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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Another look at excess deaths

Another look at excess deaths

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  • CopperC Offline
    CopperC Offline
    Copper
    wrote on last edited by
    #16

    This is why they took the article down.

    The article provided evidence that may be used to support the notion that we didn't have a lot of extra deaths due to covid.

    This notion must not be allowed to spread.

    Even if the statistics support it.

    Is that it?

    1 Reply Last reply
    • CopperC Copper

      I didn't verify this data

      It is from a comment on the page that originally showed the article and now points to a PDF version

      Here is the pdf: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1iO0K75EZAF8dkNDkDmM3L4zNNY0X-Xw5/view

      https://www.jhunewsletter.com/article/2020/11/a-closer-look-at-u-s-deaths-due-to-covid-19

      Consider the following figures- US Total deaths by year per CDC:

      2013: 2,596,993

      2014: 2,626,418

      2015: 2,712,630

      2016: 2,744,248

      2017: 2,813,503

      2018: 2,839,205

      2019: 2,855,000

      2020: as of 11/14 total deaths= 2,512,880

      At present the US is experiencing a 1.12% increase in overall mortality rates for 2020- not good- pandemicky numbers to be sure.

      However, last year, 2019, there was also a 1.12% increase. Did we miss a pandemic in 2019?

      But wait it’s even "scarier"- 2018 saw a 1.22% increase in mortality rates, 2017 saw a 1.24% increase, 2016 1.27% increase, 2015 1.27% increase, 2014 1.29% increase- all exceeding 2020’s increase in mortality rate- so does this mean we have had pandemics for the last 7 years?

      L Offline
      L Offline
      Loki
      wrote on last edited by
      #17

      @Copper said in Another look at excess deaths:

      I didn't verify this data

      It is from a comment on the page that originally showed the article and now points to a PDF version

      Here is the pdf: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1iO0K75EZAF8dkNDkDmM3L4zNNY0X-Xw5/view

      https://www.jhunewsletter.com/article/2020/11/a-closer-look-at-u-s-deaths-due-to-covid-19

      Consider the following figures- US Total deaths by year per CDC:

      2013: 2,596,993

      2014: 2,626,418

      2015: 2,712,630

      2016: 2,744,248

      2017: 2,813,503

      2018: 2,839,205

      2019: 2,855,000

      2020: as of 11/14 total deaths= 2,512,880

      At present the US is experiencing a 1.12% increase in overall mortality rates for 2020- not good- pandemicky numbers to be sure.

      However, last year, 2019, there was also a 1.12% increase. Did we miss a pandemic in 2019?

      But wait it’s even "scarier"- 2018 saw a 1.22% increase in mortality rates, 2017 saw a 1.24% increase, 2016 1.27% increase, 2015 1.27% increase, 2014 1.29% increase- all exceeding 2020’s increase in mortality rate- so does this mean we have had pandemics for the last 7 years?

      Assuming these are correct numbers somebody needs to explain them.

      1 Reply Last reply
      • Doctor PhibesD Online
        Doctor PhibesD Online
        Doctor Phibes
        wrote on last edited by
        #18

        The numbers I've seen from other countries certainly don't agree with these. I believe the UK is 15% above average. I don't really see why the US would be any different.

        I was only joking

        CopperC 1 Reply Last reply
        • Doctor PhibesD Doctor Phibes

          The numbers I've seen from other countries certainly don't agree with these. I believe the UK is 15% above average. I don't really see why the US would be any different.

          CopperC Offline
          CopperC Offline
          Copper
          wrote on last edited by
          #19

          @Doctor-Phibes said in Another look at excess deaths:

          The numbers I've seen from other countries certainly don't agree with these. I believe the UK is 15% above average. I don't really see why the US would be any different.

          https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/death-rate

          ![alt text](f92640dc-1468-423b-980e-f41504db6411-image.png image url)

          https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/GBR/united-kingdom/death-rate

          ![alt text](8397c9af-8dc4-49c2-b111-856bc8e073e1-image.png image url)

          1 Reply Last reply
          • George KG Offline
            George KG Offline
            George K
            wrote on last edited by
            #20

            The author of the pulled article responds to JHU's action:

            https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/authors-response-closer-look-us-deaths-due-covid-19-yanni-gu/?trackingId=xjBSM9QqTLC4ld5zUbNG0Q%3D%3D

            Today, on November 27th, The News-Letter officially posted their reason for retracting the article, stating inaccuracies in the analysis. I am frustrated at the explanation, and I think it is disrespectful to Dr. Briand’s hard work putting data together and doing an honest analysis. If her analysis was to be contradicted, then at least an equal-level analysis should be done to provide more data and thus a new conclusion. Dr. Briand and her work deserve such respect.

            I have attached the links for the article, The News-Letters’ explanation for taking down the article, and Dr. Genevieve Briand’s event recording down below. Please take a look to get the full message. Thank you very much for everyone’s interest in this matter, and I respect all opinions.

            Article "A Closer Look at U.S. Deaths due to COVID-19": https://web.archive.org/web/20201126163323/https://www.jhunewsletter.com/article/2020/11/a-closer-look-at-u-s-deaths-due-to-covid-19

            Editors' explanation for the retraction: https://www.jhunewsletter.com/article/2020/11/a-closer-look-at-u-s-deaths-due-to-covid-19

            Dr. Genevieve Briand's event video:

            Link to video

            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

            1 Reply Last reply
            • CopperC Offline
              CopperC Offline
              Copper
              wrote on last edited by
              #21

              Briand’s study should not be used exclusively in understanding the impact of COVID-19, but should be taken in context with the countless other data...

              Countless?

              Data that can't be counted?

              That's not very good data.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • HoraceH Offline
                HoraceH Offline
                Horace
                wrote on last edited by
                #22

                data are like assholes, everybody has one. No wait, that's opinions.

                Education is extremely important.

                1 Reply Last reply
                • KincaidK Offline
                  KincaidK Offline
                  Kincaid
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #23

                  I saw that article too and said, WTF?

                  Obviously, Dominion software is counting these deaths.

                  taiwan_girlT 1 Reply Last reply
                  • KincaidK Kincaid

                    I saw that article too and said, WTF?

                    Obviously, Dominion software is counting these deaths.

                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                    taiwan_girlT Offline
                    taiwan_girl
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #24

                    @Kincaid 🤣

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • kluursK Offline
                      kluursK Offline
                      kluurs
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #25

                      US deaths to top 3 million - most ever.

                      LuFins DadL 1 Reply Last reply
                      • kluursK kluurs

                        US deaths to top 3 million - most ever.

                        LuFins DadL Offline
                        LuFins DadL Offline
                        LuFins Dad
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #26

                        @kluurs said in Another look at excess deaths:

                        US deaths to top 3 million - most ever.

                        I’ve said it before, I want to see the numbers over 3 years, not one...

                        The Brad

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • CopperC Offline
                          CopperC Offline
                          Copper
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #27

                          This is the deadliest year in U.S. history, with deaths expected to top 3 million for the first time —

                          "expected to"

                          So these deaths haven't happened yet

                          due mainly to the coronavirus pandemic.

                          How do we know the cause of these "expected" deaths?

                          They haven't happened, they might not happen.

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