Seroprevalence for select countries
-
wrote on 19 Dec 2020, 23:46 last edited by
-
wrote on 20 Dec 2020, 19:45 last edited by
If you go down the "hole" and see the original study from Univ of Oregon, Taiwan in not listed.
LOLThailand is listed and is specification = 0.018% infection
-
wrote on 20 Dec 2020, 22:33 last edited by jon-nyc
Interesting if you extrapolate from our 315k deaths at 12% you’d get ~2MM deaths at herd immunity (assuming 70% for that), which is pretty much what the Imperial College model said back in March.
-
Interesting if you extrapolate from our 315k deaths at 12% you’d get ~2MM deaths at herd immunity (assuming 70% for that), which is pretty much what the Imperial College model said back in March.
wrote on 20 Dec 2020, 22:55 last edited by@jon-nyc said in Seroprevalence for select countries:
Interesting if you extrapolate from our 315k deaths at 12% you’d get ~2MM deaths at herd immunity (assuming 70% for that), which is pretty much what the Imperial College model said back in March.
Waiting on that vaccine is going to cause an extra million+ in deaths in the US alone? That’s someone’s dissertation on safety and the cost of it.
-
@jon-nyc said in Seroprevalence for select countries:
Interesting if you extrapolate from our 315k deaths at 12% you’d get ~2MM deaths at herd immunity (assuming 70% for that), which is pretty much what the Imperial College model said back in March.
Waiting on that vaccine is going to cause an extra million+ in deaths in the US alone? That’s someone’s dissertation on safety and the cost of it.
wrote on 20 Dec 2020, 22:58 last edited by jon-nyc@loki said in Seroprevalence for select countries:
Waiting on that vaccine is going to cause an extra million+ in deaths in the US alone? That’s someone’s dissertation on safety and the cost of it.
I think my post wasn't clear. I'm talking about the number of deaths we would have had sans vaccine, if it just ripped through the population until ~70% had become infected (70% a typical number thrown around for what it takes to reach herd immunity.
With the vaccine we won't come anywhere near that.