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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Covid mortality risk calculator

Covid mortality risk calculator

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  • MikM Offline
    MikM Offline
    Mik
    wrote on last edited by
    #7

    I quit smoking in 1976 after 8 years, probably only 3 at a pack a day, so I put down no. It's been 44 years. Can't imagine it would be a factor.

    “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

    1 Reply Last reply
    • brendaB Offline
      brendaB Offline
      brenda
      wrote on last edited by
      #8

      I love this.

      First, I put in all the true info for myself, and got a multiplier of 0.40

      Second round, I added a year to my age, some extra comorbidities and ten more pounds, and got a multiplier of 0.36.

      Bring on the cookies, cuz they're obviously good for my health!

      1 Reply Last reply
      • LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins Dad
        wrote on last edited by
        #9

        Based on the information you have provided, the tool estimates that you have 0.15 (95% CI: 0.13 - 0.17 ) times the risk of dying from COVID-19 compared to the average risk for the US population.

        Scuse me while I go lick some door knobs.

        The Brad

        1 Reply Last reply
        • MikM Offline
          MikM Offline
          Mik
          wrote on last edited by
          #10

          You are either delirious or exceedingly brave to talk about licking knobs here.

          “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

          LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
          • MikM Mik

            You are either delirious or exceedingly brave to talk about licking knobs here.

            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on last edited by
            #11

            I tried again and just switched my race to African American. My risk factor tripled. Still in the green but that was interesting.

            I also wanted to try it again with my old rural PA zip code. I was curious to see if there was a difference with zip codes since they were asking. There was no difference which has me even more curious about why they were asking...

            The Brad

            1 Reply Last reply
            • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

              It's not just about mortality, it's also about other long term health factors.

              There's also no mention of the risk of giving it to others who are at higher risk, which is probably most people's main concern, or at least ought to be.

              HoraceH Online
              HoraceH Online
              Horace
              wrote on last edited by
              #12

              @doctor-phibes said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

              It's not just about mortality, it's also about other long term health factors.

              There's also no mention of the risk of giving it to others who are at higher risk, which is probably most people's main concern, or at least ought to be.

              Beyond wearing a mask and practicing social distancing, I’m not sure how the concern over infecting others is supposed to be addressed. Which is to say, for those who are high risk, they bear responsibility for drastically changing their lifestyles to avoid the disease. I think we have reached as much social consensus as we ever will that masks and social distancing are good.

              Education is extremely important.

              LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Horace

                @doctor-phibes said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                It's not just about mortality, it's also about other long term health factors.

                There's also no mention of the risk of giving it to others who are at higher risk, which is probably most people's main concern, or at least ought to be.

                Beyond wearing a mask and practicing social distancing, I’m not sure how the concern over infecting others is supposed to be addressed. Which is to say, for those who are high risk, they bear responsibility for drastically changing their lifestyles to avoid the disease. I think we have reached as much social consensus as we ever will that masks and social distancing are good.

                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins DadL Offline
                LuFins Dad
                wrote on last edited by
                #13

                @horace said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                @doctor-phibes said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                It's not just about mortality, it's also about other long term health factors.

                There's also no mention of the risk of giving it to others who are at higher risk, which is probably most people's main concern, or at least ought to be.

                Beyond wearing a mask and practicing social distancing, I’m not sure how the concern over infecting others is supposed to be addressed. Which is to say, for those who are high risk, they bear responsibility for drastically changing their lifestyles to avoid the disease. I think we have reached as much social consensus as we ever will that masks and social distancing are good.

                We are experiencing an extreme shift regarding personal responsibility vs social responsibility when it comes to health. When I was a 1st grader, friends I knew with a severe peanut allergy were homeschooled. By the time I was graduating high school, those kids were in public school, but all the food in the cafeteria was labeled whether it contained nuts. By the time Luke started attending school, the cafeterias just stopped serving any foods that contained nuts. By time he was in 6th grade, they stopped allowing packed lunches to contain any kind of nuts,. Last year (his Junior year) a kid was sent home from school because he had a peanut butter sandwich before coming to school and it was on his breath. The onus shifted from personal responsibility to social responsibility over a period of 30 years...

                The Brad

                jon-nycJ HoraceH 2 Replies Last reply
                • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                  @horace said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                  @doctor-phibes said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                  It's not just about mortality, it's also about other long term health factors.

                  There's also no mention of the risk of giving it to others who are at higher risk, which is probably most people's main concern, or at least ought to be.

                  Beyond wearing a mask and practicing social distancing, I’m not sure how the concern over infecting others is supposed to be addressed. Which is to say, for those who are high risk, they bear responsibility for drastically changing their lifestyles to avoid the disease. I think we have reached as much social consensus as we ever will that masks and social distancing are good.

                  We are experiencing an extreme shift regarding personal responsibility vs social responsibility when it comes to health. When I was a 1st grader, friends I knew with a severe peanut allergy were homeschooled. By the time I was graduating high school, those kids were in public school, but all the food in the cafeteria was labeled whether it contained nuts. By the time Luke started attending school, the cafeterias just stopped serving any foods that contained nuts. By time he was in 6th grade, they stopped allowing packed lunches to contain any kind of nuts,. Last year (his Junior year) a kid was sent home from school because he had a peanut butter sandwich before coming to school and it was on his breath. The onus shifted from personal responsibility to social responsibility over a period of 30 years...

                  jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nycJ Online
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #14

                  @lufins-dad

                  When I was in school I had never even heard of a nut allergy. They seem to have been discovered in the 80s.

                  "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                  -Cormac McCarthy

                  LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                  • CopperC Offline
                    CopperC Offline
                    Copper
                    wrote on last edited by Copper
                    #15

                    We found out about nut allergies when they almost killed my daughter sometime around 1990.

                    My wife had to teach the grade school teachers how to use an Epi Pen at the start of every school year. They had never heard about allergies and the EpiPens freaked half of them out.

                    I bet they all know about EpiPens now.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                      @horace said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                      @doctor-phibes said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                      It's not just about mortality, it's also about other long term health factors.

                      There's also no mention of the risk of giving it to others who are at higher risk, which is probably most people's main concern, or at least ought to be.

                      Beyond wearing a mask and practicing social distancing, I’m not sure how the concern over infecting others is supposed to be addressed. Which is to say, for those who are high risk, they bear responsibility for drastically changing their lifestyles to avoid the disease. I think we have reached as much social consensus as we ever will that masks and social distancing are good.

                      We are experiencing an extreme shift regarding personal responsibility vs social responsibility when it comes to health. When I was a 1st grader, friends I knew with a severe peanut allergy were homeschooled. By the time I was graduating high school, those kids were in public school, but all the food in the cafeteria was labeled whether it contained nuts. By the time Luke started attending school, the cafeterias just stopped serving any foods that contained nuts. By time he was in 6th grade, they stopped allowing packed lunches to contain any kind of nuts,. Last year (his Junior year) a kid was sent home from school because he had a peanut butter sandwich before coming to school and it was on his breath. The onus shifted from personal responsibility to social responsibility over a period of 30 years...

                      HoraceH Online
                      HoraceH Online
                      Horace
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #16

                      @lufins-dad said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                      @horace said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                      @doctor-phibes said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                      It's not just about mortality, it's also about other long term health factors.

                      There's also no mention of the risk of giving it to others who are at higher risk, which is probably most people's main concern, or at least ought to be.

                      Beyond wearing a mask and practicing social distancing, I’m not sure how the concern over infecting others is supposed to be addressed. Which is to say, for those who are high risk, they bear responsibility for drastically changing their lifestyles to avoid the disease. I think we have reached as much social consensus as we ever will that masks and social distancing are good.

                      We are experiencing an extreme shift regarding personal responsibility vs social responsibility when it comes to health. When I was a 1st grader, friends I knew with a severe peanut allergy were homeschooled. By the time I was graduating high school, those kids were in public school, but all the food in the cafeteria was labeled whether it contained nuts. By the time Luke started attending school, the cafeterias just stopped serving any foods that contained nuts. By time he was in 6th grade, they stopped allowing packed lunches to contain any kind of nuts,. Last year (his Junior year) a kid was sent home from school because he had a peanut butter sandwich before coming to school and it was on his breath. The onus shifted from personal responsibility to social responsibility over a period of 30 years...

                      Interesting point LD.

                      Education is extremely important.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                        @lufins-dad

                        When I was in school I had never even heard of a nut allergy. They seem to have been discovered in the 80s.

                        LuFins DadL Offline
                        LuFins DadL Offline
                        LuFins Dad
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #17

                        @jon-nyc said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                        @lufins-dad

                        When I was in school I had never even heard of a nut allergy. They seem to have been discovered in the 80s.

                        It seems to me like the number of occurrences seemed to explode in the late 80’s, but it was recognized well before then.

                        Still, I think A LOT more toddlers and older babies had it but it wasn’t recognized and wound up unfortunately being called SIDS...

                        The Brad

                        jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                        • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                          @jon-nyc said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                          @lufins-dad

                          When I was in school I had never even heard of a nut allergy. They seem to have been discovered in the 80s.

                          It seems to me like the number of occurrences seemed to explode in the late 80’s, but it was recognized well before then.

                          Still, I think A LOT more toddlers and older babies had it but it wasn’t recognized and wound up unfortunately being called SIDS...

                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #18

                          @lufins-dad

                          You think?

                          I thought SIDS was quiet unexplained deaths in cribs, usually overnight. Doesn't seem at all like an allergic reaction.

                          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                          -Cormac McCarthy

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                            It's not just about mortality, it's also about other long term health factors.

                            There's also no mention of the risk of giving it to others who are at higher risk, which is probably most people's main concern, or at least ought to be.

                            89th8 Offline
                            89th8 Offline
                            89th
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #19

                            @doctor-phibes said in Covid mortality risk calculator:

                            It's not just about mortality, it's also about other long term health factors.

                            There's also no mention of the risk of giving it to others who are at higher risk, which is probably most people's main concern, or at least ought to be.

                            Perfect reply.

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