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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Breakthrough infection stats

Breakthrough infection stats

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  • JollyJ Offline
    JollyJ Offline
    Jolly
    wrote on last edited by
    #3

    I'd like to see October. Our ratio for hospitalizations went 80/20. 80% unvaxxed, 20%vaxxed.

    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

    1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

      Based on newly released federal data.

      AD129631-3B35-4938-A671-1A5D4A35A336.jpeg

      777D9F5E-FB67-43DD-99BC-2A40ED703D7F.jpeg

      D89FD4C1-52B4-4299-9F90-96E896F0814B.jpeg

      60468EAA-D5F5-4BE4-9A17-204C44A58AF9.jpeg

      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on last edited by
      #4

      @jon-nyc These are BS stats. The Feds aren’t tracking breakthrough cases, only breakthrough hospital visits.

      https://www.npr.org/2021/08/12/1027198500/the-potential-implications-of-not-tracking-breakthrough-cases

      https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/cdc-no-longer-tracking-all-breakthrough-covid-19-cases/4ASSHF3JCBBJBNMXEWMHXZVWMQ/

      https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/health-departments/breakthrough-cases.html

      CDC monitors reported hospitalized or fatal vaccine breakthrough cases for clustering by patient demographics, geographic location, time since vaccination, vaccine type, and SARS-CoV-2 lineage. Reported data include hospitalized or fatal vaccine breakthrough cases due to any cause, including causes not related to COVID-19..

      We have no way of determining the full extent of breakthrough cases if they weren’t hospitalized for COVID.

      Unless you think NPR and the CDC website are whack job conspiracy sites?

      The Brad

      bachophileB 1 Reply Last reply
      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

        @jon-nyc These are BS stats. The Feds aren’t tracking breakthrough cases, only breakthrough hospital visits.

        https://www.npr.org/2021/08/12/1027198500/the-potential-implications-of-not-tracking-breakthrough-cases

        https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/cdc-no-longer-tracking-all-breakthrough-covid-19-cases/4ASSHF3JCBBJBNMXEWMHXZVWMQ/

        https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/health-departments/breakthrough-cases.html

        CDC monitors reported hospitalized or fatal vaccine breakthrough cases for clustering by patient demographics, geographic location, time since vaccination, vaccine type, and SARS-CoV-2 lineage. Reported data include hospitalized or fatal vaccine breakthrough cases due to any cause, including causes not related to COVID-19..

        We have no way of determining the full extent of breakthrough cases if they weren’t hospitalized for COVID.

        Unless you think NPR and the CDC website are whack job conspiracy sites?

        bachophileB Offline
        bachophileB Offline
        bachophile
        wrote on last edited by bachophile
        #5

        @lufins-dad assuming there are many breakthroughs unaccounted for, the stats still show that serious disease (a function of hospitalizations) and deaths are several magnitudes higher in unvaxxed.

        so in order to protect as many people as possible including the unvaxxed safer, it’s vital to vaccinate as much as possible and keep prevalence low.

        I’m not sure what difference it makes that the government counts only severe disease as breakthrough. It’s a function of viral prevalence.

        LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
        • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

          Quite interesting data. But not really an surprise I dont think.

          89th8 Offline
          89th8 Offline
          89th
          wrote on last edited by
          #6

          @taiwan_girl said in Breakthrough infection stats:

          Quite interesting data. But not really an surprise I dont think.

          Agreed, but nice to see. What I found somewhat poignant is there are essentially zero deaths (especially if you're vaccinated) until you get to the 65+ age range.

          JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
          • 89th8 89th

            @taiwan_girl said in Breakthrough infection stats:

            Quite interesting data. But not really an surprise I dont think.

            Agreed, but nice to see. What I found somewhat poignant is there are essentially zero deaths (especially if you're vaccinated) until you get to the 65+ age range.

            JollyJ Offline
            JollyJ Offline
            Jolly
            wrote on last edited by
            #7

            @89th said in Breakthrough infection stats:

            @taiwan_girl said in Breakthrough infection stats:

            Quite interesting data. But not really an surprise I dont think.

            Agreed, but nice to see. What I found somewhat poignant is there are essentially zero deaths (especially if you're vaccinated) until you get to the 65+ age range.

            Even unvaccinated, it's very low in the less than 60 bunch.

            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

            1 Reply Last reply
            • bachophileB bachophile

              @lufins-dad assuming there are many breakthroughs unaccounted for, the stats still show that serious disease (a function of hospitalizations) and deaths are several magnitudes higher in unvaxxed.

              so in order to protect as many people as possible including the unvaxxed safer, it’s vital to vaccinate as much as possible and keep prevalence low.

              I’m not sure what difference it makes that the government counts only severe disease as breakthrough. It’s a function of viral prevalence.

              LuFins DadL Offline
              LuFins DadL Offline
              LuFins Dad
              wrote on last edited by
              #8

              @bachophile said in Breakthrough infection stats:

              @lufins-dad assuming there are many breakthroughs unaccounted for, the stats still show that serious disease (a function of hospitalizations) and deaths are several magnitudes higher in unvaxxed.

              so in order to protect as many people as possible including the unvaxxed safer, it’s vital to vaccinate as much as possible and keep prevalence low.

              I’m not sure what difference it makes that the government counts only severe disease as breakthrough. It’s a function of viral prevalence.

              The NPR article explains several reasons why it's important to have accurate breakthrough data, but in my opinion, the first is spread. There is a local story from July where a frigging Epidemiologist from John Hopkins attended a small gathering with 14 friends, all of whom were fully vaccinated. A week later, 13 of the 15 had contracted symptomatic COVID. 1 person of the 13 had to visit the hospital, so technically there was only 1 breakthrough from the 13. He published the account in the Baltimore Sun. 6 weeks later he published a second accounting that he had tracked 87 cases from that event (some vaxxed, some unvaxxed) and 6 people had been hospitalized (5 unvaxxed, 1 vaxxed). He pointed out that the original cause of spread for those 87 cases he tracked went back to 13 fully vaccinated people. We are blaming the spread on the unvaccinated and that simply isn't true. We could have 100% vaccination, and we would still have significant spread. The cases would have significantly better outcomes, but the spread would still be there. I would like to think that having accurate information about how this crap is spreading would be fairly important.

              The second reason (and probably the most important) is trust. If I can't trust you to get and report these num bers accurately, then I can't trust your other numbers as well.

              The Brad

              1 Reply Last reply
              • Aqua LetiferA Offline
                Aqua LetiferA Offline
                Aqua Letifer
                wrote on last edited by
                #9

                You yourself admitted that those vaccinated have overall significantly better outcomes so what the hell are we even talking about.

                Please love yourself.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • 89th8 Offline
                  89th8 Offline
                  89th
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #10

                  I feel like we're all saying flavors of the same ideas:

                  • Yes, vaccinations work and significantly help your odds if you get COVID
                  • Yes, people should get them
                  • No, people shouldn't be forced to
                  • Yes, government statistics aren't perfect
                  • Yes, in general they are accurate and support why folks should get vaccinated
                  LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                  • 89th8 89th

                    I feel like we're all saying flavors of the same ideas:

                    • Yes, vaccinations work and significantly help your odds if you get COVID
                    • Yes, people should get them
                    • No, people shouldn't be forced to
                    • Yes, government statistics aren't perfect
                    • Yes, in general they are accurate and support why folks should get vaccinated
                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins Dad
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #11

                    @89th said in Breakthrough infection stats:

                    I feel like we're all saying flavors of the same ideas:

                    • Yes, vaccinations work and significantly help your odds if you get COVID
                    • Yes, people should get them
                    • No, people shouldn't be forced to
                    • Yes, government statistics aren't perfect
                    • Yes, in general they are accurate and support why folks should get vaccinated

                    Not at all. I agree with 1-3, 4 and 5 I disagree with wildly except for the past supposition that the numbers still do support getting vaccinated.

                    The Brad

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • George KG Offline
                      George KG Offline
                      George K
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #12

                      Well...

                      https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(21)00648-4/fulltext

                      Vaccination reduces the risk of delta variant infection and accelerates viral clearance. Nonetheless, fully vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections have peak viral load similar to unvaccinated cases and can efficiently transmit infection in household settings, including to fully vaccinated contacts. Host–virus interactions early in infection may shape the entire viral trajectory.

                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • X Offline
                        X Offline
                        xenon
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #13

                        At the very least, can we agree that people who don't get the vaccines are being selfish and kinda asshole-ish? (Unless you have a legit medical reason not to)

                        With the amount of safety data we have on this - it seems like it's safer to get this vaccine than it is driving on a highway (maybe not, but it feels pretty damn safe).

                        There are real social costs to people not getting the vaccine (over-filled hospitals, prolonging the pandemic)

                        George KG jon-nycJ LuFins DadL 3 Replies Last reply
                        • X xenon

                          At the very least, can we agree that people who don't get the vaccines are being selfish and kinda asshole-ish? (Unless you have a legit medical reason not to)

                          With the amount of safety data we have on this - it seems like it's safer to get this vaccine than it is driving on a highway (maybe not, but it feels pretty damn safe).

                          There are real social costs to people not getting the vaccine (over-filled hospitals, prolonging the pandemic)

                          George KG Offline
                          George KG Offline
                          George K
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #14

                          @xenon said in Breakthrough infection stats:

                          At the very least, can we agree that people who don't get the vaccines are being selfish and kinda asshole-ish? (Unless you have a legit medical reason not to)

                          With the amount of safety data we have on this - it seems like it's safer to get this vaccine than it is driving on a highway (maybe not, but it feels pretty damn safe).

                          There are real social costs to people not getting the vaccine (over-filled hospitals, prolonging the pandemic)

                          There's so much there...

                          But, in essence, you're right. If you're vaccinated, you're much less likely to die, and get seriously ill.

                          But (and if I read this correctly), if you're vaccinated, and you break through, your likelihood of transmitting the virus is pretty high, even if you don't get sick.

                          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • X xenon

                            At the very least, can we agree that people who don't get the vaccines are being selfish and kinda asshole-ish? (Unless you have a legit medical reason not to)

                            With the amount of safety data we have on this - it seems like it's safer to get this vaccine than it is driving on a highway (maybe not, but it feels pretty damn safe).

                            There are real social costs to people not getting the vaccine (over-filled hospitals, prolonging the pandemic)

                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nycJ Offline
                            jon-nyc
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #15

                            @xenon said in Breakthrough infection stats:

                            At the very least, can we agree that people who don't get the vaccines are being selfish and kinda asshole-ish? (Unless you have a legit medical reason not to)

                            Seems obvious to me.

                            Does anyone here disagree?

                            Only non-witches get due process.

                            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • CopperC Offline
                              CopperC Offline
                              Copper
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #16

                              ?

                              define legit

                              Right or wrong a lot of people are legitimately terrified of the vaccine

                              I know, I know, everyone here is superior to that

                              So, sorry no, we don't all agree

                              And I have had 6 vaccinations in the last year, anyone who has had fewer is selfish

                              X 1 Reply Last reply
                              • CopperC Copper

                                ?

                                define legit

                                Right or wrong a lot of people are legitimately terrified of the vaccine

                                I know, I know, everyone here is superior to that

                                So, sorry no, we don't all agree

                                And I have had 6 vaccinations in the last year, anyone who has had fewer is selfish

                                X Offline
                                X Offline
                                xenon
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #17

                                @copper said in Breakthrough infection stats:

                                ?

                                define legit

                                Did you just bristle at me using a short form of “legitimate” or do you really want examples of conditions where people can’t get a vaccine for medical reasons?

                                Right or wrong a lot of people are legitimately terrified of the vaccine

                                I know, I know, everyone here is superior to that

                                This has nothing to do with “superior”. That’s some sort of cultural argument. I, for completely selfish reasons, want the number of vaccinations to get as high as possible so we can all better move on with our lives. I don’t really personally know or care about who these people are.

                                So, sorry no, we don't all agree

                                That’s an interesting argument. So you think these people may have an unjustified fear, that fear has negative implications for society, but their heart is in the right place so we should have kindness and understanding.

                                I didn’t realize you were so tolerant and empathetic.

                                And I have had 6 vaccinations in the last year, anyone who has had fewer is selfish

                                CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                                • JollyJ Offline
                                  JollyJ Offline
                                  Jolly
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #18

                                  How are the unvaccinated being selfish, if they are the most likely to become seriously ill or die? Especially in light of George's Lancet article.

                                  Remember, I told you that down here over the last month, about 20% of the COVID patients admitted to hospital were fully vaccinated.

                                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                  X 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • JollyJ Jolly

                                    How are the unvaccinated being selfish, if they are the most likely to become seriously ill or die? Especially in light of George's Lancet article.

                                    Remember, I told you that down here over the last month, about 20% of the COVID patients admitted to hospital were fully vaccinated.

                                    X Offline
                                    X Offline
                                    xenon
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #19

                                    @jolly said in Breakthrough infection stats:

                                    How are the unvaccinated being selfish, if they are the most likely to become seriously ill or die? Especially in light of George's Lancet article.

                                    Remember, I told you that down here over the last month, about 20% of the COVID patients admitted to hospital were fully vaccinated.

                                    Just so I understand, you’re saying there’s no social benefits of more people being vaccinated?

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • JollyJ Offline
                                      JollyJ Offline
                                      Jolly
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #20

                                      Don't extrapolate young man. I didn't say there were no social benefits. I do question the statement that the unvaxxed are selfish.

                                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • X xenon

                                        At the very least, can we agree that people who don't get the vaccines are being selfish and kinda asshole-ish? (Unless you have a legit medical reason not to)

                                        With the amount of safety data we have on this - it seems like it's safer to get this vaccine than it is driving on a highway (maybe not, but it feels pretty damn safe).

                                        There are real social costs to people not getting the vaccine (over-filled hospitals, prolonging the pandemic)

                                        LuFins DadL Offline
                                        LuFins DadL Offline
                                        LuFins Dad
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #21

                                        @xenon said in Breakthrough infection stats:

                                        At the very least, can we agree that people who don't get the vaccines are being selfish and kinda asshole-ish? (Unless you have a legit medical reason not to)

                                        With the amount of safety data we have on this - it seems like it's safer to get this vaccine than it is driving on a highway (maybe not, but it feels pretty damn safe).

                                        There are real social costs to people not getting the vaccine (over-filled hospitals, prolonging the pandemic)

                                        In what ways are they being selfish? In causing the virus to spread more? The vaccinated are doing so, too. Unfortunately, we have no numbers to guess by what amount, sure would be nice to quantify…

                                        In endangering those that cannot take the vaccine or the vaccine is ineffective? Well, if the vaccinated are spreading as well and at significant levels, then the risk is still there.

                                        The Brad

                                        Aqua LetiferA 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                          @xenon said in Breakthrough infection stats:

                                          At the very least, can we agree that people who don't get the vaccines are being selfish and kinda asshole-ish? (Unless you have a legit medical reason not to)

                                          With the amount of safety data we have on this - it seems like it's safer to get this vaccine than it is driving on a highway (maybe not, but it feels pretty damn safe).

                                          There are real social costs to people not getting the vaccine (over-filled hospitals, prolonging the pandemic)

                                          In what ways are they being selfish? In causing the virus to spread more? The vaccinated are doing so, too. Unfortunately, we have no numbers to guess by what amount, sure would be nice to quantify…

                                          In endangering those that cannot take the vaccine or the vaccine is ineffective? Well, if the vaccinated are spreading as well and at significant levels, then the risk is still there.

                                          Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                          Aqua LetiferA Offline
                                          Aqua Letifer
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #22

                                          @lufins-dad said in Breakthrough infection stats:

                                          @xenon said in Breakthrough infection stats:

                                          At the very least, can we agree that people who don't get the vaccines are being selfish and kinda asshole-ish? (Unless you have a legit medical reason not to)

                                          With the amount of safety data we have on this - it seems like it's safer to get this vaccine than it is driving on a highway (maybe not, but it feels pretty damn safe).

                                          There are real social costs to people not getting the vaccine (over-filled hospitals, prolonging the pandemic)

                                          In what ways are they being selfish? In causing the virus to spread more? The vaccinated are doing so, too.

                                          Not nearly at the level of the vaccinated. They're also using significantly more resources in our medical system when they do get sick.

                                          Please love yourself.

                                          LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
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