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The New Coffee Room

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  3. If at first you don't succeed....

If at first you don't succeed....

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  • George KG Offline
    George KG Offline
    George K
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Try, try, try again.

    I'm not sure if that's 3 "tries" or 4. Regardless, looks like SpaceX is out of "tries" either way.

    https://arstechnica.com/science/2021/03/spacex-loses-another-starship-prototype-as-landing-sequence-fails/

    All we really know for sure is that at 5 minutes and 47 seconds into the flight, one of Starship's three Raptor engines relit to begin the final landing sequence, and then the engine-bay camera cut out in SpaceX's webcast. Contact with the vehicle was lost, at least in terms of live video pictures. Shortly after this, pieces of the Starship vehicle began raining down on the launch site, and there were reports of a series of small explosions.

    It's always better when the craft returns in one piece, rather than "pieces raining down."

    Fortunately, as part of its iterative development program, SpaceX is building a Starship vehicle at a rate of every two to three weeks. So the next prototype—likely to be SN15 as the company skips ahead toward a more advanced version—may be ready to fly in several weeks. Still, SpaceX would have liked to have gotten this one back in one piece.

    "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

    The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • JollyJ Offline
      JollyJ Offline
      Jolly
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      Watched a documentary a few nights ago on the Saturn rocket program. Those guys with slide-rules were pretty sharp.

      Wonder what they could have done with computers?

      “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

      Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

      George KG 1 Reply Last reply
      • JollyJ Jolly

        Watched a documentary a few nights ago on the Saturn rocket program. Those guys with slide-rules were pretty sharp.

        Wonder what they could have done with computers?

        George KG Offline
        George KG Offline
        George K
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        @jolly said in If at first you don't succeed....:

        Those guys with slide-rules were pretty sharp.

        I mentioned that to one of my kids a while ago, and she said, "what's that."

        The best slide rules, iirc, were good to 4-digit accuracy.

        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

        1 Reply Last reply
        • CopperC Offline
          CopperC Offline
          Copper
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          I think in general they made sure they had larger margin for error back then. And of course they had more people to do double-checking. And very big budgets.

          taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
          • CopperC Copper

            I think in general they made sure they had larger margin for error back then. And of course they had more people to do double-checking. And very big budgets.

            taiwan_girlT Offline
            taiwan_girlT Offline
            taiwan_girl
            wrote on last edited by
            #5

            @copper said in If at first you don't succeed....:

            I think in general they made sure they had larger margin for error back then.

            I think this is true. I was talking to some engineering friends and they said the same thing. Before, 98% was good enough. Now, you need 99.5% or higher (for example)

            1 Reply Last reply
            • HoraceH Offline
              HoraceH Offline
              Horace
              wrote on last edited by
              #6

              America's space shuttle explosions betray a far larger error than had ever been calculated.

              Education is extremely important.

              RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Horace

                America's space shuttle explosions betray a far larger error than had ever been calculated.

                RenaudaR Offline
                RenaudaR Offline
                Renauda
                wrote on last edited by Renauda
                #7

                @horace said in If at first you don't succeed....:

                America's space shuttle explosions betray a far larger error than had ever been calculated.

                I highly recommend that you read Mike Mullane's memoir, Riding Rockets: The Outrageous Tales of a Space Shuttle Astronaut. Mike Mullane is a retired USAF Colonel and NASA astronaut who was a crew member aboard three Space Shuttle missions in the 1980s. I have had the pleasure on several occasions to meet with and sit down for dinner and drinks with Col. Mullane when our industry association engaged him as a guest speaker at a few of our technical symposia. He is highly critical of what he refers to as the normalization of deviance culture that characterized NASA in the lead up to the Challenger disaster and beyond.

                Here is Mike's website:

                https://mikemullane.com/product/stopping-normalization-of-deviance/

                8d12e99f-449e-4e82-9483-ad1530ed1011-image.png

                Elbows up!

                George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                • RenaudaR Renauda

                  @horace said in If at first you don't succeed....:

                  America's space shuttle explosions betray a far larger error than had ever been calculated.

                  I highly recommend that you read Mike Mullane's memoir, Riding Rockets: The Outrageous Tales of a Space Shuttle Astronaut. Mike Mullane is a retired USAF Colonel and NASA astronaut who was a crew member aboard three Space Shuttle missions in the 1980s. I have had the pleasure on several occasions to meet with and sit down for dinner and drinks with Col. Mullane when our industry association engaged him as a guest speaker at a few of our technical symposia. He is highly critical of what he refers to as the normalization of deviance culture that characterized NASA in the lead up to the Challenger disaster and beyond.

                  Here is Mike's website:

                  https://mikemullane.com/product/stopping-normalization-of-deviance/

                  8d12e99f-449e-4e82-9483-ad1530ed1011-image.png

                  George KG Offline
                  George KG Offline
                  George K
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  @renauda thanks for the recommendation!

                  I remember hearing of that book, but somehow, it slipped under my radar. Sounds like a good read.

                  I'll see if I can find it and put it in my queue!

                  "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                  The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                  RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                  • George KG George K

                    @renauda thanks for the recommendation!

                    I remember hearing of that book, but somehow, it slipped under my radar. Sounds like a good read.

                    I'll see if I can find it and put it in my queue!

                    RenaudaR Offline
                    RenaudaR Offline
                    Renauda
                    wrote on last edited by Renauda
                    #9

                    @george-k

                    It is a well written and engaging narrative. A page turner. It certainly makes you think twice or three times about cutting corners in doing your job for the sake of simply accomplishing a specific directive, goal or task.

                    Elbows up!

                    George KG 1 Reply Last reply
                    • RenaudaR Renauda

                      @george-k

                      It is a well written and engaging narrative. A page turner. It certainly makes you think twice or three times about cutting corners in doing your job for the sake of simply accomplishing a specific directive, goal or task.

                      George KG Offline
                      George KG Offline
                      George K
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #10

                      @renauda

                      The discovery of a grave near miss on the second shuttle mission was not communicated to key safety personnel ultimately resulting in the fatal Challenger mission 4-years later.

                      Wow...

                      "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                      The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                      RenaudaR 1 Reply Last reply
                      • George KG George K

                        @renauda

                        The discovery of a grave near miss on the second shuttle mission was not communicated to key safety personnel ultimately resulting in the fatal Challenger mission 4-years later.

                        Wow...

                        RenaudaR Offline
                        RenaudaR Offline
                        Renauda
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        @george-k

                        Mike Mullane's last shuttle mission was this one, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/STS-27

                        Elbows up!

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • George KG Offline
                          George KG Offline
                          George K
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          Ho.
                          Le.
                          Crap.

                          I had no idea of the damage that Atlantis sustained. Wow.

                          "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                          The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                          89th8 1 Reply Last reply
                          • CopperC Offline
                            CopperC Offline
                            Copper
                            wrote on last edited by Copper
                            #13

                            Then 2 years later Atlantis was delayed by a hydrogen leak and sustained hail damage, and more delay, while being rolled back for repair.

                            The pilot on that mission used to rent my plane at the flight school where I taught, small world. He later commanded the shuttle and the space station.

                            One of the other instructors at our school was a former commander of the Air Force Thunderbirds.

                            So we would have discussions about who was cooler. The Thunderbirds is about as cool as you can get, but the astronaut wins.

                            89th8 1 Reply Last reply
                            • George KG George K

                              Ho.
                              Le.
                              Crap.

                              I had no idea of the damage that Atlantis sustained. Wow.

                              89th8 Offline
                              89th8 Offline
                              89th
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              @george-k said in If at first you don't succeed....:

                              Ho.
                              Le.
                              Crap.

                              I had no idea of the damage that Atlantis sustained. Wow.

                              Same. Wow!

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • CopperC Copper

                                Then 2 years later Atlantis was delayed by a hydrogen leak and sustained hail damage, and more delay, while being rolled back for repair.

                                The pilot on that mission used to rent my plane at the flight school where I taught, small world. He later commanded the shuttle and the space station.

                                One of the other instructors at our school was a former commander of the Air Force Thunderbirds.

                                So we would have discussions about who was cooler. The Thunderbirds is about as cool as you can get, but the astronaut wins.

                                89th8 Offline
                                89th8 Offline
                                89th
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #15

                                @copper said in If at first you don't succeed....:

                                Then 2 years later Atlantis was delayed by a hydrogen leak and sustained hail damage, and more delay, while being rolled back for repair.

                                The pilot on that mission used to rent my plane at the flight school where I taught, small world. He later commanded the shuttle and the space station.

                                One of the other instructors at our school was a former commander of the Air Force Thunderbirds.

                                So we would have discussions about who was cooler. The Thunderbirds is about as cool as you can get, but the astronaut wins.

                                Hahaha awesome. And yes, small world!

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