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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Ukraine war thread

The Ukraine war thread

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  • J Jolly
    17 May 2023, 18:06

    As I see it...

    1. USA
    2. North America
    3. Tie. South America/Europe
    4. Australia
    5. South Pacific, including Japan, the Phillipines and South Korea.
    6. Everything else.

    And past #3, I'll bend like Gumby.

    I have an open mind.

    A Offline
    A Offline
    Aqua Letifer
    wrote on 17 May 2023, 18:22 last edited by
    #1662

    @Jolly said in The Ukraine war thread:

    As I see it...

    1. USA
    2. North America
    3. Tie. South America/Europe
    4. Australia
    5. South Pacific, including Japan, the Phillipines and South Korea.
    6. Everything else.

    And past #3, I'll bend like Gumby.

    I have an open mind.

    I think a lot of people would argue that Russia's machinations have a direct and material impact on numbers 1-3.

    Please love yourself.

    W 1 Reply Last reply 17 May 2023, 19:02
    • A Aqua Letifer
      17 May 2023, 18:22

      @Jolly said in The Ukraine war thread:

      As I see it...

      1. USA
      2. North America
      3. Tie. South America/Europe
      4. Australia
      5. South Pacific, including Japan, the Phillipines and South Korea.
      6. Everything else.

      And past #3, I'll bend like Gumby.

      I have an open mind.

      I think a lot of people would argue that Russia's machinations have a direct and material impact on numbers 1-3.

      W Do not disturb
      W Do not disturb
      Wim
      wrote on 17 May 2023, 19:02 last edited by
      #1663

      @Aqua-Letifer You're a little bit wrong. Depending on what Russia will/won't achieve, China will adapt its strategies to what the USA will/won't do.

      A J 2 Replies Last reply 17 May 2023, 19:02
      • W Wim
        17 May 2023, 19:02

        @Aqua-Letifer You're a little bit wrong. Depending on what Russia will/won't achieve, China will adapt its strategies to what the USA will/won't do.

        A Offline
        A Offline
        Aqua Letifer
        wrote on 17 May 2023, 19:02 last edited by
        #1664

        @Wim said in The Ukraine war thread:

        @Aqua-Letifer You're a little bit wrong. Depending on what Russia will/won't achieve, China will adapt its strategies to what the USA will/won't do.

        Well, there's that, too.

        Please love yourself.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • W Wim
          17 May 2023, 19:02

          @Aqua-Letifer You're a little bit wrong. Depending on what Russia will/won't achieve, China will adapt its strategies to what the USA will/won't do.

          J Offline
          J Offline
          Jolly
          wrote on 17 May 2023, 19:46 last edited by
          #1665

          @Wim said in The Ukraine war thread:

          @Aqua-Letifer You're a little bit wrong. Depending on what Russia will/won't achieve, China will adapt its strategies to what the USA will/won't do.

          Starting to wonder about China. The Belt and Road looks like it needs suspenders...

          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

          1 Reply Last reply
          • M Offline
            M Offline
            Mik
            wrote on 17 May 2023, 19:51 last edited by
            #1666

            I think China's plans are somewhat based on an assumption that the US is a power in decline. I think they are wrong in that. Our innate ability to right our own ship is something they lack.

            “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

            R 1 Reply Last reply 17 May 2023, 21:38
            • M Mik
              17 May 2023, 19:51

              I think China's plans are somewhat based on an assumption that the US is a power in decline. I think they are wrong in that. Our innate ability to right our own ship is something they lack.

              R Offline
              R Offline
              Renauda
              wrote on 17 May 2023, 21:38 last edited by
              #1667

              @Mik

              What you refer to as innate ability, is the fact that the US has very robust institutions of democratic governance that have been built up and improved upon over time. Such is not the case for Russia and China.

              Elbows up!

              1 Reply Last reply
              • M Offline
                M Offline
                Mik
                wrote on 17 May 2023, 22:02 last edited by
                #1668

                Spot on.

                “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                1 Reply Last reply
                • M Offline
                  M Offline
                  Mik
                  wrote on 18 May 2023, 12:34 last edited by
                  #1669

                  https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/kremlin-preparing-russians-for-defeats-in-ukraine/ar-AA1blsKw?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=f5f9c7c659494501cc4c03ba113fdc6c&ei=55

                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • G Offline
                    G Offline
                    George K
                    wrote on 21 May 2023, 11:10 last edited by
                    #1670

                    Bakhmut has fallen to the Russians.

                    https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/how-important-is-claimed-capture-by-russias-wagner-group-ukraines-bakhmut-2023-05-20/

                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                    M 1 Reply Last reply 21 May 2023, 16:54
                    • J Offline
                      J Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on 21 May 2023, 16:28 last edited by
                      #1671

                      The Russians are getting better.

                      OTOH, Ukranian pilots shocked the USAF recently. After rolling them through a brief F-16 simulator training, the Air Force thinks they can have the Ukrainians flight tested in the F-16 and combat ready in 120 days.

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • G George K
                        21 May 2023, 11:10

                        Bakhmut has fallen to the Russians.

                        https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/how-important-is-claimed-capture-by-russias-wagner-group-ukraines-bakhmut-2023-05-20/

                        M Offline
                        M Offline
                        Mik
                        wrote on 21 May 2023, 16:54 last edited by
                        #1672

                        @George-K said in The Ukraine war thread:

                        Bakhmut has fallen to the Russians.

                        https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/how-important-is-claimed-capture-by-russias-wagner-group-ukraines-bakhmut-2023-05-20/

                        It was by all accounts a Pyrrhic victory.

                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • J Offline
                          J Offline
                          Jolly
                          wrote on 21 May 2023, 17:00 last edited by
                          #1673

                          Yes, but what it does give them, is a victory, of which they have had very few of late.

                          It also puts the Russians into artillery range of two larger, more industrialized cities.

                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                          G 1 Reply Last reply 21 May 2023, 17:18
                          • J Jolly
                            21 May 2023, 17:00

                            Yes, but what it does give them, is a victory, of which they have had very few of late.

                            It also puts the Russians into artillery range of two larger, more industrialized cities.

                            G Offline
                            G Offline
                            George K
                            wrote on 21 May 2023, 17:18 last edited by
                            #1674

                            @Jolly said in The Ukraine war thread:

                            It also puts the Russians into artillery range of two larger, more industrialized cities.

                            "If the enemy is in range, so are you."

                            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • R Offline
                              R Offline
                              Renauda
                              wrote on 21 May 2023, 19:28 last edited by Renauda
                              #1675

                              Prigozhin and the Kremlin can say what they want and, as the saying in Russian goes, try to make candy out of a turd.

                              My hunch is that Bakhmut has not fallen to the Russians. Instead the Russians in Bakhmut have been surrounded on all sides by advancing Ukrainian forces.

                              Elbows up!

                              G 1 Reply Last reply 21 May 2023, 23:34
                              • R Renauda
                                21 May 2023, 19:28

                                Prigozhin and the Kremlin can say what they want and, as the saying in Russian goes, try to make candy out of a turd.

                                My hunch is that Bakhmut has not fallen to the Russians. Instead the Russians in Bakhmut have been surrounded on all sides by advancing Ukrainian forces.

                                G Offline
                                G Offline
                                George K
                                wrote on 21 May 2023, 23:34 last edited by
                                #1676

                                @Renauda said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                My hunch is that Bakhmut has not fallen to the Russians. Instead the Russians in Bakhmut have been surrounded on all sides by advancing Ukrainian forces.

                                "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • M Offline
                                  M Offline
                                  Mik
                                  wrote on 23 May 2023, 12:11 last edited by
                                  #1677

                                  An exercise in futility

                                  https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/this-map-shows-how-little-ground-russian-forces-gained-over-5-months-at-a-cost-of-100-000-dead-and-wounded/ar-AA1byQMT?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=b5575e05c2e041a0b750442dc4678c51&ei=35

                                  alt text

                                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                  G 1 Reply Last reply 23 May 2023, 12:46
                                  • M Mik
                                    23 May 2023, 12:11

                                    An exercise in futility

                                    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/this-map-shows-how-little-ground-russian-forces-gained-over-5-months-at-a-cost-of-100-000-dead-and-wounded/ar-AA1byQMT?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=b5575e05c2e041a0b750442dc4678c51&ei=35

                                    alt text

                                    G Offline
                                    G Offline
                                    George K
                                    wrote on 23 May 2023, 12:46 last edited by
                                    #1678

                                    @Mik I wonder what Russian casualties have been in the same time period.

                                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                    M 1 Reply Last reply 23 May 2023, 12:59
                                    • G George K
                                      23 May 2023, 12:46

                                      @Mik I wonder what Russian casualties have been in the same time period.

                                      M Offline
                                      M Offline
                                      Mik
                                      wrote on 23 May 2023, 12:59 last edited by
                                      #1679

                                      @George-K Article says US estimates 100K Russian casualties, dead and wounded.

                                      “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • M Offline
                                        M Offline
                                        Mik
                                        wrote on 23 May 2023, 18:20 last edited by Mik
                                        #1680

                                        Here's where Ukraine is aiming the offensive. Makes perfect sense. All are longer supply lines for the Russians.

                                        https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/conditions-created-for-offensive-as-ukraine-engage-in-large-scale-operation-in-three-identified-directions/ar-AA1bAaCR?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=68287780197248de9a78d7164a03a5c6&ei=17

                                        “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • G Offline
                                          G Offline
                                          George K
                                          wrote on 24 May 2023, 11:51 last edited by
                                          #1681

                                          "Incursions" into Bolgorad.

                                          Interesting. Looks like Russian territory is under attack.

                                          https://www.wsj.com/articles/fighting-in-russian-border-region-following-incursion-enters-second-day-379b30f9

                                          Russian forces are still fighting for control of parts of the border region of Belgorod, the region’s governor said Tuesday, warning residents of a handful of border villages not to return to their houses the day after authorities there blamed Ukraine for the war’s largest incursion into Russian territory.

                                          Belgorod Gov. Vyacheslav Gladkov warned residents not to panic, after some border areas had been evacuated the previous day, but said Russia’s military was still concluding what President Vladimir Putin labeled an antiterrorist operation to push the combatants out of Russia. Early on Tuesday afternoon, Russia’s Defense Ministry said forces had encircled the fighters and destroyed the group without giving more details. The ministry said it killed 70 people in the operation. The information couldn’t be independently confirmed.

                                          “The cleanup operation by the defense ministry and security structures is continuing,” Gladkov said in a video on his Telegram channel. “Right now it’s not worth returning to your houses.”

                                          Ukraine’s military intelligence directorate, known as HUR, identified the troops as two volunteer groups of Russian citizens who work closely with HUR and said the incident was a consequence of the Kremlin’s invasion of Ukraine.

                                          The governor of Russia’s Belgorod region said Tuesday that Russian forces were still fighting for control of parts of the region amid an incursion by Ukrainian-backed troops. Photo: Russian Defense Ministry/Reuters
                                          Russian military correspondents said battles were continuing well into the afternoon on Tuesday, with Russian forces trying to stop two units of combatant reinforcements from joining up with the groups inside Russia.

                                          The Russian Defense Ministry said it had launched attacks against the combatants using artillery and air power. Defense Ministry spokesman Gen. Igor Konashenkov said the groups had been encircled and at least 70 members had been killed.

                                          The extent of the original incursion and the affiliations of the combatants couldn’t be confirmed independently but the incident has exposed embarrassing weaknesses around Russia’s border areas as Moscow’s troops prepare for an expected Ukrainian offensive.

                                          As one blogger comments, "... the incursion looked like a propaganda stunt — and in some ways, is sure is. But it’s also turned into an aggravating game of Whack-a-Mole for Moscow."

                                          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                                          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                                          R 1 Reply Last reply 24 May 2023, 13:54
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