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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Deflation coming next month

Deflation coming next month

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  • MikM Away
    MikM Away
    Mik
    wrote last edited by
    #2

    Why would that happen? Nice sentiment, but what are the mechanics, the market forces driving it?

    "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

    Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nyc
      wrote last edited by
      #3

      The typical cause of deflation is reduced aggregate demand from a recession but he doesn’t seem to be predicting that.

      If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • MikM Away
        MikM Away
        Mik
        wrote last edited by
        #4

        He doesn't seem to be predicting anything but blue skies, rainbows and unicorns.

        "You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." — Thomas Sowell

        1 Reply Last reply
        • MikM Mik

          Why would that happen? Nice sentiment, but what are the mechanics, the market forces driving it?

          Doctor PhibesD Online
          Doctor PhibesD Online
          Doctor Phibes
          wrote last edited by Doctor Phibes
          #5

          @Mik said in Deflation coming next month:

          Why would that happen? Nice sentiment, but what are the mechanics, the market forces driving it?

          More to the point, when has it ever happened?

          I was only joking

          1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nyc
            wrote last edited by
            #6

            We had one month of deflation at the beginning of the pandemic and for a couple of months during the financial crisis. Before that I think you have to go back to the Great Depression to see any sustained price deflation. I don't know of any episodes in US history that weren't associated with downturns, though it is possible theoretically to have deflation due to a supply shock or monetary tightening.

            If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

            Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
            • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

              We had one month of deflation at the beginning of the pandemic and for a couple of months during the financial crisis. Before that I think you have to go back to the Great Depression to see any sustained price deflation. I don't know of any episodes in US history that weren't associated with downturns, though it is possible theoretically to have deflation due to a supply shock or monetary tightening.

              Doctor PhibesD Online
              Doctor PhibesD Online
              Doctor Phibes
              wrote last edited by
              #7

              @jon-nyc said in Deflation coming next month:

              We had one month of deflation at the beginning of the pandemic and for a couple of months during the financial crisis. Before that I think you have to go back to the Great Depression to see any sustained price deflation. I don't know of any episodes in US history that weren't associated with downturns, though it is possible theoretically to have deflation due to a supply shock or monetary tightening.

              It's not the deflation I was questioning so much as it being coupled with economic recovery. Just how dumb does he think we are?

              I was only joking

              AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
              • jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nycJ Online
                jon-nyc
                wrote last edited by
                #8

                Maybe if drug prices drop 1500% it will average CPI below zero?

                If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                  @jon-nyc said in Deflation coming next month:

                  We had one month of deflation at the beginning of the pandemic and for a couple of months during the financial crisis. Before that I think you have to go back to the Great Depression to see any sustained price deflation. I don't know of any episodes in US history that weren't associated with downturns, though it is possible theoretically to have deflation due to a supply shock or monetary tightening.

                  It's not the deflation I was questioning so much as it being coupled with economic recovery. Just how dumb does he think we are?

                  AxtremusA Offline
                  AxtremusA Offline
                  Axtremus
                  wrote last edited by
                  #9

                  @Doctor-Phibes said in Deflation coming next month:

                  Just how dumb does he think we are?

                  You think he was talking to you?

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • kluursK Offline
                    kluursK Offline
                    kluurs
                    wrote last edited by
                    #10

                    What do we think of the Chinese efforts to move the world away from the dollar as a mode of exchange. One thing I read is an effort to do a quasi-gold backed yuan. They also seem to be making friends with more nations as a certain President seems to be moving away from them.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • 89th8 Offline
                      89th8 Offline
                      89th
                      wrote last edited by
                      #11

                      I know you all know but you all know Scott is just saying shit the President wants to hear right?

                      Doctor PhibesD 1 Reply Last reply
                      • 89th8 89th

                        I know you all know but you all know Scott is just saying shit the President wants to hear right?

                        Doctor PhibesD Online
                        Doctor PhibesD Online
                        Doctor Phibes
                        wrote last edited by
                        #12

                        @89th said in Deflation coming next month:

                        I know you all know but you all know Scott is just saying shit the President wants to hear right?

                        Just how dumb does he think Trump is?

                        I was only joking

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nycJ Online
                          jon-nyc
                          wrote last edited by
                          #13

                          New data released Friday showed inflation heated up in September to a pace not seen since January, according to the first dataset to be released during the government shutdown.
                          The September consumer price index showed prices rising at a 3 percent annual rate — up slightly from 2.9 percent in August and above April’s post-pandemic low of 2.3 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

                          If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • kluursK Offline
                            kluursK Offline
                            kluurs
                            wrote last edited by
                            #14

                            Social Security increase is supposed to be 2.8% for 2026.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nycJ Online
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote last edited by
                              #15

                              You’ll get quite the windfall when prices all go down heading into next year.

                              If you don't take it, it can only good happen.

                              1 Reply Last reply
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