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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The only thing surprising about this….

The only thing surprising about this….

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  • taiwan_girlT Offline
    taiwan_girlT Offline
    taiwan_girl
    wrote on last edited by
    #45

    I am going to step in with my dead horse! 555

    The president gets too much credit for the economy when it is going good and too much blame for the economy when it is going bad.

    As @Doctor-Phibes said, compare what is happening around the world (inflation, etc) and compare to the US.

    As I mentioned in another thread, Thailand experienced its highest inflation in February (pre Ukraine War) since 2008. Psst - people here are not blaming it on President Biden. To many world factors at work.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • JollyJ Offline
      JollyJ Offline
      Jolly
      wrote on last edited by
      #46

      You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

      KlausK Doctor PhibesD 2 Replies Last reply
      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

        Crypto sure has.

        KlausK Offline
        KlausK Offline
        Klaus
        wrote on last edited by
        #47

        @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

        Crypto sure has.

        Maybe I was particularly stupid in my selection of crypto currencies, but my crypto portfolio is down 30% or so.

        LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
        • JollyJ Jolly

          You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

          KlausK Offline
          KlausK Offline
          Klaus
          wrote on last edited by
          #48

          @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

          You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

          You don't need to give a damn, but not paying attention to what happens elsewhere is just stupid.

          As a general rule of thumb: If X happens everywhere in the world, whether X is good or bad, it isn't primarily caused by something the POTUS did. If X happens much more or much less in the US than everywhere else, then you can reasonably argue about whether POTUS is responsible for it.

          JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
          • MikM Mik

            Inflation was coming regardless, if it was not already there. I do think his policies made it worse. The recovery act in 2021 was unnecessarily large and may not have been necessary at all. There was a political side to it that became more important than its actual effect. I think his energy policies were intended to make gas prices rise and he got his wish.

            89th8 Offline
            89th8 Offline
            89th
            wrote on last edited by
            #49

            @Mik said in The only thing surprising about this….:

            Inflation was coming regardless, if it was not already there.

            Yup, it was a snowball already rolling down hill when Biden took office. He hasn't helped slow it down, but it also didn't start it.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nycJ Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
              #50

              Funny that M1 explosion started around April 2020. Inflation got really pronounced in September 2021.

              Back in 1960, Milton Friedman (“inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon”) studied a few dozen cycles in the US and found a 16 month lag on average between monetary shocks and inflation. But then Biden probably had him write that.

              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
              -Cormac McCarthy

              1 Reply Last reply
              • JollyJ Jolly

                You can argue with a fencepost if you wish.

                I think the vast majority if the country blames Biden. If you wish to channel your inner Ax around the 20% Far Left deniers, be my guest.

                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nycJ Offline
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #51

                @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                You can argue with a fencepost if you wish.

                Let’s face it, I am. Your conclusion is emotionally driven, not based on data or reasoning. So attempts to dislodge it through data and reasoning are of course going to be fruitless.

                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                -Cormac McCarthy

                1 Reply Last reply
                • JollyJ Jolly

                  You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #52

                  @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                  You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                  That isn't really the point.

                  A number of people seem to struggle to tell the difference between people thinking that inflation is Biden's fault, and it actually being his fault. These same people almost certainly say that perception is reality, but that doesn't mean it's true.

                  Let's be honest, all you really care about is that the Democrats lose the next election, which I'm sure they will. But then they'll win the next one or the one after that, so it's probably not worth getting too over-excited.

                  I was only joking

                  JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                  • KlausK Klaus

                    @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                    You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                    You don't need to give a damn, but not paying attention to what happens elsewhere is just stupid.

                    As a general rule of thumb: If X happens everywhere in the world, whether X is good or bad, it isn't primarily caused by something the POTUS did. If X happens much more or much less in the US than everywhere else, then you can reasonably argue about whether POTUS is responsible for it.

                    JollyJ Offline
                    JollyJ Offline
                    Jolly
                    wrote on last edited by Jolly
                    #53

                    @Klaus said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                    @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                    You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                    You don't need to give a damn, but not paying attention to what happens elsewhere is just stupid.

                    As a general rule of thumb: If X happens everywhere in the world, whether X is good or bad, it isn't primarily caused by something the POTUS did. If X happens much more or much less in the US than everywhere else, then you can reasonably argue about whether POTUS is responsible for it.

                    I look at it, especially in countries that trade quite a bit with the U.S. But I stand by the statement. Most Americans are not concerned with what inflation is in other countries, or a host of other issues.

                    I also suspect that many people around the world are not concerned about American inflation or American issues.

                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                    KlausK 1 Reply Last reply
                    • JollyJ Jolly

                      @Klaus said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                      @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                      You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                      You don't need to give a damn, but not paying attention to what happens elsewhere is just stupid.

                      As a general rule of thumb: If X happens everywhere in the world, whether X is good or bad, it isn't primarily caused by something the POTUS did. If X happens much more or much less in the US than everywhere else, then you can reasonably argue about whether POTUS is responsible for it.

                      I look at it, especially in countries that trade quite a bit with the U.S. But I stand by the statement. Most Americans are not concerned with what inflation is in other countries, or a host of other issues.

                      I also suspect that many people around the world are not concerned about American inflation or American issues.

                      KlausK Offline
                      KlausK Offline
                      Klaus
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #54

                      @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                      @Klaus said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                      @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                      You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                      You don't need to give a damn, but not paying attention to what happens elsewhere is just stupid.

                      As a general rule of thumb: If X happens everywhere in the world, whether X is good or bad, it isn't primarily caused by something the POTUS did. If X happens much more or much less in the US than everywhere else, then you can reasonably argue about whether POTUS is responsible for it.

                      I look at it, especially in countries that trade quite a bit with the U.S. But I stand by the statement. Most Americans are not concerned with what inflation is in other countries, or a hist of other issues.

                      I also suspect that many people around the world are not concerned about American inflation or American issues.

                      I agree that Americans are, on average, rather insular in their perception of the world, but there's a huge difference between "not giving a damn" and "being ignorant about".

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • KlausK Klaus

                        @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                        Crypto sure has.

                        Maybe I was particularly stupid in my selection of crypto currencies, but my crypto portfolio is down 30% or so.

                        LuFins DadL Offline
                        LuFins DadL Offline
                        LuFins Dad
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #55

                        @Klaus said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                        @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                        Crypto sure has.

                        Maybe I was particularly stupid in my selection of crypto currencies, but my crypto portfolio is down 30% or so.

                        I think Jon was referring to in total… Compare today’s prices with 19 and you are still way up.

                        The Brad

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                          @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                          You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                          That isn't really the point.

                          A number of people seem to struggle to tell the difference between people thinking that inflation is Biden's fault, and it actually being his fault. These same people almost certainly say that perception is reality, but that doesn't mean it's true.

                          Let's be honest, all you really care about is that the Democrats lose the next election, which I'm sure they will. But then they'll win the next one or the one after that, so it's probably not worth getting too over-excited.

                          JollyJ Offline
                          JollyJ Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on last edited by Jolly
                          #56

                          @Doctor-Phibes said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                          @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                          You know most Americans don't give a damn about inflation anywhere else.

                          That isn't really the point.

                          A number of people seem to struggle to tell the difference between people thinking that inflation is Biden's fault, and it actually being his fault. These same people almost certainly say that perception is reality, but that doesn't mean it's true.

                          Let's be honest, all you really care about is that the Democrats lose the next election, which I'm sure they will. But then they'll win the next one or the one after that, so it's probably not worth getting too over-excited.

                          I don't think people struggle with pinning inflation on Biden. I think that almost 70% of the country is already there, no matter how much Peppermint Patti claims it's all Putin's fault.

                          Politics is the power to effect change. In politics, perception is reality. It may be messy or not analytically correct by the actual numbers, but it is immutable truth.

                          Do I wish that the Dems get a thumpin'? Yes sir, I do. Primarily because of the courts. Starting in the last century, that's where the power really resides and I think that power should not be overused. I think we function best as a country, when a stricter interpretation of our Constitution is used by those on the bench. I also do not care for a lot of the destructive silliness being pushed by the Dems nowadays. I suspect many Dems don't, either.

                          So would I like to see a sweep and one party rule. Sure, for about two years, if they do it right. After that, I'm content with a Dem House, a GOP Senate and a Republican in the Whitehouse. Seems like that gives us just the right amount of gridlock and a Republican President to set the agenda.

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

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