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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. The Ukraine war thread

The Ukraine war thread

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  • RenaudaR Renauda

    @LuFins-Dad

    Let’s discuss the US’ and UK’s failure to live up to the security agreements made to Ukraine in the 90’s.

    Let’s not bother, because there really were none.

    The Budapest Memorandum merely stated that the US, UK and Russian Federation recognized the sovereignty of Ukraine and the integrity of its 1991 borders. The signatories furthermore gave Ukraine security assurances to Ukraine that in exchange for Ukraine handing over its Soviet era nuclear weapons arsenal it would receive technical aid and assistance from the US and UK to build a democratic polity based on a free market economy. The signatories furthermore pledged to provide all necessary technology and assistance for the remediation of the Chernobyl nuclear site.

    The key here is the term security assurances

    In the arcane world of diplospeak, security assurances are not at all security guarantees pledging the signatories to come to Ukraine’s aid in the event of attack by a third party. Likewise they do not represent in any way a mutual non aggression pact. Security assurances under the terms of Budapest Memorandum are merely non binding acceptance that the three remaining nuclear powers, the US, UK and Russia will continue to recognise Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity in the absence of the country maintaining its own nuclear deterrent capability. More importantly though, the assurances were also given in return for Ukraine’s signature to join the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty as a nonnuclear state. If you like, a bargaining chip to bring Ukraine on side - since Ukraine would retain its own technical capacity and know-how to produce its own nuclear weapons well into the future.

    At best the Memorandum suggested but did not promise, that the nuclear weapons Ukraine’s turns over to Russia will not be used against Ukraine (ha,ha, ha). In reality however it only meant that the signatories would give consideration to supplying Ukraine with the necessary conventional weapons it would need to maintain a defensive armed force from any third party aggressor.

    At the time this agreement was reached, Ukraine desperately wanted the Chernobyl site cleaned up as well a massive input of western credits and loans along with technical assistance from the West. Russia too wanted similar Western aid but it also wanted to be the sole nuclear power in the region. The US and the UK wanted Ukraine to become a signatory to the Non Proliferation Treaty as a non nuclear state. There was an optimism in West arising from the ill conceived belief of a peace dividend for Europe and the West that would result in liberal democracy throughout all former communist states. After all, that’s what free enterprise and open societies enevitably produce. It was therefore inconceivable at the time that autocratic Russian chauvinism and revanchist imperial aspirations would ever appear again. Life was at last a bed of roses.

    NB:
    Written on iPhone with a fat finger
    in one shot. Will not bother to proof read for corrections.

    LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins DadL Offline
    LuFins Dad
    wrote on last edited by
    #2649

    @Renauda TY, that does make me feel a little less horrible… It also paints the earlier Rubio speech from 2014 as hawkish hyperbole mostly delivered as political fodder going into midterm elections…

    The Brad

    1 Reply Last reply
    • JollyJ Offline
      JollyJ Offline
      Jolly
      wrote on last edited by Jolly
      #2650

      Let’s discuss the US’ and UK’s failure to live up to the security agreements made to Ukraine in the 90’s. The failure runs through 4 US administrations and several UK governments. What were the obligations and how can live up to them now? Or should we?

      We didn't live up them and we aren't going to live up to them. But we did place one piece of international Truth in the forevermore... NO sovereign nation will ever give up all of its nuclear weapons again. Not ever. Never.

      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

      jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
      • JollyJ Jolly

        Let’s discuss the US’ and UK’s failure to live up to the security agreements made to Ukraine in the 90’s. The failure runs through 4 US administrations and several UK governments. What were the obligations and how can live up to them now? Or should we?

        We didn't live up them and we aren't going to live up to them. But we did place one piece of international Truth in the forevermore... NO sovereign nation will ever give up all of its nuclear weapons again. Not ever. Never.

        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
        #2651

        @Jolly said in The Ukraine war thread:

        . Let’s discuss the US’ and UK’s failure to live up to the security agreements made to Ukraine in the 90’s.

        I think you missed one of the relevant parties.

        I agree with your last point, BTW.

        Only non-witches get due process.

        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
        1 Reply Last reply
        • RenaudaR Offline
          RenaudaR Offline
          Renauda
          wrote on last edited by Renauda
          #2652

          We didn't live up them and we aren't going to live up to them

          I believe I more than adequately pointed out already that there was nothing for you, the US, to live up to other than give consideration to supplying Ukraine with defensive conventional weaponry to act as a deterrent to third party aggression. That supply the US has been honouring albeit at times grudgingly. LD certainly understood my message.

          Perhaps it’s a reading comprehension disability on your part. Doubt it though, you just want to be heard.

          Elbows up!

          1 Reply Last reply
          • JollyJ Offline
            JollyJ Offline
            Jolly
            wrote on last edited by
            #2653

            Rubio speaks...

            https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2025/03/02/secretary_rubio_well_be_ready_to_re-engage_when_zelensky_is_ready_for_peace.html

            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

            1 Reply Last reply
            • RenaudaR Offline
              RenaudaR Offline
              Renauda
              wrote on last edited by Renauda
              #2654

              Here’s the current reality as described by the President of Finland this weekend. Finns know the Russians, know where Putin is determined to take this war and how the West must respond. They have first hand experience with the Kremlin and remember the hard lessons history has taught their nation:

              Alexander Stubb, President of Finland speaks:

              https://www.facebook.com/swedishveterans/videos/1029926085633089/?mibextid=rS40aB7S9Ucbxw6v

              Elbows up!

              89th8 1 Reply Last reply
              • B Offline
                B Offline
                blondie
                wrote on last edited by
                #2655

                I enjoyed watching that @Renauda . Thanks for posting this.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • MikM Offline
                  MikM Offline
                  Mik
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #2656

                  Good piece. It may be this was what Trump is after, but to precipitate it by threatening to be an unreliable partner is not diplomacy.

                  “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • 89th8 89th

                    Yup totally. And Zelenskyy asked Vance his thoughts on Putin’s repeated violations of previous diplomacy and cease fires to which Vance threw a tantrum about not saying thank you. Vance should’ve said something simple about how this time it’ll be different because we have a leader that will enforce security agreements. Even Trump during the meeting said he’s the toughest person in the world but that he doesn’t want for it to come to that.

                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                    taiwan_girl
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #2657

                    @89th said in The Ukraine war thread:

                    Vance threw a tantrum about not saying thank you

                    https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/28/politics/volodymyr-zelensky-thankful-us-fact-check/index.html

                    During a remarkably combative Oval Office meeting on Friday, both President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance told Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky that he was insufficiently thankful.

                    “You have to be thankful. You don’t have the cards,” Trump said, adding a bit later, “You gotta be more thankful.”

                    and

                    Here are 33 previous examples of Zelensky thanking or expressing gratitude toward the United States, its officials or its people for their support. This is not a comprehensive list. Notably, we did not review Zelensky’s many domestic remarks in Ukrainian.

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • JollyJ Offline
                      JollyJ Offline
                      Jolly
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #2658

                      Some people say if you watch the tape carefully, Zelensky called Vance a bitch. Not in English, of course...

                      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                      jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
                      • RenaudaR Offline
                        RenaudaR Offline
                        Renauda
                        wrote on last edited by Renauda
                        #2659

                        And so what if Zelenskyi did?

                        Baby Face deserved something much stronger like kurva or better yet, khuiya

                        Poor Baby Face, he and Trumpigula should have come to the meeting wearing clown noses.

                        Elbows up!

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • RenaudaR Offline
                          RenaudaR Offline
                          Renauda
                          wrote on last edited by Renauda
                          #2660

                          Dbl post

                          Elbows up!

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • Tom-KT Offline
                            Tom-KT Offline
                            Tom-K
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #2661

                            Link to video

                            Ryan McBeth. Short clip--listen to his last line, the best commentary on Trump ever.

                            JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                            • RenaudaR Offline
                              RenaudaR Offline
                              Renauda
                              wrote on last edited by Renauda
                              #2662

                              @Tom-K

                              That was a stellar close!
                              😂

                              Elbows up!

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • Tom-KT Tom-K

                                Link to video

                                Ryan McBeth. Short clip--listen to his last line, the best commentary on Trump ever.

                                JollyJ Offline
                                JollyJ Offline
                                Jolly
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #2663

                                @Tom-K said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                Link to video

                                Ryan McBeth. Short clip--listen to his last line, the best commentary on Trump ever.

                                I watch this guy's channel a good bit. Yes, his last comment is wicked. 😈

                                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • RenaudaR Renauda

                                  Here’s the current reality as described by the President of Finland this weekend. Finns know the Russians, know where Putin is determined to take this war and how the West must respond. They have first hand experience with the Kremlin and remember the hard lessons history has taught their nation:

                                  Alexander Stubb, President of Finland speaks:

                                  https://www.facebook.com/swedishveterans/videos/1029926085633089/?mibextid=rS40aB7S9Ucbxw6v

                                  89th8 Offline
                                  89th8 Offline
                                  89th
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #2664

                                  @Renauda said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                  Here’s the current reality as described by the President of Finland this weekend. Finns know the Russians, know where Putin is determined to take this war and how the West must respond. They have first hand experience with the Kremlin and remember the hard lessons history has taught their nation:

                                  Alexander Stubb, President of Finland speaks:

                                  https://www.facebook.com/swedishveterans/videos/1029926085633089/?mibextid=rS40aB7S9Ucbxw6v

                                  It's refreshing to hear such clarity and organized thought from a leader. Biden was a corpse and Trump is a headline-chaser.

                                  RenaudaR AxtremusA 2 Replies Last reply
                                  • 89th8 89th

                                    @Renauda said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                    Here’s the current reality as described by the President of Finland this weekend. Finns know the Russians, know where Putin is determined to take this war and how the West must respond. They have first hand experience with the Kremlin and remember the hard lessons history has taught their nation:

                                    Alexander Stubb, President of Finland speaks:

                                    https://www.facebook.com/swedishveterans/videos/1029926085633089/?mibextid=rS40aB7S9Ucbxw6v

                                    It's refreshing to hear such clarity and organized thought from a leader. Biden was a corpse and Trump is a headline-chaser.

                                    RenaudaR Offline
                                    RenaudaR Offline
                                    Renauda
                                    wrote on last edited by Renauda
                                    #2665

                                    @89th

                                    Indeed it is not only refreshing but reassuring to know that there
                                    is still one adult left in the room in the midst of chaos.

                                    Elbows up!

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • 89th8 89th

                                      @Renauda said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                      Here’s the current reality as described by the President of Finland this weekend. Finns know the Russians, know where Putin is determined to take this war and how the West must respond. They have first hand experience with the Kremlin and remember the hard lessons history has taught their nation:

                                      Alexander Stubb, President of Finland speaks:

                                      https://www.facebook.com/swedishveterans/videos/1029926085633089/?mibextid=rS40aB7S9Ucbxw6v

                                      It's refreshing to hear such clarity and organized thought from a leader. Biden was a corpse and Trump is a headline-chaser.

                                      AxtremusA Offline
                                      AxtremusA Offline
                                      Axtremus
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #2666

                                      @89th said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                      It's refreshing to hear such clarity and organized thought from a leader.

                                      Hillary could do it.
                                      Romney could do it.
                                      Mayor Pete could do it.

                                      RenaudaR JollyJ 2 Replies Last reply
                                      • AxtremusA Axtremus

                                        @89th said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                        It's refreshing to hear such clarity and organized thought from a leader.

                                        Hillary could do it.
                                        Romney could do it.
                                        Mayor Pete could do it.

                                        RenaudaR Offline
                                        RenaudaR Offline
                                        Renauda
                                        wrote on last edited by Renauda
                                        #2667

                                        @Axtremus

                                        Yes Romney could do it, as I’m sure Nikki Halley could as well.

                                        Hilary Clinton though, I have my serious doubts. Her term as Sect’y of State is part of the reason the world is where it’s at right now.

                                        Don’t know enough about the Mayor Pete chap to say ether way..

                                        Elbows up!

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • AxtremusA Axtremus

                                          @89th said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                          It's refreshing to hear such clarity and organized thought from a leader.

                                          Hillary could do it.
                                          Romney could do it.
                                          Mayor Pete could do it.

                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          JollyJ Offline
                                          Jolly
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #2668

                                          @Axtremus said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                          @89th said in The Ukraine war thread:

                                          It's refreshing to hear such clarity and organized thought from a leader.

                                          Hillary could do it.
                                          Romney could do it.
                                          Mayor Pete could do it.

                                          1. Lose?
                                          2. Lose?
                                          3. Lose?

                                          “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                                          Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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