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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. NYC is ground zero

NYC is ground zero

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • J Offline
    J Offline
    jon-nyc
    wrote on 17 May 2020, 02:03 last edited by
    #113

    Yeah!

    Keep in mind that’s a compound daily growth rate over 8 days. So not just capturing a bad day or two.

    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
    -Cormac McCarthy

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    • A Offline
      A Offline
      Aqua Letifer
      wrote on 17 May 2020, 02:34 last edited by
      #114

      Interesting to note Maryland's, considering that our stay-at-home order was lifted yesterday.

      Please love yourself.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • L LuFins Dad
        17 May 2020, 00:48

        We’re #1!

        C Offline
        C Offline
        Copper
        wrote on 17 May 2020, 02:41 last edited by
        #115

        @LuFins-Dad said in NYC is ground zero:

        We’re #1!

        Not according to the Virginia's government numbers

        Maybe they are for a different timeframe or a different method of counting

        But this chart shows a 7-day moving average of cases going consistently down since 5/1

        https://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/

        ![alt text](f30a0fcd-1b3e-4960-b685-a8a81d75518f-image.png image url)

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        • J Offline
          J Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote on 17 May 2020, 03:42 last edited by
          #116

          What conflict do you see between the 8 day CDGR as it relates to the other 19 states and the data you posted?

          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
          -Cormac McCarthy

          C 1 Reply Last reply 17 May 2020, 11:03
          • J jon-nyc
            17 May 2020, 03:42

            What conflict do you see between the 8 day CDGR as it relates to the other 19 states and the data you posted?

            C Offline
            C Offline
            Copper
            wrote on 17 May 2020, 11:03 last edited by
            #117

            @jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:

            What conflict do you see between the 8 day CDGR as it relates to the other 19 states and the data you posted?

            Positive vs negative growth rate

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            • J Offline
              J Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on 17 May 2020, 11:35 last edited by
              #118

              1st vs 2nd derivative. There’s no conflict.

              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
              -Cormac McCarthy

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              • C Offline
                C Offline
                Copper
                wrote on 17 May 2020, 13:01 last edited by
                #119

                positive = negative?

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                • J Offline
                  J Offline
                  jon-nyc
                  wrote on 17 May 2020, 13:17 last edited by jon-nyc
                  #120

                  No, the analogy is speed vs acceleration. My post pointed out that virginia is going faster than the other states. You pointed out that their speed is decreasing over time. 1st deriv (speed) positive, 2nd deriv (acceleration) negative.

                  "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                  -Cormac McCarthy

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                  • L Loki
                    6 Apr 2020, 11:58

                    IHME is back up. It says NY needs 5664 ventilators. Very different than Cuomo’s 30k

                    R Offline
                    R Offline
                    Riley
                    wrote on 17 May 2020, 21:22 last edited by
                    #121
                    This post is deleted!
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                    • J Offline
                      J Offline
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on 17 May 2020, 22:58 last edited by
                      #122

                      I'm going to update this weekly and do a bit more analysis. First of all it's a bit of a pain in the ass to do daily, secondly I think the weekly trends are more informative.

                      "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                      -Cormac McCarthy

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                      • George KG Offline
                        George KG Offline
                        George K
                        wrote on 10 Jul 2020, 12:55 last edited by
                        #123

                        "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                        The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

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                        • C Offline
                          C Offline
                          Copper
                          wrote on 10 Jul 2020, 14:32 last edited by
                          #124

                          Not very flat

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