SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST
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@George-K said in SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST:
@89th said in SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST:
Odds it’ll catch again?
Polymarket has it at 77% or so.
Yeah that’d be my guess too.
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I'm reading the Musk biography.
He's been fascinated with rockets since he was a kid.
“Musk incorporated Space Exploration Technologies in May 2002. At first he called the company by its initials, SET. A few months later, he highlighted his favorite letter by moving to a more memorable moniker, SpaceX. Its goal, he said in an early presentation, was to launch its first rocket by September 2003 and to send an unmanned mission to Mars by 2010. Thus continued the tradition he had established at PayPal: setting unrealistic timelines that transformed his wild notions from being completely insane to being merely very late.”
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@Horace said in SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST:
I sort of believe it when people say he’s not really a scientific or engineering genius per se. Does the book indicate any extraordinary precociousness?
He lives audaciously. He's bright - but not warm and fuzzy. He pushes himself and those around him - a lot. With SpaceX - he liked to show up conventional business practices. He wanted to show up the idiocy of paying for normal business practices - i.e. oodles of specifications set by bureaucrats and paying for incompetence. He avoided all of that - and instead aimed at the outcome - and how to get their quickly and economically - available parts that do the job - as opposed to custom. He likes to roll the dice - and put it all on the line - and has done that more than once. Not an easy person to work with or for - but he's rolled that dice successfully more times than one should expect.
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@kluurs said in SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST:
@Horace said in SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST:
I sort of believe it when people say he’s not really a scientific or engineering genius per se. Does the book indicate any extraordinary precociousness?
He lives audaciously. He's bright - but not warm and fuzzy. He pushes himself and those around him - a lot. With SpaceX - he liked to show up conventional business practices. He wanted to show up the idiocy of paying for normal business practices - i.e. oodles of specifications set by bureaucrats and paying for incompetence. He avoided all of that - and instead aimed at the outcome - and how to get their quickly and economically - available parts that do the job - as opposed to custom. He likes to roll the dice - and put it all on the line - and has done that more than once. Not an easy person to work with or for - but he's rolled that dice successfully more times than one should expect.
'That’s around what I thought. So, no “super genius” anecdotes around scientific or engineering problems, but a business innovator and risk taker and many times success story. I guess we can hope as a planet that he’s not just the coin that came up heads 30 times in a row. He sure is imposing his will, not that I have any issues with his will so far.
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@Horace said in SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST:
risk taker and many times success story
“Some people were playing a high-stakes game of Texas Hold ’Em. Although Musk was not a card player, he pulled up to the table. “There were all these nerds and sharpsters who were good at memorizing cards and calculating odds,” “Levchin says. “Elon just proceeded to go all in on every hand and lose. Then he would buy more chips and double down. Eventually, after losing many hands, he went all in and won. Then he said, ‘Right, fine, I’m done.’ ” It would be a theme in his life: avoid taking chips off the table; keep risking them.”
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@George-K said in SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST:
@Horace said in SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST:
risk taker and many times success story
“Some people were playing a high-stakes game of Texas Hold ’Em. Although Musk was not a card player, he pulled up to the table. “There were all these nerds and sharpsters who were good at memorizing cards and calculating odds,” “Levchin says. “Elon just proceeded to go all in on every hand and lose. Then he would buy more chips and double down. Eventually, after losing many hands, he went all in and won. Then he said, ‘Right, fine, I’m done.’ ” It would be a theme in his life: avoid taking chips off the table; keep risking them.”
That doesn't even qualify as smart. In fact he picked the one strategy at that table that could possibly have lost him his whole fortune.
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@George-K said in SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST:
@89th said in SpaceX to launch Starship 6 tomorrow at 4 EST:
Odds it’ll catch again?
Polymarket has it at 77% or so.
Yeah I want to know which side the SpaceX engineers put their money on.