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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Vaccine Rollout

Vaccine Rollout

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  • AxtremusA Axtremus

    https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/the-two-societies-97-of-new-covid-cases-are-among-people-who-havent-gotten-the-shots/

    Various states and counties are reporting that among new cases of COVID-19, over 97% are from the unvaccinated.

    “[Washington state] reported this past week that unvaccinated people between ages 45 and 64 are now being hospitalized for COVID at rates 21 times higher than the vaccinated.”

    LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins Dad
    wrote on last edited by
    #137

    @axtremus said in Vaccine Rollout:

    https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/the-two-societies-97-of-new-covid-cases-are-among-people-who-havent-gotten-the-shots/

    Various states and counties are reporting that among new cases of COVID-19, over 97% are from the unvaccinated.

    “[Washington state] reported this past week that unvaccinated people between ages 45 and 64 are now being hospitalized for COVID at rates 21 times higher than the vaccinated.”

    So around 3% of reported cases are breakthrough cases. Is that statistically significant? I have to imagine that would be since we can guess that there are more cases that are not being reported since vaccinated individuals are being tested less and will probably be more likely to pass symptoms off as cold or allergies. Still, even if it's only 3% and the number holds nationally, that's 22000 breakthrough cases in the last month alone. Not 10,000 cases since January like the CDC tried to pass of last week...

    Beyond that, if new cases are 30 times higher for non-vaccinated, one would expect hospitalizations to be 30 times higher for non-vaccinated. The 21% number would tend to indicate that the confirmed breakthrough cases are more likely to be serious cases, which would make sense since they are more likely to be symptomatic, otherwise why be tested?

    Am I alone in thinking there are probably a fair number of untested and unreported breakthrough cases?

    The Brad

    L AxtremusA 2 Replies Last reply
    • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

      @axtremus said in Vaccine Rollout:

      https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/the-two-societies-97-of-new-covid-cases-are-among-people-who-havent-gotten-the-shots/

      Various states and counties are reporting that among new cases of COVID-19, over 97% are from the unvaccinated.

      “[Washington state] reported this past week that unvaccinated people between ages 45 and 64 are now being hospitalized for COVID at rates 21 times higher than the vaccinated.”

      So around 3% of reported cases are breakthrough cases. Is that statistically significant? I have to imagine that would be since we can guess that there are more cases that are not being reported since vaccinated individuals are being tested less and will probably be more likely to pass symptoms off as cold or allergies. Still, even if it's only 3% and the number holds nationally, that's 22000 breakthrough cases in the last month alone. Not 10,000 cases since January like the CDC tried to pass of last week...

      Beyond that, if new cases are 30 times higher for non-vaccinated, one would expect hospitalizations to be 30 times higher for non-vaccinated. The 21% number would tend to indicate that the confirmed breakthrough cases are more likely to be serious cases, which would make sense since they are more likely to be symptomatic, otherwise why be tested?

      Am I alone in thinking there are probably a fair number of untested and unreported breakthrough cases?

      L Offline
      L Offline
      Loki
      wrote on last edited by Loki
      #138

      @lufins-dad said in Vaccine Rollout:

      @axtremus said in Vaccine Rollout:

      https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/the-two-societies-97-of-new-covid-cases-are-among-people-who-havent-gotten-the-shots/

      Various states and counties are reporting that among new cases of COVID-19, over 97% are from the unvaccinated.

      “[Washington state] reported this past week that unvaccinated people between ages 45 and 64 are now being hospitalized for COVID at rates 21 times higher than the vaccinated.”

      So around 3% of reported cases are breakthrough cases. Is that statistically significant? I have to imagine that would be since we can guess that there are more cases that are not being reported since vaccinated individuals are being tested less and will probably be more likely to pass symptoms off as cold or allergies. Still, even if it's only 3% and the number holds nationally, that's 22000 breakthrough cases in the last month alone. Not 10,000 cases since January like the CDC tried to pass of last week...

      Beyond that, if new cases are 30 times higher for non-vaccinated, one would expect hospitalizations to be 30 times higher for non-vaccinated. The 21% number would tend to indicate that the confirmed breakthrough cases are more likely to be serious cases, which would make sense since they are more likely to be symptomatic, otherwise why be tested?

      Am I alone in thinking there are probably a fair number of untested and unreported breakthrough cases?

      I don’t know where you get your number but 0.3% is likely the right number.

      People are in fact dying needlessly now in the US because they refuse vaccination. They listened to the wrong people, it’s is truly a shame.

      CopperC LuFins DadL 2 Replies Last reply
      • L Loki

        @lufins-dad said in Vaccine Rollout:

        @axtremus said in Vaccine Rollout:

        https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/the-two-societies-97-of-new-covid-cases-are-among-people-who-havent-gotten-the-shots/

        Various states and counties are reporting that among new cases of COVID-19, over 97% are from the unvaccinated.

        “[Washington state] reported this past week that unvaccinated people between ages 45 and 64 are now being hospitalized for COVID at rates 21 times higher than the vaccinated.”

        So around 3% of reported cases are breakthrough cases. Is that statistically significant? I have to imagine that would be since we can guess that there are more cases that are not being reported since vaccinated individuals are being tested less and will probably be more likely to pass symptoms off as cold or allergies. Still, even if it's only 3% and the number holds nationally, that's 22000 breakthrough cases in the last month alone. Not 10,000 cases since January like the CDC tried to pass of last week...

        Beyond that, if new cases are 30 times higher for non-vaccinated, one would expect hospitalizations to be 30 times higher for non-vaccinated. The 21% number would tend to indicate that the confirmed breakthrough cases are more likely to be serious cases, which would make sense since they are more likely to be symptomatic, otherwise why be tested?

        Am I alone in thinking there are probably a fair number of untested and unreported breakthrough cases?

        I don’t know where you get your number but 0.3% is likely the right number.

        People are in fact dying needlessly now in the US because they refuse vaccination. They listened to the wrong people, it’s is truly a shame.

        CopperC Offline
        CopperC Offline
        Copper
        wrote on last edited by
        #139

        @loki said in Vaccine Rollout:

        People are in fact dying needlessly now in the US because they refuse vaccination.

        Even more people are in fact dying needlessly now in the US because they are fat.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • L Loki

          @lufins-dad said in Vaccine Rollout:

          @axtremus said in Vaccine Rollout:

          https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/the-two-societies-97-of-new-covid-cases-are-among-people-who-havent-gotten-the-shots/

          Various states and counties are reporting that among new cases of COVID-19, over 97% are from the unvaccinated.

          “[Washington state] reported this past week that unvaccinated people between ages 45 and 64 are now being hospitalized for COVID at rates 21 times higher than the vaccinated.”

          So around 3% of reported cases are breakthrough cases. Is that statistically significant? I have to imagine that would be since we can guess that there are more cases that are not being reported since vaccinated individuals are being tested less and will probably be more likely to pass symptoms off as cold or allergies. Still, even if it's only 3% and the number holds nationally, that's 22000 breakthrough cases in the last month alone. Not 10,000 cases since January like the CDC tried to pass of last week...

          Beyond that, if new cases are 30 times higher for non-vaccinated, one would expect hospitalizations to be 30 times higher for non-vaccinated. The 21% number would tend to indicate that the confirmed breakthrough cases are more likely to be serious cases, which would make sense since they are more likely to be symptomatic, otherwise why be tested?

          Am I alone in thinking there are probably a fair number of untested and unreported breakthrough cases?

          I don’t know where you get your number but 0.3% is likely the right number.

          People are in fact dying needlessly now in the US because they refuse vaccination. They listened to the wrong people, it’s is truly a shame.

          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins Dad
          wrote on last edited by
          #140

          @loki said in Vaccine Rollout:

          @lufins-dad said in Vaccine Rollout:

          @axtremus said in Vaccine Rollout:

          https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/the-two-societies-97-of-new-covid-cases-are-among-people-who-havent-gotten-the-shots/

          Various states and counties are reporting that among new cases of COVID-19, over 97% are from the unvaccinated.

          “[Washington state] reported this past week that unvaccinated people between ages 45 and 64 are now being hospitalized for COVID at rates 21 times higher than the vaccinated.”

          So around 3% of reported cases are breakthrough cases. Is that statistically significant? I have to imagine that would be since we can guess that there are more cases that are not being reported since vaccinated individuals are being tested less and will probably be more likely to pass symptoms off as cold or allergies. Still, even if it's only 3% and the number holds nationally, that's 22000 breakthrough cases in the last month alone. Not 10,000 cases since January like the CDC tried to pass of last week...

          Beyond that, if new cases are 30 times higher for non-vaccinated, one would expect hospitalizations to be 30 times higher for non-vaccinated. The 21% number would tend to indicate that the confirmed breakthrough cases are more likely to be serious cases, which would make sense since they are more likely to be symptomatic, otherwise why be tested?

          Am I alone in thinking there are probably a fair number of untested and unreported breakthrough cases?

          I don’t know where you get your number but 0.3% is likely the right number.

          I suggest you read your own article.

          If 97% of cases are coming from people that haven’t gotten”the shot” as the headline proclaims, then the remainder have. It’s pretty simple math. You described the “super spreader event” among vaccinated people, yourself.

          The Brad

          1 Reply Last reply
          • George KG George K

            https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/bidens-heralded-vaccine-goal-just-one-day-ahead-of-trumps-criticized-plan

            Despite White House chest-thumping and media praise for his plan to have enough vaccinations for all Americans by the end of last month, President Joe Biden’s goal was just a day better than former President Donald Trump’s plan and has followed the former administration’s script nearly exactly.

            That plan, which cut vaccination development and distribution from the normal 10 years to just 10 months, was a “great American success story of grit and innovation,” according to a new analysis of “Operation Warp Speed,” Trump’s gamble to shake up the process.

            In a new insider analysis, retired Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg, a former coronavirus task force member and national security adviser to task force chief former Vice President Mike Pence, said the Trump team cast aside doubts and missed opportunities by previous administrations to work with drug companies and distributors to speed COVID-19 vaccines.

            Trump, Kellogg told Secrets, "knew he had a serious issue going on, but he didn't want to project panic or concern. You want to project confidence going forward, and he did that."

            The analysis, provided to Secrets today, said Operation Warp Speed helped to save $2.4 trillion from the costs of typical vaccine development and got shots into arms by Jan. 11, just one year after the World Health Organization identified the disease originated in China.

            “OWS shattered the status quo. Its impact can only be fully understood when viewed in the context of where the country and the medical community were in terms of vaccine development and pandemic planning when COVID-19 struck,” said the report, produced by the pro-Trump America First Policy Institute and co-written by Kellogg, who heads the institute’s Center for American Security.

            The 25-page report does not directly criticize previous administrations and their lack of preparation for a worldwide pandemic, nor mention critics of Trump’s vaccine plan, such as Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
            #141

            @george-k said in Vaccine Rollout:

            https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/bidens-heralded-vaccine-goal-just-one-day-ahead-of-trumps-criticized-plan

            Despite White House chest-thumping and media praise for his plan to have enough vaccinations for all Americans by the end of last month, President Joe Biden’s goal was just a day better than former President Donald Trump’s plan and has followed the former administration’s script nearly exactly.

            That plan, which cut vaccination development and distribution from the normal 10 years to just 10 months, was a “great American success story of grit and innovation,” according to a new analysis of “Operation Warp Speed,” Trump’s gamble to shake up the process.

            In a new insider analysis, retired Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg, a former coronavirus task force member and national security adviser to task force chief former Vice President Mike Pence, said the Trump team cast aside doubts and missed opportunities by previous administrations to work with drug companies and distributors to speed COVID-19 vaccines.

            Trump, Kellogg told Secrets, "knew he had a serious issue going on, but he didn't want to project panic or concern. You want to project confidence going forward, and he did that."

            The analysis, provided to Secrets today, said Operation Warp Speed helped to save $2.4 trillion from the costs of typical vaccine development and got shots into arms by Jan. 11, just one year after the World Health Organization identified the disease originated in China.

            “OWS shattered the status quo. Its impact can only be fully understood when viewed in the context of where the country and the medical community were in terms of vaccine development and pandemic planning when COVID-19 struck,” said the report, produced by the pro-Trump America First Policy Institute and co-written by Kellogg, who heads the institute’s Center for American Security.

            The 25-page report does not directly criticize previous administrations and their lack of preparation for a worldwide pandemic, nor mention critics of Trump’s vaccine plan, such as Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

            tl;dr: Former Trump adviser gives Trump credit for entire rollout.

            In January Biden’s 100MM shots in 100 days plan was criticized for being precisely the same as Trumps. Then the administration accelerated it and crushed that goal. Now they want to say the accelerated plan was Trumps too? Seems like if that were true the messaging in January would have been different, no?

            Only non-witches get due process.

            • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
            1 Reply Last reply
            • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

              @axtremus said in Vaccine Rollout:

              https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/the-two-societies-97-of-new-covid-cases-are-among-people-who-havent-gotten-the-shots/

              Various states and counties are reporting that among new cases of COVID-19, over 97% are from the unvaccinated.

              “[Washington state] reported this past week that unvaccinated people between ages 45 and 64 are now being hospitalized for COVID at rates 21 times higher than the vaccinated.”

              So around 3% of reported cases are breakthrough cases. Is that statistically significant? I have to imagine that would be since we can guess that there are more cases that are not being reported since vaccinated individuals are being tested less and will probably be more likely to pass symptoms off as cold or allergies. Still, even if it's only 3% and the number holds nationally, that's 22000 breakthrough cases in the last month alone. Not 10,000 cases since January like the CDC tried to pass of last week...

              Beyond that, if new cases are 30 times higher for non-vaccinated, one would expect hospitalizations to be 30 times higher for non-vaccinated. The 21% number would tend to indicate that the confirmed breakthrough cases are more likely to be serious cases, which would make sense since they are more likely to be symptomatic, otherwise why be tested?

              Am I alone in thinking there are probably a fair number of untested and unreported breakthrough cases?

              AxtremusA Offline
              AxtremusA Offline
              Axtremus
              wrote on last edited by
              #142

              @lufins-dad said in Vaccine Rollout:

              @axtremus said in Vaccine Rollout:

              https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/the-two-societies-97-of-new-covid-cases-are-among-people-who-havent-gotten-the-shots/

              Various states and counties are reporting that among new cases of COVID-19, over 97% are from the unvaccinated.

              “[Washington state] reported this past week that unvaccinated people between ages 45 and 64 are now being hospitalized for COVID at rates 21 times higher than the vaccinated.”

              So around 3% of reported cases are breakthrough cases. Is that statistically significant? I have to imagine that would be since we can guess that there are more cases that are not being reported since vaccinated individuals are being tested less and will probably be more likely to pass symptoms off as cold or allergies. Still, even if it's only 3% and the number holds nationally, that's 22000 breakthrough cases in the last month alone. Not 10,000 cases since January like the CDC tried to pass of last week...

              Beyond that, if new cases are 30 times higher for non-vaccinated, one would expect hospitalizations to be 30 times higher for non-vaccinated. The 21% number would tend to indicate that the confirmed breakthrough cases are more likely to be serious cases, which would make sense since they are more likely to be symptomatic, otherwise why be tested?

              Am I alone in thinking there are probably a fair number of untested and unreported breakthrough cases?

              Your understanding of the part about the unvaccinated patients of COVID-19 being "21 times more likely to be hospitalized" than the their vaccinated cohort may be at fault.

              It does not mean there are 21 times more unvaccinated patients of COVID-19 being hospitalized than vaccinated COVID-19 patients. It means that the fraction of unvaccinated COVID-19 patients being hospitalized is 21 times higher than the fraction of vaccinated COVID-19 patients being hospitalized.

              It does not mean that, for every one vaccinated COVID-19 patient hospitalized there are 21 unvaccinated COVID-19 patients being hospitalized. It means that, if there are 1 patient out of 100 vaccinated COVID-19 patients get hospitalized, then there are 21 patients out of 100 unvaccinated COVID-19 patients get hospitalized.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • AxtremusA Offline
                AxtremusA Offline
                Axtremus
                wrote on last edited by
                #143

                https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/biden-vaccine-donate/2021/06/09/c2744674-c934-11eb-93fa-9053a95eb9f2_story.html

                Biden administration to buy 500 million Pfizer coronavirus vaccine doses to donate to the world

                “… The first 200 million doses will be distributed this year, with the subsequent 300 million shared in the first half of next year. The doses will be distributed by Covax, the World Health Organization-backed initiative to share doses around the globe, and they will be targeted at low- and middle-income countries. Pfizer is selling the doses to the U.S. at a “not-for-profit” price, according to the people familiar with the deal, …”

                HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                • AxtremusA Axtremus

                  https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/biden-vaccine-donate/2021/06/09/c2744674-c934-11eb-93fa-9053a95eb9f2_story.html

                  Biden administration to buy 500 million Pfizer coronavirus vaccine doses to donate to the world

                  “… The first 200 million doses will be distributed this year, with the subsequent 300 million shared in the first half of next year. The doses will be distributed by Covax, the World Health Organization-backed initiative to share doses around the globe, and they will be targeted at low- and middle-income countries. Pfizer is selling the doses to the U.S. at a “not-for-profit” price, according to the people familiar with the deal, …”

                  HoraceH Online
                  HoraceH Online
                  Horace
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #144

                  @axtremus said in Vaccine Rollout:

                  Biden administration to buy 500 million Pfizer coronavirus vaccine doses to donate to the world

                  Gosh I hate to split hairs, but the taxpayers are buying those doses. Taxpayers and our future generations servicing the debt.

                  You're welcome, world.

                  Education is extremely important.

                  George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                  • HoraceH Horace

                    @axtremus said in Vaccine Rollout:

                    Biden administration to buy 500 million Pfizer coronavirus vaccine doses to donate to the world

                    Gosh I hate to split hairs, but the taxpayers are buying those doses. Taxpayers and our future generations servicing the debt.

                    You're welcome, world.

                    George KG Offline
                    George KG Offline
                    George K
                    wrote on last edited by George K
                    #145

                    @horace said in Vaccine Rollout:

                    the taxpayers are buying those doses

                    Wonder what that half-a-billion doses cost.

                    Pfizer is selling the doses to the United States at a “not-for-profit” price, according to the people familiar with the deal, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to share details that were not yet public.

                    "Not-for-profit" ≠ "free."

                    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • X Offline
                      X Offline
                      xenon
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #146

                      Agreed on the taxpayer part. But, this is one bill I’m happy to pay.

                      taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                      • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor PhibesD Offline
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #147

                        I'd happily not receive any more government stimulus checks if it pays for this.

                        I was only joking

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • CopperC Offline
                          CopperC Offline
                          Copper
                          wrote on last edited by Copper
                          #148

                          $15 - $20 cost per dose

                          500,000,000 x $16 (low end estimate) = $8,000,000,000

                          $8,000,000,000 / 141,000,000 US taxpayers

                          = about $56 each

                          LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                          • CopperC Copper

                            $15 - $20 cost per dose

                            500,000,000 x $16 (low end estimate) = $8,000,000,000

                            $8,000,000,000 / 141,000,000 US taxpayers

                            = about $56 each

                            LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins DadL Offline
                            LuFins Dad
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #149

                            @copper said in Vaccine Rollout:

                            $15 - $20 cost per dose

                            500,000,000 x $16 (low end estimate) = $8,000,000,000

                            $8,000,000,000 / 141,000,000 US taxpayers

                            = about $56 each

                            No, you and I are paying for 4-5 each... Soros and Bezos are pulling their resources for 1 shot...

                            The Brad

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • AxtremusA Offline
                              AxtremusA Offline
                              Axtremus
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #150

                              https://abcnews.go.com/Health/cities-reached-bidens-70-vaccination-goal/story?id=78195531

                              List of US cities that have crossed the 70% vaccination mark.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • JollyJ Offline
                                JollyJ Offline
                                Jolly
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #151

                                High death tolls are good motivation.

                                Would be interesting to take a look at vaccination rates by race. At least down here, it seems like the black community has a better vaccination rate, especially in urban areas.

                                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
                                • JollyJ Jolly

                                  High death tolls are good motivation.

                                  Would be interesting to take a look at vaccination rates by race. At least down here, it seems like the black community has a better vaccination rate, especially in urban areas.

                                  CopperC Offline
                                  CopperC Offline
                                  Copper
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #152

                                  @jolly said in Vaccine Rollout:

                                  the black community has a better vaccination rate

                                  Meaning higher?

                                  JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                                  • CopperC Copper

                                    @jolly said in Vaccine Rollout:

                                    the black community has a better vaccination rate

                                    Meaning higher?

                                    JollyJ Offline
                                    JollyJ Offline
                                    Jolly
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #153

                                    @copper said in Vaccine Rollout:

                                    @jolly said in Vaccine Rollout:

                                    the black community has a better vaccination rate

                                    Meaning higher?

                                    Yep. New Orleans got their attention, IMO.

                                    “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                    Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • X Offline
                                      X Offline
                                      xenon
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #154

                                      Almost all hospitalizations now are now for the unvaccinated.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • JollyJ Offline
                                        JollyJ Offline
                                        Jolly
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #155

                                        Don't know. Got a link?

                                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                        L 1 Reply Last reply
                                        • JollyJ Jolly

                                          Don't know. Got a link?

                                          L Offline
                                          L Offline
                                          Loki
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #156

                                          @jolly said in Vaccine Rollout:

                                          Don't know. Got a link?

                                          Over 99% actually. But I hear ivermectin is a miracle drug.

                                          https://www.webmd.com/vaccines/covid-19-vaccine/news/20210513/over-_99-percent-hospitalized-2021-covid-patients-unvaccinated

                                          JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
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