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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
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  3. Trumpenomics

Trumpenomics

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  • X Offline
    X Offline
    xenon
    wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 15:21 last edited by
    #100

    I’m going to assume that he takes an off-ramp if things get really hairy.

    But what is the escape hatch if he starts digging his heels in?

    1 Reply Last reply
    • J Online
      J Online
      jon-nyc
      wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 15:27 last edited by
      #101

      Interesting from Cato.

      On shoring all Canadian aluminum would require "over 40 million megawatt-hours of electricity. This is nearly four and a half times the annual electricity production of the Hoover Dam, enough to power 460 data centers or the entire state of Nevada for a year"

      Only non-witches get due process.

      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
      1 Reply Last reply
      • R Offline
        R Offline
        Renauda
        wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 15:33 last edited by Renauda 3 Oct 2025, 15:44
        #102

        Premier of Ontario just announced 10 minutes ago that effective immediately Ontario will impose a 25% surcharge on its electricity exports into US until such time all threats of US tariffs against Canada are off the table. He also stated that if the US retaliates, he will increase the export surcharge or shut off all electrical power exports from Ontario into the US.

        Elbows up!

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        • X Offline
          X Offline
          xenon
          wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 16:02 last edited by
          #103

          The premier of BC put in place legislation to start charging levies on commercial trucks going up to Alaska.

          Not saying that’s the right thing to do - but these guys are going on their war footing.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • H Offline
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            Horace
            wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 16:06 last edited by
            #104

            I wonder what fraction of a percentage of the American economy these better trade agreements might even be worth. In the best case scenario that better trade agreements are the actual motivation here, rather than an attempt to remake an isolationist America, for which Maga does not have nearly enough runway, and so it would end up being a destructive and aborted project after the next election.

            Education is extremely important.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • J Online
              J Online
              jon-nyc
              wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 16:16 last edited by
              #105

              I don’t know how we could have known that mercantilist trade policy would be captured by special interests.

              Only non-witches get due process.

              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
              1 Reply Last reply
              • X Offline
                X Offline
                xenon
                wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 17:53 last edited by
                #106

                Betting markets have recession chance at 40% right now.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • H Offline
                  H Offline
                  Horace
                  wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 19:09 last edited by
                  #107

                  Today seems to be verging on an historic daily loss. The market doesn't trust that Trump won't actually go through with the ruinous tariffs.

                  Education is extremely important.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • J Offline
                    J Offline
                    Jolly
                    wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 19:10 last edited by
                    #108

                    Recession?

                    Don't think so. I do think we're in for a slow down.

                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

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                    • J Online
                      J Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 19:21 last edited by
                      #109

                      I don’t know that we’ve ever had a recession with a single author before. This is very preventable and who knows he may still back off.

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • R Offline
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                        Renauda
                        wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 20:09 last edited by
                        #110

                        Slow down or full blown recession both trace back to one stupid narcissist who thought he could fool the market.

                        Elbows up!

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • D Offline
                          D Offline
                          Doctor Phibes
                          wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 21:29 last edited by
                          #111

                          Ok, I’m tired of winning.

                          I was only joking

                          R 1 Reply Last reply 10 Mar 2025, 21:44
                          • D Doctor Phibes
                            10 Mar 2025, 21:29

                            Ok, I’m tired of winning.

                            R Offline
                            R Offline
                            Renauda
                            wrote on 10 Mar 2025, 21:44 last edited by Renauda 3 Oct 2025, 21:45
                            #112

                            @Doctor-Phibes

                            Ok, I’m tired of winning.

                            No need to dog whistle the resident MAGAt troll. It will show up anyway barking the usual trite tidbit of vacuous snark.

                            Elbows up!

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • J Online
                              J Online
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on 11 Mar 2025, 00:11 last edited by
                              #113

                              IMG_3523.jpeg

                              Only non-witches get due process.

                              • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • H Offline
                                H Offline
                                Horace
                                wrote on 11 Mar 2025, 00:22 last edited by
                                #114

                                By my quick calculations, the S&P 500 companies alone lost about 15% of the national debt in market cap over the past month or so of tariff chaos.

                                Of course, market cap losses are not the same thing as getting that much liquid value out of the stocks. Any such attempt would drive the price way lower, I guess.

                                Education is extremely important.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • X Offline
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                                  xenon
                                  wrote on 11 Mar 2025, 01:13 last edited by xenon 3 Nov 2025, 01:14
                                  #115

                                  My worry is supply chain de-coupling. After Trump 45, the most successful part of his China policy was getting companies to factor in risks from investing in China.

                                  It caused many new plant investments to shift away from China.

                                  European and Canadian companies (really anyone), will now think twice before they invest in the US as a part of their supply chain or end market.

                                  That’s not a win for the US. It seems like he’s burning the boats for some inexplicable reason.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • J Online
                                    J Online
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on 11 Mar 2025, 01:27 last edited by
                                    #116

                                    Only non-witches get due process.

                                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • H Offline
                                      H Offline
                                      Horace
                                      wrote on 11 Mar 2025, 01:37 last edited by
                                      #117

                                      I might buy some calls if this keeps up.

                                      Education is extremely important.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • 8 Online
                                        8 Online
                                        89th
                                        wrote on 11 Mar 2025, 02:11 last edited by
                                        #118

                                        I never try and time the market... but if the S&P dips down to like 5,000... I'll probably change some investments into "super aggressive growth" mode to ride the eventual rise.

                                        Keep in mind Biden saw a 60% increase in the S&P, and Trump 1st term also so a 60% increase. It hasn't been too bad over the last 5 years (see below) and has been great since 2010.

                                        image.png

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • L LuFins Dad
                                          6 Mar 2025, 22:56

                                          Nobody’s talking about gas.. I just filled up at $2.80 per gallon.

                                          N Offline
                                          N Offline
                                          NobodySock
                                          wrote on 11 Mar 2025, 02:59 last edited by
                                          #119

                                          @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                                          Nobody’s talking about gas.. I just filled up at $2.80 per gallon.

                                          5 bucks a gallon for Premium with cash. 5.25 with credit. But our gas is really a gas. So clean since we tax the ugly bits out of it.

                                          N 2 Replies Last reply 11 Mar 2025, 03:03
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