NYC is ground zero
-
@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:
11: GA - 32,162
12: LA - 30,855
13: MD - 30,485
14: IN - 23,146
15: OH - 23,016
16: VA - 22,342
17: CO - 18,371
18: WA - 16,231
19: TN - 14,452
20: NC - 13.953The above are #s 11-20 from 8 days ago. Thought I'd check in again to see how the rankings have changed.
(Percentages are compound DAILY growth rates.)
11: GA - 37,161 - 1.8%
12: CT - 36,703 - 1.6% (was in top 10 last week)
13: LA - 34,117 - 1.3%
14: VA - 29,683 - 3.6%
15: OH - 27,474 - 2.2%
16: IN - 27,280 - 2.1%
17: CO - 21,232 - 1.8%
18: NC - 18,101 - 3.3%
19: WA - 17,951 - 1.3%
20: TN - 17,265 - 2.2%NC and VA are the two that climbed in rankings (and MD, which is in top 10 now), and you can see their growth is a full % point or more above the others.
wrote on 16 May 2020, 23:06 last edited by@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:
11: GA - 37,161 - 1.8%
12: CT - 36,703 - 1.6% (was in top 10 last week)
13: LA - 34,117 - 1.3%
14: VA - 29,683 - 3.6%
15: OH - 27,474 - 2.2%
16: IN - 27,280 - 2.1%
17: CO - 21,232 - 1.8%
18: NC - 18,101 - 3.3%
19: WA - 17,951 - 1.3%
20: TN - 17,265 - 2.2%Thought it would be interesting to see how the top 10 have grown over that same 8 day period.
NYS - 0.66%
NJ - 0.83%
IL - 2.9%
MA - 1.5%
CA - 2.5%
PA - 1.6%
MI - 1.1%
TX - 3.0%
FL - 1.7%
MD - 2.8% -
wrote on 16 May 2020, 23:08 last edited by
So here are the top 20 states (by number of cases) but sorted by growth rate:
-
wrote on 17 May 2020, 00:48 last edited by
We’re #1!
-
wrote on 17 May 2020, 02:03 last edited by
Yeah!
Keep in mind that’s a compound daily growth rate over 8 days. So not just capturing a bad day or two.
-
wrote on 17 May 2020, 02:34 last edited by
Interesting to note Maryland's, considering that our stay-at-home order was lifted yesterday.
-
We’re #1!
wrote on 17 May 2020, 02:41 last edited by@LuFins-Dad said in NYC is ground zero:
We’re #1!
Not according to the Virginia's government numbers
Maybe they are for a different timeframe or a different method of counting
But this chart shows a 7-day moving average of cases going consistently down since 5/1
https://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/
image url) -
wrote on 17 May 2020, 03:42 last edited by
What conflict do you see between the 8 day CDGR as it relates to the other 19 states and the data you posted?
-
What conflict do you see between the 8 day CDGR as it relates to the other 19 states and the data you posted?
wrote on 17 May 2020, 11:03 last edited by@jon-nyc said in NYC is ground zero:
What conflict do you see between the 8 day CDGR as it relates to the other 19 states and the data you posted?
Positive vs negative growth rate
-
wrote on 17 May 2020, 11:35 last edited by
1st vs 2nd derivative. There’s no conflict.
-
wrote on 17 May 2020, 13:01 last edited by
positive = negative?
-
wrote on 17 May 2020, 13:17 last edited by jon-nyc
No, the analogy is speed vs acceleration. My post pointed out that virginia is going faster than the other states. You pointed out that their speed is decreasing over time. 1st deriv (speed) positive, 2nd deriv (acceleration) negative.
-
wrote on 17 May 2020, 21:22 last edited byThis post is deleted!
-
wrote on 17 May 2020, 22:58 last edited by
I'm going to update this weekly and do a bit more analysis. First of all it's a bit of a pain in the ass to do daily, secondly I think the weekly trends are more informative.
-
wrote on 10 Jul 2020, 12:55 last edited by
-
wrote on 10 Jul 2020, 14:32 last edited by
Not very flat
