Bidenomics At Work
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Yes, obviously America has a big influence - the old cliche America sneezes, the world catches a cold has a lot of truth to it.
However, unaffordable housing and high oil prices, which is what were talking about, are down to a lot more than the US. Despite what some politicians might claim, American oil production isn't the primary driver behind oil price.
And a lot of what we're suffering from now is a direct consequence of the Covid epidemic.
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But would not the Biden administration want to have lower jobs reported rather than higher jobs numbers? With increased jobs, then there is a higher chance that the US interest rates will continue to be raised. I would think that the Biden administration would want the rates to be decreased.
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The
Biden administrationBLS has revised down previously reported jobs data for nearly every month this year, resulting in a huge disparity from the originally advertised numbers, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)..The BLS have their methods, administrations come and go.
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@George-K said in Bidenomics At Work:
@jon-nyc said in Bidenomics At Work:
The BLS have their methods, administrations come and go.
Which raises the question: Has BLS revised numbers in the past, and if so, how often?
Yes, the BLS has been making revisions for a very long time (my memory of that goes as far back to when Clinton was President, won't surprise me if that practice stretches back even further). It's a publicly documented practice, see https://www.bls.gov/bls/empsitquickguide.htm , look for the section under "Monthly Revisions."
Srsly, one may quibble over specific methods, but having a revision practice in place is the right thing to do to balance "timelines" and "accuracy." The BLS has that and discloses it; has been that way for a very long time.
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@George-K said in Bidenomics At Work:
@jon-nyc said in Bidenomics At Work:
The BLS have their methods, administrations come and go.
Which raises the question: Has BLS revised numbers in the past, and if so, how often?
I think they literally always revise them There are things that are estimated in the first pass that can be measured in the second.
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There have been 7 downward revisions and 1 upward revisions through August.
In 2022 there were 7 upward revisions and 5 down.
In 2021 there were 11 upward revisions and 1 downwards.
So the majority of months since his inauguration the BLS underestimated the sheer awesomeness of Bidenomics.
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@jon-nyc said in Bidenomics At Work:
There have been 7 downward revisions and 1 upward revisions through August.
In 2022 there were 7 upward revisions and 5 down.
In 2021 there were 11 upward revisions and 1 downwards.
So the majority of months since his inauguration the BLS underestimated the sheer awesomeness of Bidenomics.
Therefore, lies are ok?
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@Axtremus said in Bidenomics At Work:
Goldman Sachs seems to be more optimistic than the concensus most of the time.
What is GS seeing that the rest are not?
Or is GS trying to mislead everyone else?You don't make much money preaching doom and gloom in the financial sector. At least for most investments.
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@Jolly , that may be true, but the virtually all the individual inputs that are aggregated into the consensus come from the financial sector. So that doesn’t explain why Goldman Sachs appear to be more optimistic that the rest of the financial sector.
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@George-K said in Bidenomics At Work:
Yeah, the economy sucks because MAGA extremists.
Yeah, they’ll finish the job…