tax a tax hike on foreign countries. Tariffs are a tax cut for the American people."

                Press secretary has to be one of the worst jobs I would not want.

                If you lie good enough, you can become governor of a red state the very next election.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                  Fifth fasted correction since 1950.

                  IMG_3593.jpeg

                  LuFins DadL Offline
                  LuFins DadL Offline
                  LuFins Dad
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #175

                  @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                  Fifth fasted correction since 1950.

                  IMG_3593.jpeg

                  That’s great news! It means everyone is investing in bonds, which is huge since we’re raising our debt and pretty soon no other countries will want to buy it! Winning at 5D Chess!

                  The Brad

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • JollyJ Offline
                    JollyJ Offline
                    Jolly
                    wrote on last edited by Jolly
                    #176

                    If you lie good enough, you can become governor of a red state the very next election.

                    Or you can run for POTUS in the 2028 Democrat primaries.

                    Helps if you're half dead. Bring your own bongos.

                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #177

                      Ha.

                      You were warned.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • HoraceH Online
                        HoraceH Online
                        Horace
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #178

                        Good take from Larry Summers, starting at 9:30.

                        Link to video

                        Education is extremely important.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #179

                          Funny how they never claimed the stock market was "overvalued" during the late Biden administration, the fall campaign, the transition, or even Trump's first month when he promised immediate prosperity.

                          But his tariffs cause a 10% freefall and suddenly "corrections are healthy."

                          IMG_3668.jpeg

                          You were warned.

                          LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Online
                            HoraceH Online
                            Horace
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #180

                            There was always a fair case to be made that the market was overvalued (and continues to be). But that doesn't mean that this correction has anything to do with anything other than the chaos tariffs.

                            Education is extremely important.

                            jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                              Funny how they never claimed the stock market was "overvalued" during the late Biden administration, the fall campaign, the transition, or even Trump's first month when he promised immediate prosperity.

                              But his tariffs cause a 10% freefall and suddenly "corrections are healthy."

                              IMG_3668.jpeg

                              LuFins DadL Offline
                              LuFins DadL Offline
                              LuFins Dad
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #181

                              @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                              Funny how they never claimed the stock market was "overvalued" during the late Biden administration, the fall campaign, the transition, or even Trump's first month when he promised immediate prosperity.

                              But his tariffs cause a 10% freefall and suddenly "corrections are healthy."

                              IMG_3668.jpeg

                              That’s willfully ignoring many posts and links from @Jolly over that time discussing the real estate bubble and way out of proportion PE Ratios. There were discussions about why Buffett was holding so much cash, and several times there were links provided where Trump himself was stating there was a likely recession coming and he almost didn’t want the job because of the predicted downturn.

                              All that being said, as @Horace pointed out, we are all still blaming the current fall on the Trump Tariff Tangent, and it’s likely not a true correction. We will have to wait and see.

                              The Brad

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • HoraceH Horace

                                There was always a fair case to be made that the market was overvalued (and continues to be). But that doesn't mean that this correction has anything to do with anything other than the chaos tariffs.

                                jon-nycJ Online
                                jon-nycJ Online
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                #182

                                @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                                There was always a fair case to be made that the market was overvalued (and continues to be). But that doesn't mean that this correction has anything to do with anything other than the chaos tariffs.

                                My point was they (Trump and his financial team) never even hinted that they believed that before the Trump sell off.

                                You were warned.

                                HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                                • X Offline
                                  X Offline
                                  xenon
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #183

                                  Existing over valuation - if it were real - makes the situation worse.

                                  The fed will use its dry powder to combat the tariff-induced slowdown. When (if) the real slowdown comes, we’re extra fucked.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                    @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                                    There was always a fair case to be made that the market was overvalued (and continues to be). But that doesn't mean that this correction has anything to do with anything other than the chaos tariffs.

                                    My point was they (Trump and his financial team) never even hinted that they believed that before the Trump sell off.

                                    HoraceH Online
                                    HoraceH Online
                                    Horace
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #184

                                    @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                                    @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                                    There was always a fair case to be made that the market was overvalued (and continues to be). But that doesn't mean that this correction has anything to do with anything other than the chaos tariffs.

                                    My point was they (Trump and his financial team) never even hinted that they believed that before the Trump sell off.

                                    I took your point, that they are using situational rhetoric. That would be ubiquitous in all of politics.

                                    Education is extremely important.

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • HoraceH Online
                                      HoraceH Online
                                      Horace
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #185

                                      I wonder how much money will go to the coffers through these tariffs. It seems like that's never talked about. I'm not sure it's even budgeted in the deficit forecasts. Of course, nobody knows what the tariffs will be, so there's good reason not to budget them.

                                      Education is extremely important.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • X Offline
                                        X Offline
                                        xenon
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #186

                                        Current total tariffable trade is $4T. At 25% that’d be $1T.

                                        But either the tariffs are about stopping imports to stimulate domestic producers or it’s about raising revenue. Can’t be both.

                                        HoraceH jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
                                        • X xenon

                                          Current total tariffable trade is $4T. At 25% that’d be $1T.

                                          But either the tariffs are about stopping imports to stimulate domestic producers or it’s about raising revenue. Can’t be both.

                                          HoraceH Online
                                          HoraceH Online
                                          Horace
                                          wrote on last edited by Horace
                                          #187

                                          @xenon I think the practical effect of tariffs is necessarily a bit of both.

                                          But the part where it's a supposedly good thing to bring back a bunch of mindless assembly line jobs at inflated wages in a dying industry that is destined to be overtaken by machines, makes me a little sick in my stomach. Then if it got to the point where we didn't allow those jobs to be overtaken by machines, because of union protectionism, while the rest of the world sprinted past us with automation, that becomes dystopic. Manufacturing jobs are nobody's American dream.

                                          Education is extremely important.

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