Wave two seems to have crested
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What happens next? The most 2020 thing would be a month of slow decline but to a higher plateau than May, followed by an even larger wave hitting in September/October.
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Interesting that the number of new cases is almost triple the number that we saw in the first wave, the number of deaths (so far) is only about ⅓. Yeah, I know, two weeks, but it seems like we're getting a bit better treating the disease, at least in the acute phase.
"Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08
The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.
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@George-K said in Wave two seems to have crested:
Interesting that the number of new cases is almost triple the number that we saw in the first wave, the number of deaths (so far) is only about ⅓. Yeah, I know, two weeks, but it seems like we're getting a bit better treating the disease, at least in the acute phase.
We’ve been saying “wait two weeks” for the last two months in regards to IFR and CFR. Sooner or later the lower death rate has to be acknowledged.
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Treatment is one possible reason, but I think the biggest difference maker has been not putting confirmed COVID cases into frigging nursing homes.
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@LuFins-Dad said in Wave two seems to have crested:
@George-K said in Wave two seems to have crested:
Interesting that the number of new cases is almost triple the number that we saw in the first wave, the number of deaths (so far) is only about ⅓. Yeah, I know, two weeks, but it seems like we're getting a bit better treating the disease, at least in the acute phase.
We’ve been saying “wait two weeks” for the last two months in regards to IFR and CFR. Sooner or later the lower death rate has to be acknowledged.
No no no. When the death rate wasn't increasing with the case count we said wait 2-3 weeks. And lo and behold, it eventually started increasing.
Nobody thought we hadn't learned anything since the first wave.
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@jon-nyc per your first post, that is good to see. I share your “kidding but not kidding” thoughts about what the fall may hold. Insert seasonal flu false alarms...
Really I think the masks and social distancing will generally keep the cases lower but not too low, and we’ll learn to live with it until it either naturally dies out or a vaccine starts making the rounds.
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Seems to me the way the numbers are moving that there must be something to this "T-cell" immunity and that we are perhaps reaching herd immunity in places that were formerly hard hit. Where herd immunity is reached at a relatively low number like 40-60%.
I heard Sweden the other day had 2 confirmed deaths. Total for that day.
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@jon-nyc said in Wave two seems to have crested:
@LuFins-Dad said in Wave two seems to have crested:
@George-K said in Wave two seems to have crested:
Interesting that the number of new cases is almost triple the number that we saw in the first wave, the number of deaths (so far) is only about ⅓. Yeah, I know, two weeks, but it seems like we're getting a bit better treating the disease, at least in the acute phase.
We’ve been saying “wait two weeks” for the last two months in regards to IFR and CFR. Sooner or later the lower death rate has to be acknowledged.
No no no. When the death rate wasn't increasing with the case count we said wait 2-3 weeks. And lo and behold, it eventually started increasing.
Nobody thought we hadn't learned anything since the first wave.
No, the implications were give it another couple weeks and the death numbers would explode. I believe someone implied it will be as bad as or worse than NY. It isn’t. 500K cases, 8K deaths in Florida. 425K cases in NY, and 32K deaths in NY.
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Not on this board.
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This is a thread where we discussed it.
