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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Seroprevalence for select countries

Seroprevalence for select countries

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  • jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
    -Cormac McCarthy

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    • taiwan_girlT Offline
      taiwan_girlT Offline
      taiwan_girl
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      If you go down the "hole" and see the original study from Univ of Oregon, Taiwan in not listed. 😠 LOL

      Thailand is listed and is specification = 0.018% infection 👍

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      • jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
        #3

        Interesting if you extrapolate from our 315k deaths at 12% you’d get ~2MM deaths at herd immunity (assuming 70% for that), which is pretty much what the Imperial College model said back in March.

        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
        -Cormac McCarthy

        L 1 Reply Last reply
        • jon-nycJ jon-nyc

          Interesting if you extrapolate from our 315k deaths at 12% you’d get ~2MM deaths at herd immunity (assuming 70% for that), which is pretty much what the Imperial College model said back in March.

          L Offline
          L Offline
          Loki
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          @jon-nyc said in Seroprevalence for select countries:

          Interesting if you extrapolate from our 315k deaths at 12% you’d get ~2MM deaths at herd immunity (assuming 70% for that), which is pretty much what the Imperial College model said back in March.

          Waiting on that vaccine is going to cause an extra million+ in deaths in the US alone? That’s someone’s dissertation on safety and the cost of it.

          jon-nycJ 1 Reply Last reply
          • L Loki

            @jon-nyc said in Seroprevalence for select countries:

            Interesting if you extrapolate from our 315k deaths at 12% you’d get ~2MM deaths at herd immunity (assuming 70% for that), which is pretty much what the Imperial College model said back in March.

            Waiting on that vaccine is going to cause an extra million+ in deaths in the US alone? That’s someone’s dissertation on safety and the cost of it.

            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nycJ Online
            jon-nyc
            wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
            #5

            @loki said in Seroprevalence for select countries:

            Waiting on that vaccine is going to cause an extra million+ in deaths in the US alone? That’s someone’s dissertation on safety and the cost of it.

            I think my post wasn't clear. I'm talking about the number of deaths we would have had sans vaccine, if it just ripped through the population until ~70% had become infected (70% a typical number thrown around for what it takes to reach herd immunity.

            With the vaccine we won't come anywhere near that.

            "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
            -Cormac McCarthy

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