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The New Coffee Room

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  2. General Discussion
  3. $500 million of bitcoin in a landfill

$500 million of bitcoin in a landfill

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  • jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nycJ Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by
    #2

    Yeah I’ve followed that over the years in Matt Levines column at Bloomberg.

    Only non-witches get due process.

    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
    1 Reply Last reply
    • 89th8 Offline
      89th8 Offline
      89th
      wrote on last edited by
      #3

      TLDR for others:

      • He mined 8,000 BTC about a decade ago
      • He threw out the hard drive a few months later
      • The city will not let him look for it in the landfill (would've been easier back then, is much harder now)
      • The city still won't let him
      1 Reply Last reply
      • KlausK Offline
        KlausK Offline
        Klaus
        wrote on last edited by
        #4

        I read estimates that about 1% of Bitcoin will be lost every year.

        I wonder what effect that reduction of the available Bitcoin will have on its utility as a currency.

        One mistake people often seem to make is that this is deflation, with all its negatives consequences, but deflation, as used today, measures how prices develop and not the total amount of money.

        There seems to be quite a bit of disagreement among economists about the implications of crypto currency burning.

        X 1 Reply Last reply
        • MikM Away
          MikM Away
          Mik
          wrote on last edited by Mik
          #5

          There was a segment on bitcoin on NPR the other day. I still follow the Buffett rule - if I don't understand the business I don't invest. There's nothing behind it - its only worth what people decide its worth.

          “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

          AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
          • MikM Mik

            There was a segment on bitcoin on NPR the other day. I still follow the Buffett rule - if I don't understand the business I don't invest. There's nothing behind it - its only worth what people decide its worth.

            AxtremusA Offline
            AxtremusA Offline
            Axtremus
            wrote on last edited by
            #6

            @mik said in $500 million of bitcoin in a landfill:

            There's nothing behind it - its only worth what people decide its worth.

            “Fiat currency.”

            IvorythumperI 1 Reply Last reply
            • AxtremusA Axtremus

              @mik said in $500 million of bitcoin in a landfill:

              There's nothing behind it - its only worth what people decide its worth.

              “Fiat currency.”

              IvorythumperI Offline
              IvorythumperI Offline
              Ivorythumper
              wrote on last edited by
              #7

              @axtremus said in $500 million of bitcoin in a landfill:

              @mik said in $500 million of bitcoin in a landfill:

              There's nothing behind it - its only worth what people decide its worth.

              “Fiat currency.”

              Fiat currency works as long as you governments that secure the common good. You don't even have that with cryptos.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • KlausK Klaus

                I read estimates that about 1% of Bitcoin will be lost every year.

                I wonder what effect that reduction of the available Bitcoin will have on its utility as a currency.

                One mistake people often seem to make is that this is deflation, with all its negatives consequences, but deflation, as used today, measures how prices develop and not the total amount of money.

                There seems to be quite a bit of disagreement among economists about the implications of crypto currency burning.

                X Offline
                X Offline
                xenon
                wrote on last edited by xenon
                #8

                @klaus said in $500 million of bitcoin in a landfill:

                I read estimates that about 1% of Bitcoin will be lost every year.

                I wonder what effect that reduction of the available Bitcoin will have on its utility as a currency.

                One mistake people often seem to make is that this is deflation, with all its negatives consequences, but deflation, as used today, measures how prices develop and not the total amount of money.

                There seems to be quite a bit of disagreement among economists about the implications of crypto currency burning.

                As more people buy into the system (assuming it keeps gaining traction) - the purchasing power of each satoshi/bitcoin keeps going up. So, in real terms the exchange rate between goods and other currency (USD) should keep tipping towards bitcoin.

                Bitcoin becomes something akin to a hard asset, like prime real estate - they won't be making any more of it, and assuming civilization keeps moving towards higher wealth levels things should continually get cheaper in bitcoin denominated terms.

                To your specific question - about the effect of lost or dormant bitcoins. The price is going to be set partly by the volume of active trading and transactions. That seems like a tougher question to answer - most coins are not actively traded today anyways. Bitcoin doesn't have anywhere near the velocity of cash.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor PhibesD Offline
                  Doctor Phibes
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #9

                  He made half a billion doing absolutely nothing useful, and then lost it doing absolutely nothing useful.

                  What a world.

                  I was only joking

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • 89th8 89th referenced this topic on
                  • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl referenced this topic on
                  • 89th8 Offline
                    89th8 Offline
                    89th
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #10

                    https://www.techspot.com/news/105839-man-narrows-landfill-search-771-million-bitcoin-hard.html

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • taiwan_girlT Offline
                      taiwan_girlT Offline
                      taiwan_girl
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #11

                      Howells' lawyers, who are working pro bono,

                      I would guess that he has offer to them some sort of % if the bitcoins are ever found.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nycJ Offline
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #12

                        I can’t help but think the main reason the town leaders won’t give him access is pure jealousy.

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

                          I can’t help but think the main reason the town leaders won’t give him access is pure jealousy.

                          HoraceH Offline
                          HoraceH Offline
                          Horace
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #13

                          @jon-nyc said in $500 million of bitcoin in a landfill:

                          I can’t help but think the main reason the town leaders won’t give him access is pure jealousy.

                          Then you must believe that they would let him look for a priceless family photo album. (No, that’s not a straw man, that is logical inference.)

                          Education is extremely important.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • markM Offline
                            markM Offline
                            mark
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #14

                            The town leaders should negotiate a "storage fee" or a "Possession is 9/10 of the law" fee.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • HoraceH Offline
                              HoraceH Offline
                              Horace
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #15

                              Whomever has legal possession of the landfill and all of its contents would be foolish not to look for it.

                              Education is extremely important.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • HoraceH Offline
                                HoraceH Offline
                                Horace
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #16

                                Bitcoin being what it is, what actually happens when someone discovers the hard drive is that the money gained from the sale of those coins comes out of the value of every other existing bit coin. So if you hold BTC, you are hoping these coins stay out of the supply. Not that it would make a big difference.

                                Education is extremely important.

                                HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
                                • HoraceH Horace

                                  Bitcoin being what it is, what actually happens when someone discovers the hard drive is that the money gained from the sale of those coins comes out of the value of every other existing bit coin. So if you hold BTC, you are hoping these coins stay out of the supply. Not that it would make a big difference.

                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  HoraceH Offline
                                  Horace
                                  wrote on last edited by Horace
                                  #17

                                  @Horace said in $500 million of bitcoin in a landfill:

                                  Bitcoin being what it is, what actually happens when someone discovers the hard drive is that the money gained from the sale of those coins comes out of the value of every other existing bit coin. So if you hold BTC, you are hoping these coins stay out of the supply. Not that it would make a big difference.

                                  Just looked it up, and BTC has a 2 trillion dollar market cap. So this haul would represent 1/2000th of the supply, but actually more than that because lots of bitcoin are known missing and never to be found. Not sure what % that currently is. Edit: 30% is the estimate for irretrievably lost bitcoin. Imagine how many people have a permanent hole in their soul because of the bitcoin they once had, but neglected and discarded, when it was trading for a few dollars.

                                  Education is extremely important.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • taiwan_girlT Offline
                                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                                    taiwan_girl
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #18

                                    A computer engineer who believes his Bitcoin hard drive worth nearly £600m is buried in a landfill is now considering buying the entire site to find it.

                                    and

                                    The council has since announced plans to close the tip in the 2025-26 financial year and turn the site into a solar farm on the land to power the council's new bin lorries.

                                    But Mr Howells, 39, has said he would be interested in purchasing the site instead in the hopes that he can finally locate his missing hard drive,

                                    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/bitcoin-landfill-james-howells-newport-b2695905.html

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