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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The only thing surprising about this….

The only thing surprising about this….

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

    @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

    @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

    Much of that you find ‘unarguable’ because you are immersed in fringe right wing media all day.

    Okay, pick any of the points above. Which one is not true?

    Let’s try inflation. There are three major causes (no particular order):

    1. supply and product disruptions from Covid

    2. large fiscal spending, especially ~5T for Covid with 5 major bills enacted

    3. Fed printing money like crazy over the years, especially since March of 2020 (something like 80% of all dollars in existence were created since March of 2020

    Reasonable people (who don’t get their news from epoch times and pj media) can assign various weightings to the above categories, or might argue there’s another that should be elevated among these three. Note all three are bigger than just the Biden presidency. Most of #2 was enacted before he was in office, as for number 3, none of the current Board of Governors are Biden appointees, and Covid obviously predates him.

    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by
    #19

    @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

    1. Fed printing money like crazy over the years, especially since March of 2020 (something like 80% of all dollars in existence were created since March of 2020

    This is a scary chart.

    70491F81-CE99-4B64-A5F4-48390688D720.jpeg

    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
    -Cormac McCarthy

    1 Reply Last reply
    • HoraceH Offline
      HoraceH Offline
      Horace
      wrote on last edited by
      #20

      Meanwhile, precious metals still haven't done as well as the stock market.

      Education is extremely important.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by
        #21

        Crypto sure has.

        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
        -Cormac McCarthy

        KlausK 1 Reply Last reply
        • 89th8 Offline
          89th8 Offline
          89th
          wrote on last edited by
          #22

          It's even scary if you chop off anything 2020 and after. (But wow, your chart)

          dbac3bc5-8cf1-4328-b658-855440e286f3-image.png

          1 Reply Last reply
          • JollyJ Offline
            JollyJ Offline
            Jolly
            wrote on last edited by
            #23

            I do read PJ Media. Especially Instapundit, but I rarely venture over to Epoch, because of the paywall.

            But, I digress...As a supposedly wise man once told me, if it happens on your Presidential watch, you own it. The Consolidated and American Recovery happened after Mr. Biden was elected. Mr. Biden paid people not to work and vastly increased the money supply. I suspect, but do not know, that even after his inflationary measures started to take effect, he has still leaned on the Fed to supply cheap money.

            Now, I'm no economic expert like you, I'm just a dumb ol' country boy, but can you explain to me how increasing a fiat money supply, paying people not to work, firing people who won't take a vaccine that doesn't work, purposefully jacking energy prices through the roof, advocating artificially low interest rates and now stumping for more billions of dollars of COVID money helps the American economy?

            I think reasonable people can ask those questions...

            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

            1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nycJ Online
              jon-nyc
              wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
              #24

              Messrs Trump and Biden paid people not to work, though that’s been over for some time. Trump appointee Powell goosed the money supply.

              The good news for you is that Biden reappointed him in December, so you can blame future money supply growth in Biden of you wish.

              Anyway, the idea that “the man created inflation with his policies” is really an emotional opinion not a reasoned one. It’s the thing that you want to be true, and pj media and epoch times are there to give you what you want. That’s the main risk of getting your news from ideological sites.

              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
              -Cormac McCarthy

              JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote on last edited by
                #25

                To your other point, for sure his presidency will be blamed for it at the polls.

                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                -Cormac McCarthy

                1 Reply Last reply
                • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                  Messrs Trump and Biden paid people not to work, though that’s been over for some time. Trump appointee Powell goosed the money supply.

                  The good news for you is that Biden reappointed him in December, so you can blame future money supply growth in Biden of you wish.

                  Anyway, the idea that “the man created inflation with his policies” is really an emotional opinion not a reasoned one. It’s the thing that you want to be true, and pj media and epoch times are there to give you what you want. That’s the main risk of getting your news from ideological sites.

                  JollyJ Offline
                  JollyJ Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #26

                  @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                  Messrs Trump and Biden paid people not to work, though that’s been over for some time. Trump appointee Powell goosed the money supply.

                  The good news for you is that Biden reappointed him in December, so you can blame future money supply growth in Biden of you wish.

                  Anyway, the idea that “the man created inflation with his policies” is really an emotional opinion not a reasoned one. That’s the main risk of getting your news from fringe sites.

                  If it walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, etc.

                  alt text

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins Dad
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #27

                    For the next 6 months, it’s on the Dem controlled Congress.. They are the ones that passed the legislation…

                    The Brad

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • JollyJ Offline
                      JollyJ Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #28

                      BTW, Fox polls notoriously lean a bit Left, as compared to Rasmussen and many others.

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #29

                        Jolly if you had said “his administration will take the hit for inflation” I would have agreed with you wholeheartedly. But you said the man caused it with his policies. A very different claim.

                        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                        -Cormac McCarthy

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • JollyJ Offline
                          JollyJ Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #30

                          I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          • MikM Offline
                            MikM Offline
                            Mik
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #31

                            Inflation was coming regardless, if it was not already there. I do think his policies made it worse. The recovery act in 2021 was unnecessarily large and may not have been necessary at all. There was a political side to it that became more important than its actual effect. I think his energy policies were intended to make gas prices rise and he got his wish.

                            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                            89th8 1 Reply Last reply
                            • HoraceH Offline
                              HoraceH Offline
                              Horace
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #32

                              Whether in office or not, he would have been fully supportive of any existing policy which has caused inflation, and many I’m sure which would have caused even more inflation. But I know we’re not supposed to believe anymore that party affiliation has anything to do with fiscal responsibility because (insert statistic here).

                              Education is extremely important.

                              MikM 1 Reply Last reply
                              • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                Doctor PhibesD Offline
                                Doctor Phibes
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #33

                                Look at the global economy, and then look at the US economy.

                                You can argue Biden is responsible for the difference. Saying he created the entire global mess is giving the distinguished old chap a little too much credit.

                                I was only joking

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • JollyJ Jolly

                                  I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

                                  jon-nycJ Online
                                  jon-nycJ Online
                                  jon-nyc
                                  wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                  #34

                                  @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                  I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

                                  Most of them haven’t gone into effect (federal drilling) or wouldn’t have been contributing to production yet (keystone). I can’t offhand name any that would have had an actual material impact on supplies.

                                  Can you?

                                  "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                  -Cormac McCarthy

                                  LuFins DadL JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
                                  • HoraceH Horace

                                    Whether in office or not, he would have been fully supportive of any existing policy which has caused inflation, and many I’m sure which would have caused even more inflation. But I know we’re not supposed to believe anymore that party affiliation has anything to do with fiscal responsibility because (insert statistic here).

                                    MikM Offline
                                    MikM Offline
                                    Mik
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #35

                                    @Horace said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                    Whether in office or not, he would have been fully supportive of any existing policy which has caused inflation, and many I’m sure which would have caused even more inflation. But I know we’re not supposed to believe anymore that party affiliation has anything to do with fiscal responsibility because (insert statistic here).

                                    The GOP seems to have lost the path too.

                                    “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                      @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                      I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

                                      Most of them haven’t gone into effect (federal drilling) or wouldn’t have been contributing to production yet (keystone). I can’t offhand name any that would have had an actual material impact on supplies.

                                      Can you?

                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins Dad
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #36

                                      @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                      @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                      I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

                                      Most of them haven’t gone into effect (federal drilling) or wouldn’t have been contributing to production yet (keystone). I can’t offhand name any that would have had an actual material impact on supplies.

                                      Can you?

                                      Just the existence of the leases and exploratory permits help drive the costs down as other oil producing companies respond. And the fracking policies also affects oil futures as well as Natural Gas.

                                      I’m surprised more people aren’t discussing refinery issues, though. That’s a part of this…

                                      The Brad

                                      jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                        @jon-nyc said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                        @Jolly said in The only thing surprising about this….:

                                        I do think he has caused it with his policies, energy chief among them.

                                        Most of them haven’t gone into effect (federal drilling) or wouldn’t have been contributing to production yet (keystone). I can’t offhand name any that would have had an actual material impact on supplies.

                                        Can you?

                                        Just the existence of the leases and exploratory permits help drive the costs down as other oil producing companies respond. And the fracking policies also affects oil futures as well as Natural Gas.

                                        I’m surprised more people aren’t discussing refinery issues, though. That’s a part of this…

                                        jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                        #37

                                        @LuFins-Dad Leases are still operable and being signed and renewed. The courts stopped his moratorium before it went into effect.

                                        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                        -Cormac McCarthy

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • George KG Offline
                                          George KG Offline
                                          George K
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #38

                                          I don't even come close to pretending to understand the intricacies of the economic forces that affect inflation, etc.

                                          I'm not alone, thank goodness.

                                          alt text

                                          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

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