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The New Coffee Room

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  3. Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years

Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years

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  • HoraceH Horace

    @doctor-phibes said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

    @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

    @doctor-phibes said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

    I love the way when the market does well under a conservative, all the liberals say it's because of other things, and when the market does well under a liberal, all the conservatives say it's because of other things.

    It goes down, it goes up, it goes down, it goes up again.

    Yeah, yeah, I know, we're on the verge of catastrophe, we're always on the verge of freaking catastrophe. There comes a point when you need to stop listening to this bullshit.

    Personally, as long as my 401K is good in the medium to long term , I'm not going to worry about it.

    It would be nice to at least arrive at a point in the discussion where there is acknowledgment that policy affects the stock market, and that elections affect policy. But we can't even get that far here.

    So you get "liberal" Bill Clinton and his IT bubble, and you get "conservative" George W Bush, and his housing crisis-related crash, and then you get Obama's slow recovery, and then you get Trump's boom and then Covid-bust, and apparently Joe Biden's boom, and then you get a load of people coming out with all kinds of partisan stuff to try and explain away the difference between what should have happened in their perfect world, and what actually happened.

    I'm not entirely convinced that the stock market is the thing we should be focusing on when figuring out whether a president is successful or not.

    Yes there are a lot of variables. One of which, an important one, is policy, especially tax policy. No amount of digging one's heels into the notion that elections don't matter for the stock market, will change that.

    X Offline
    X Offline
    xenon
    wrote on last edited by
    #15

    @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

    Yes there are a lot of variables. One of which, an important one, is policy, especially tax policy. No amount of digging one's heels into the notion that elections don't matter for the stock market, will change that.

    It's not that it doesn't matter. As you said though - it's one variable among many.

    It'd be like talking about putting together a championship football team, and we keep talking about the kicker (The President).

    Sure - it matters to have a good kicker. But it's one small aspect.

    HoraceH 1 Reply Last reply
    • HoraceH Offline
      HoraceH Offline
      Horace
      wrote on last edited by
      #16

      As far as the definition of a successful president goes, that isn't the discussion. Heck, buried deep beneath the surface of many on the left, is the desire to see the stock market burn. That would be deemed a success by them. I'm not interested in anybody's value judgement of the stock market.

      Education is extremely important.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • X xenon

        @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

        Yes there are a lot of variables. One of which, an important one, is policy, especially tax policy. No amount of digging one's heels into the notion that elections don't matter for the stock market, will change that.

        It's not that it doesn't matter. As you said though - it's one variable among many.

        It'd be like talking about putting together a championship football team, and we keep talking about the kicker (The President).

        Sure - it matters to have a good kicker. But it's one small aspect.

        HoraceH Offline
        HoraceH Offline
        Horace
        wrote on last edited by
        #17

        @xenon said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

        @horace said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

        Yes there are a lot of variables. One of which, an important one, is policy, especially tax policy. No amount of digging one's heels into the notion that elections don't matter for the stock market, will change that.

        It's not that it doesn't matter. As you said though - it's one variable among many.

        It'd be like talking about putting together a championship football team, and we keep talking about the kicker (The President).

        Sure - it matters to have a good kicker. But it's one small aspect.

        Ok. That's an attempt to quantify the importance of a president to the stock market. Duly noted. I certainly agree that free market capitalism is a much more important player. Tax policy is like a weight of some size, be it small or large, tied to the ankles of every player on the field.

        Education is extremely important.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • AxtremusA Axtremus

          Thanks, @LuFins-Dad. If you are at liberty to talk about it ... are piano prices, digital and acoustic alike, undergoing inflation too?

          The acoustic ones sure use a lot of lumber and metal, and the digital ones use microchips, something that’s reported to be in short supply.

          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins DadL Offline
          LuFins Dad
          wrote on last edited by
          #18

          @axtremus said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

          Thanks, @LuFins-Dad. If you are at liberty to talk about it ... are piano prices, digital and acoustic alike, undergoing inflation too?

          The acoustic ones sure use a lot of lumber and metal, and the digital ones use microchips, something that’s reported to be in short supply.

          Let's just say that if you are considering buying a piano in the next few years, you may want to speed up the process.

          The Brad

          1 Reply Last reply
          • L Offline
            L Offline
            Loki
            wrote on last edited by
            #19

            Let’s say the stock market corrects by 30%? I’d say it’s enough of a risk based on Biden’s spending ask that folks here better keep some of their powder dry because they may be inadvertently proving the opposite of what is written here.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • MikM Offline
              MikM Offline
              Mik
              wrote on last edited by
              #20

              We need to let the economy cool down from all the funny money before dumping a bunch more in.

              “I am fond of pigs. Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals.” ~Winston S. Churchill

              1 Reply Last reply
              • L Offline
                L Offline
                Loki
                wrote on last edited by Loki
                #21

                You can’t find people to paint, build, renovate etc these days. There are not enough drivers for gas trucks.

                Inflation is here, big time. Look at the lack of “sale” prices on items and in your grocery store.

                We are in a bubble, costs are going way up. What it means for this year and when on the financial markets is anyone’s guess. It will all be obvious in retrospect.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • HoraceH Offline
                  HoraceH Offline
                  Horace
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #22

                  Stock prices rise with inflation, as LD pointed out.

                  Education is extremely important.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins DadL Offline
                    LuFins Dad
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #23

                    Inflation hurts bonds and savings more than anything else. Retirees are stuck with a pretty shitty choice right now.

                    The Brad

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • LuFins DadL Offline
                      LuFins DadL Offline
                      LuFins Dad
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #24

                      I don’t think we’ll see hyper-inflation, but 7-10%? Hell yeah....

                      The Brad

                      JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                      • LuFins DadL LuFins Dad

                        I don’t think we’ll see hyper-inflation, but 7-10%? Hell yeah....

                        JollyJ Offline
                        JollyJ Offline
                        Jolly
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #25

                        @lufins-dad said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                        I don’t think we’ll see hyper-inflation, but 7-10%? Hell yeah....

                        And, since everything is political, what does that do to Mr. Biden and his party?

                        “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                        Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

                        taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                        • JollyJ Jolly

                          @lufins-dad said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                          I don’t think we’ll see hyper-inflation, but 7-10%? Hell yeah....

                          And, since everything is political, what does that do to Mr. Biden and his party?

                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                          taiwan_girlT Offline
                          taiwan_girl
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #26

                          @jolly said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                          @lufins-dad said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                          I don’t think we’ll see hyper-inflation, but 7-10%? Hell yeah....

                          And, since everything is political, what does that do to Mr. Biden and his party?

                          If that happens, the Democrats will lose the President, Senate, and Representatives for sure.

                          JollyJ 1 Reply Last reply
                          • taiwan_girlT taiwan_girl

                            @jolly said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                            @lufins-dad said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                            I don’t think we’ll see hyper-inflation, but 7-10%? Hell yeah....

                            And, since everything is political, what does that do to Mr. Biden and his party?

                            If that happens, the Democrats will lose the President, Senate, and Representatives for sure.

                            JollyJ Offline
                            JollyJ Offline
                            Jolly
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #27

                            @taiwan_girl said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                            @jolly said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                            @lufins-dad said in Best Stock Market Since Election in 75 Years:

                            I don’t think we’ll see hyper-inflation, but 7-10%? Hell yeah....

                            And, since everything is political, what does that do to Mr. Biden and his party?

                            If that happens, the Democrats will lose the President, Senate, and Representatives for sure.

                            Actually, if you look at current inflation numbers, we are already experiencing double digit inflation.

                            “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                            Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

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