It’s starting
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Nate Silver’s model
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Not sure I understand the chart. What are the first two columns meaning?
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Date range of polling, and number/group. LV= likely voters
DON’T let them eat cake.
- RFK Jr -
Respectively the probabilities his model assigns to winning/losing the electoral college and popular votes. NOT a prediction of the vote outcome (those are later columns)
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The betting markets shifted back to Trump, yesterday.
Me/rry/Christmas
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@LuFins-Dad said in It’s starting:
The betting markets shifted back to Trump, yesterday.
Please ask him to keep his mouth shut.
Not one word.
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It’s the
Crank RealignmentRFK Jr endorsement.Let’s remember RFK was at 20% some months ago and 2% last week. By Election Day he should be a 6pt drag.
DON’T let them eat cake.
- RFK Jr -
@jon-nyc said in It’s starting:
It’s the
Crank RealignmentRFK Jr endorsement.Let’s remember RFK was at 20% some months ago and 2% last week. By Election Day he should be a 6pt drag.
Your girl has already peaked, Jon. You know it.
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Who knows?
After her one interview, Kamala-lama-ding-dong may not do another. If she can keep the electorate from figuring out how goofy she is and the MSM keeps up the coronation music, all she has to do is survive the debate.
By that time, early voting starts and the Big Blue Machine kicks in. Throw in a jail sentence by Bragg's Boy and who knows what can happen?
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Silver’s pissing a lot of people off…
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Another silver polll, just sayin….
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@bachophile said in It’s starting:
Another silver polll, just sayin….
Not a poll, a model based on all the polls and statistical data. And that model and statistician was the only one that gave Trump anything over 5%, Silver was the lone voice that started going on TV and warning that the pundits were wrong, and that Trump was starting to gain momentum and posed a significant chance of winning. He got laughed at and insulted by The NY Times and WaPo.
That model you point to doesn’t diminish my point or confidence, but actually reinforces it.
