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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Trumpenomics

Trumpenomics

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  • HoraceH Offline
    HoraceH Offline
    Horace
    wrote on last edited by
    #543

    Art Laffer, former Reagan economist, loves Trump, and thinks his first term was the best economically in presidential history. He believes term two will be even better. Because he believes these tariffs are 100% negotiating tactic. Put him in the camp of "it's too crazy for Trump to do this".

    That part is at 8:23.

    Link to video

    Education is extremely important.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

      @LuFins-Dad

      Bessent seems to be pushing him toward negotiations, Miller and Navarro for permanence.

      Today the White House retweeted and then deleted a tweet from Navarro saying they were here to stay.

      Seems like a battle is going on.

      https://www.politico.com/news/2025/04/07/trump-bessent-trade-deals-tariff-endgame-messaging-00277395

      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins DadL Offline
      LuFins Dad
      wrote on last edited by
      #544

      @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

      @LuFins-Dad

      Bessent seems to be pushing him toward negotiations, Miller and Navarro for permanence.

      Today the White House retweeted and then deleted a tweet from Navarro saying they were here to stay.

      Seems like a battle is going on.

      https://www.politico.com/news/2025/04/07/trump-bessent-trade-deals-tariff-endgame-messaging-00277395

      Elon and Navarro are going at it.

      The Brad

      1 Reply Last reply
      • LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins DadL Offline
        LuFins Dad
        wrote on last edited by
        #545

        Elon has been very quiet about the tariffs until the last few days.

        The Brad

        1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nycJ Online
          jon-nyc
          wrote on last edited by
          #546

          Yeah. Very quiet.

          Only non-witches get due process.

          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
          LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
          • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

            Yeah. Very quiet.

            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins DadL Offline
            LuFins Dad
            wrote on last edited by
            #547

            @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

            Yeah. Very quiet.

            But not so much the last two days. What happens as the split widens over tariffs?

            The Brad

            1 Reply Last reply
            • RenaudaR Offline
              RenaudaR Offline
              Renauda
              wrote on last edited by Renauda
              #548

              Musk has now called out Navarro as being “dumber than a sack of bricks”:

              https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdrgx4ky1xxo

              Sounds like the malice in wonderland theatrical hit of the first term may be on for an encore.

              Elbows up!

              1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Offline
                HoraceH Offline
                Horace
                wrote on last edited by
                #549

                Trump just posted about all of the "negotiations" he's doing with other countries. That is an easy off-ramp from the tariffs, if he chooses to take it.

                Education is extremely important.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • JollyJ Offline
                  JollyJ Offline
                  Jolly
                  wrote on last edited by Jolly
                  #550

                  Don't buy the bullshit.

                  Example: On supposedly Black Monday, CNN was running the stock tickers all day and telling us all how bad Trump had screwed up.

                  Today, the market is up a bit and a stock ticker is no longer scrolling across the bottom of the screen. The media is going to do everything it can to generate clicks through Trump doomporn.

                  I haven't been adding to my investments in awhile. I think today I start dollar averaging the Roth and will continue to do so for the next 18 months.

                  “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                  Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                  HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins Dad
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #551

                    Okay, so moving beyond the outright tariff policies, there has been a lot of talk about non-tariff trade barriers including currency manipulation. Is that accurate? And what are the other trade barriers they are alluding to?

                    And as a side note, Netanyahu is now saying he planes on eliminating the trade deficit between Israel and the US. Please explain to me how a nation of 10M can possibly equal the economic consumption of a nation of 350M? Especially when much of that trade is based on precious jewels, which the US has little industry in mining…

                    The Brad

                    HoraceH jon-nycJ 2 Replies Last reply
                    • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                      Okay, so moving beyond the outright tariff policies, there has been a lot of talk about non-tariff trade barriers including currency manipulation. Is that accurate? And what are the other trade barriers they are alluding to?

                      And as a side note, Netanyahu is now saying he planes on eliminating the trade deficit between Israel and the US. Please explain to me how a nation of 10M can possibly equal the economic consumption of a nation of 350M? Especially when much of that trade is based on precious jewels, which the US has little industry in mining…

                      HoraceH Offline
                      HoraceH Offline
                      Horace
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #552

                      @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                      Okay, so moving beyond the outright tariff policies, there has been a lot of talk about non-tariff trade barriers including currency manipulation. Is that accurate? And what are the other trade barriers they are alluding to?

                      I think they've pivoted to this because they can hand-wave "non-tariff barriers", but not tariffs, which are publicly known and unambiguous. The example of a non-tariff barrier I've heard them use is a VAT, or sales tax, in Europe, and I've heard that calling that a barrier is nonsense, because it applies to Europe's own domestic products too.

                      And as a side note, Netanyahu is now saying he planes on eliminating the trade deficit between Israel and the US. Please explain to me how a nation of 10M can possibly equal the economic consumption of a nation of 350M? Especially when much of that trade is based on precious jewels, which the US has little industry in mining…

                      I'm hoping "trade deficits" are computed per-capita. They still wouldn't be a bad thing per se, but at least they would be a reasonable thing to talk about.

                      Education is extremely important.

                      89th8 1 Reply Last reply
                      • JollyJ Jolly

                        Don't buy the bullshit.

                        Example: On supposedly Black Monday, CNN was running the stock tickers all day and telling us all how bad Trump had screwed up.

                        Today, the market is up a bit and a stock ticker is no longer scrolling across the bottom of the screen. The media is going to do everything it can to generate clicks through Trump doomporn.

                        I haven't been adding to my investments in awhile. I think today I start dollar averaging the Roth and will continue to do so for the next 18 months.

                        HoraceH Offline
                        HoraceH Offline
                        Horace
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #553

                        @Jolly said in Trumpenomics:

                        Don't buy the bullshit.

                        I don't think the damage done to the world economy by universal tariffs, is bullshit.

                        There is a case to be made that a more protectionist America is a more economically resilient America, so there is that, but the economic efficiency of tariff-free trading will be missed hugely, and everybody will feel it, if it goes.

                        Education is extremely important.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • 89th8 Offline
                          89th8 Offline
                          89th
                          wrote on last edited by 89th
                          #554

                          It was only the worst 3-day run for the S&P since the 1987 crash, and as CNN displayed the ticker, Fox removed their stock ticker for the first time to hide the news from granny in the nursing home.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • HoraceH Horace

                            @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                            Okay, so moving beyond the outright tariff policies, there has been a lot of talk about non-tariff trade barriers including currency manipulation. Is that accurate? And what are the other trade barriers they are alluding to?

                            I think they've pivoted to this because they can hand-wave "non-tariff barriers", but not tariffs, which are publicly known and unambiguous. The example of a non-tariff barrier I've heard them use is a VAT, or sales tax, in Europe, and I've heard that calling that a barrier is nonsense, because it applies to Europe's own domestic products too.

                            And as a side note, Netanyahu is now saying he planes on eliminating the trade deficit between Israel and the US. Please explain to me how a nation of 10M can possibly equal the economic consumption of a nation of 350M? Especially when much of that trade is based on precious jewels, which the US has little industry in mining…

                            I'm hoping "trade deficits" are computed per-capita. They still wouldn't be a bad thing per se, but at least they would be a reasonable thing to talk about.

                            89th8 Offline
                            89th8 Offline
                            89th
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #555

                            @Horace said in Trumpenomics:

                            And as a side note, Netanyahu is now saying he planes on eliminating the trade deficit between Israel and the US. Please explain to me how a nation of 10M can possibly equal the economic consumption of a nation of 350M? Especially when much of that trade is based on precious jewels, which the US has little industry in mining…

                            I'm hoping "trade deficits" are computed per-capita. They still wouldn't be a bad thing per se, but at least they would be a reasonable thing to talk about.

                            I'm a bit concerned there is a concern about trade deficits in the first place. They aren't inherently bad, and one could argue in the current environment, they're actually a good thing most of the time. We're also in a global economy...different countries produce different goods with respective efficiencies. Let USA focus on what we're good at, let China do what they're good at. Plus it promotes peace, to an extent, too.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                              Doctor PhibesD Offline
                              Doctor Phibes
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #556

                              The idea that trade deficits are inherently bad really is surprisingly stupid. Does Trump actually believe this?

                              I was only joking

                              RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                              • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                Okay, so moving beyond the outright tariff policies, there has been a lot of talk about non-tariff trade barriers including currency manipulation. Is that accurate? And what are the other trade barriers they are alluding to?

                                And as a side note, Netanyahu is now saying he planes on eliminating the trade deficit between Israel and the US. Please explain to me how a nation of 10M can possibly equal the economic consumption of a nation of 350M? Especially when much of that trade is based on precious jewels, which the US has little industry in mining…

                                jon-nycJ Online
                                jon-nycJ Online
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #557

                                @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                                And as a side note, Netanyahu is now saying he planes on eliminating the trade deficit between Israel and the US. Please explain to me how a nation of 10M can possibly equal the economic consumption of a nation of 350M? Especially when much of that trade is based on precious jewels, which the US has little industry in mining…

                                Buy more weapons.

                                Only non-witches get due process.

                                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                kluursK 1 Reply Last reply
                                • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

                                  The idea that trade deficits are inherently bad really is surprisingly stupid. Does Trump actually believe this?

                                  RenaudaR Offline
                                  RenaudaR Offline
                                  Renauda
                                  wrote on last edited by Renauda
                                  #558

                                  @Doctor-Phibes

                                  The idea that trade deficits are inherently bad really is surprisingly stupid. Does Trump actually believe this?

                                  Yes, I am convinced he actually does. He also equates purchasing something as a subsidy. He is quite thick headed that way.

                                  Elbows up!

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                                    LuFins DadL Offline
                                    LuFins Dad
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #559

                                    Broad swaths of Western PA, Eastern Ohio, and Michigan view trade deficits as the reason why they and their communities are riddled with drugs, overdoses, and rusted out husks of factories. They don’t blame their unions, which essentially drove the factories into bankruptcy, but instead blame the foreign manufacturers. Japanese steel, in particular. Trump feels beholden to those groups. They got him elected, after all.

                                    The Brad

                                    RenaudaR Doctor PhibesD 2 Replies Last reply
                                    • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                                      @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                                      And as a side note, Netanyahu is now saying he planes on eliminating the trade deficit between Israel and the US. Please explain to me how a nation of 10M can possibly equal the economic consumption of a nation of 350M? Especially when much of that trade is based on precious jewels, which the US has little industry in mining…

                                      Buy more weapons.

                                      kluursK Offline
                                      kluursK Offline
                                      kluurs
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #560

                                      @jon-nyc said in Trumpenomics:

                                      @LuFins-Dad said in Trumpenomics:

                                      And as a side note, Netanyahu is now saying he planes on eliminating the trade deficit between Israel and the US. Please explain to me how a nation of 10M can possibly equal the economic consumption of a nation of 350M? Especially when much of that trade is based on precious jewels, which the US has little industry in mining…

                                      Buy more weapons.

                                      We'll have to give them more money to do that - so perhaps, they should arrange to contribute more to Trump, his relative and of course, to member of congress and their families.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                                        Broad swaths of Western PA, Eastern Ohio, and Michigan view trade deficits as the reason why they and their communities are riddled with drugs, overdoses, and rusted out husks of factories. They don’t blame their unions, which essentially drove the factories into bankruptcy, but instead blame the foreign manufacturers. Japanese steel, in particular. Trump feels beholden to those groups. They got him elected, after all.

                                        RenaudaR Offline
                                        RenaudaR Offline
                                        Renauda
                                        wrote on last edited by Renauda
                                        #561

                                        @LuFins-Dad

                                        Broad swaths of Western PA, Eastern Ohio, and Michigan view trade deficits as the reason why they and their communities are riddled with drugs, overdoses, and rusted out husks of factories. They don’t blame their unions, which essentially drove the factories into bankruptcy, but instead blame the foreign manufacturers. Japanese steel, in particular. Trump feels beholden to those groups. They got him elected, after all.

                                        That very well may be the case, although I hope the angry proletarian rabble understands that it is just a matter of time before Trump will turn against their sacred cow labour unions. Cost of hourly US labour plus benefits is far too high for the Trump agenda (if there is indeed one) to even get off the ground.

                                        That may be the time you predicted to see Vance’s exit; either sidelined from the Emporer’s court or jettisoned altogether.

                                        Elbows up!

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ Online
                                          jon-nycJ Online
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #562

                                          He was elected. Trump can’t fire him.

                                          Only non-witches get due process.

                                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
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