Calling the States
-
@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
@Larry said in Calling the States:
Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.
What are you watching to see VA to Trump?
Probably West-by-God.
-
@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
@Larry said in Calling the States:
Trump has picked up Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and virginia.
What are you watching to see VA to Trump?
I'm flipping around through all of them, so I can't remember which one.
-
-
This is from 538 liveblog.
-
Ok, I get VA now. They didn’t start with their absentee votes, they reported today’s results. They are about to dump the absentee votes now.
-
Ah, that explains it.
-
@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
This is from 538 liveblog.
You better believe there are two armies of lawyers driving to Philadelphia at this very moment.
-
It's already in the courts.
-
-
From James Lindsey:
"Looks like the Latino vote went for Trump, and the Latinx vote went for Biden"
-
Trafalgar’s numbers are looking on point across the board.
-
What are they?
They did FL well.
They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).
-
@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:
What are they?
They did FL well.
They only have a 75% accuracy rate in calling elections, which is why Nate rates them a C- (IIRC).
If Trump pulls this out, a lot of pollsters, including Nate, are going to look like idiots.
-
Nate isn't a pollster. He just builds models based on polls.
But people won't make that distinction and think he's an idiot anyway.
-
But my question stands -
Does Trafalgar really have the special sauce? Or do they lean Republican so if you only look at how they did during republican upsets they look prescient?
-
Don’t know... But their numbers matched in 16 and they seem to be matching up this time pretty well...
