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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Gas Flares Correlate to Pre-Term Births

Gas Flares Correlate to Pre-Term Births

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  • AxtremusA Offline
    AxtremusA Offline
    Axtremus
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    https://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/doi/10.1289/EHP6394
    Flaring from Unconventional Oil and Gas Development and Birth Outcomes in the Eagle Ford Shale in South Texas

    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/22/climate/gas-flares-premature-babies.html

    Study Links Gas Flares to Preterm Births, With Hispanic Women at High Risk
    Expectant mothers who lived near flaring sites had [50%] higher odds of giving birth prematurely than those who did not, researchers found. The adverse outcomes fell entirely on Hispanic women.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • KlausK Offline
      KlausK Offline
      Klaus
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      Unless there's a reasonable scientific model that would explain such a causality, I'd say it's likely BS. You can't conclude much from such observational studies. There are a million possible confounding factors.

      AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
      • Catseye3C Offline
        Catseye3C Offline
        Catseye3
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        And unless the population is composed entirely of Hispanic women, why would the results fall "entirely on Hispanic women"?

        Success is measured by your discipline and inner peace. – Mike Ditka

        LarryL 2 Replies Last reply
        • L Offline
          L Offline
          Loki
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          Is this based on some paid for “dossier”?

          1 Reply Last reply
          • KlausK Klaus

            Unless there's a reasonable scientific model that would explain such a causality, I'd say it's likely BS. You can't conclude much from such observational studies. There are a million possible confounding factors.

            AxtremusA Offline
            AxtremusA Offline
            Axtremus
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            Yes, “50% higher odds” seems statistically significant, and warrants further study to seek out the causes and remediation methods.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • Catseye3C Catseye3

              And unless the population is composed entirely of Hispanic women, why would the results fall "entirely on Hispanic women"?

              LarryL Offline
              LarryL Offline
              Larry
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              @Catseye3 said in Gas Flares Correlate to Pre-Term Births:

              And unless the population is composed entirely of Hispanic women, why would the results fall "entirely on Hispanic women"?

              Jesus.

              Catseye3C 1 Reply Last reply
              • LarryL Larry

                @Catseye3 said in Gas Flares Correlate to Pre-Term Births:

                And unless the population is composed entirely of Hispanic women, why would the results fall "entirely on Hispanic women"?

                Jesus.

                Catseye3C Offline
                Catseye3C Offline
                Catseye3
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                @Larry said in Gas Flares Correlate to Pre-Term Births:

                Jesus.

                Meaning what?

                Success is measured by your discipline and inner peace. – Mike Ditka

                1 Reply Last reply
                • Catseye3C Catseye3

                  And unless the population is composed entirely of Hispanic women, why would the results fall "entirely on Hispanic women"?

                  LarryL Offline
                  LarryL Offline
                  Larry
                  wrote on last edited by Larry
                  #8

                  @Catseye3 said in Gas Flares Correlate to Pre-Term Births:

                  And unless the population is composed entirely of Hispanic women, why would the results fall "entirely on Hispanic women"?

                  Imagine a town with 1,000 women in it. 800 are white, 150 are black, and 50 are hispanic. Every afternoon all 1,000 women walk to the grocery store to buy some ham so they can make sammiches for their man that day. On their way home all 50 of the Hispanic women's tits suddenly go flat. None of the 150 black women's tits go flat. None of the 800 white women's tits go flat. Only the Hispanic women's tits go flat.

                  That night on the news the reporter says "today, 50 women reported that their tits went flat. It seems the problem affected entirely Hispanic women." Gonzo is watching TV and hears this. He turns to his buddy Bubba, picks his nose, and says "unless all the women in town were Hispanic, how do they know it only affected Hispanic women?"

                  Catseye3C 1 Reply Last reply
                  • LarryL Larry

                    @Catseye3 said in Gas Flares Correlate to Pre-Term Births:

                    And unless the population is composed entirely of Hispanic women, why would the results fall "entirely on Hispanic women"?

                    Imagine a town with 1,000 women in it. 800 are white, 150 are black, and 50 are hispanic. Every afternoon all 1,000 women walk to the grocery store to buy some ham so they can make sammiches for their man that day. On their way home all 50 of the Hispanic women's tits suddenly go flat. None of the 150 black women's tits go flat. None of the 800 white women's tits go flat. Only the Hispanic women's tits go flat.

                    That night on the news the reporter says "today, 50 women reported that their tits went flat. It seems the problem affected entirely Hispanic women." Gonzo is watching TV and hears this. He turns to his buddy Bubba, picks his nose, and says "unless all the women in town were Hispanic, how do they know it only affected Hispanic women?"

                    Catseye3C Offline
                    Catseye3C Offline
                    Catseye3
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    @Larry The abstract of the study makes no mention of ethnic breakdown. The last sentence reads, "Our findings need to be confirmed in other populations."

                    So your elaborately crafted little playlet -- which features tits, one of the few subjects that can be reliably counted upon to keep your attention indefinitely -- though meant to be a simplified analogy to the news story, fails.

                    Success is measured by your discipline and inner peace. – Mike Ditka

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • LarryL Offline
                      LarryL Offline
                      Larry
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #10

                      No, it doesnt fail. You apparently just arent intelligent enough to figure it out.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • KincaidK Offline
                        KincaidK Offline
                        Kincaid
                        wrote on last edited by Kincaid
                        #11

                        @Axtremus said in Gas Flares Correlate to Pre-Term Births:

                        Flaring from Unconventional Oil and Gas Development

                        Oh, this is from OIL AND GAS development. When I first read the title, I thought it was stating the obvious.

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