Cheap AI LLMs from China
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@89th The market as a whole was certainly surprised, given the massive movement today. As for individual investors, I don't attempt to distinguish the smart from the stupid, and individual results don't often bear out any such distinction. You can call Buffett smart, or Jim Simons. But I don't think there's a community of "smart" investors who all think similarly, unless you want to call the "diversify and rebalance" crowd that. Anyway, anybody who got in on NVDA at the start of the AI craze is still up many-many-fold. Hard to call them ignorant.
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Today may represent a buying opportunity?
Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) former CEO Pat Gelsinger called out the market for overreacting to the news of China's DeepSeek artificial intelligence model.
AI stocks collapsed across the board on Monday as DeepSeek's chatbot rose to the top of the most downloaded app on Apple's (AAPL) App Store.
However, Gelsinger pointed out that if DeepSeek proves that large language models can be created with less computing power, it stands to reason AI will grow even more.
"Wisdom is learning the lessons we thought we already knew," Gelsinger said in a post on X. "DeepSeek reminds us of three important learnings from computing history: 1) Computing obeys the gas law. Making it dramatically cheaper will expand the market for it. The markets are getting it wrong, this will make AI much more broadly deployed. 2) Engineering is about constraints. The Chinese engineers had limited resources, and they had to find creative solutions. 3) Open Wins. DeepSeek will help reset the increasingly closed world of foundational AI model work. Thank you DeepSeek team."
DeepSeek reportedly developed its LLM at a fraction of the cost and compute power of competitors.
"The model was developed by the Chinese AI startup DeepSeek, which claims that R1 matches or even surpasses OpenAI's ChatGPT o1 on multiple key benchmarks but operates at a fraction of the cost," according to a report by the MIT Technology Review.
Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) shares tanked 17% by afternoon trading, while Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) plummeted 19%. Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), which is a primary backer of OpenAI, slipped 2.5%.
However, after reaching the No. 1 ranking in App Store downloads, DeepSeek quickly limited availability of its software, citing hackers as the reason.
"Due to large-scale malicious attacks on DeepSeek's services, we are temporarily limiting registrations to ensure continued service," DeepSeek said. "Existing users can log in as usual. Thanks for your understanding and support."
