Calling the States

[jon-nyc]

Interesting graphs showing how the margin has changed over time, for the 5 remaining states.

[bachophile]

Now Pennsylvania

If he takes all the outstanding states it’s over 306 electoral votes.

I guessed 330. Damn.

[Axtremus]

@bachophile said in Calling the States:

I guessed 330. Damn.

So you missed Florida. Like many professional pollsters. No need to beat yourself up over it.

[Axtremus]

The Decision Desk has called the entire election for Biden:

[jon-nyc]

By the way, Biden took the lead in PA without counting any votes that arrived post-November 3rd. Those have been segregated and not yet counted.

[Catseye3]

I forget which entity's calling of the winner makes it official.

From VOANews: "Many people assume the winner of the U.S. presidential contest is determined once the media calls the race and the losing candidate delivers a concession speech. But the truth is that formally declaring a presidential winner is a months-long process that won’t be completed until January.

"That process essentially involves Americans voting for electors, the electors voting for the president, and then Congress declaring the winner.

"There's Election Day, where those electors are elected; there's the date in December where the electors meet and then vote for president; and then there's the date in January where the Congress certifies that election.”

[jon-nyc]

I do think everybody here knows that.

But for all practical purposes....

[LuFins Dad]

Now comes the interesting part...Let’s see what the Republican legislatures do....

[jon-nyc]

You mean gerrymandering post census?

Or do you think they'll try to select rival electors?

[jon-nyc]

I think in terms of actual shenanigans it's far less likely given that Biden's victory is overdetermined.

[bachophile]

@Axtremus said in Calling the States:

@bachophile said in Calling the States:

I guessed 330. Damn.

So you missed Florida. Like many professional pollsters. No need to beat yourself up over it.

Got Florida right. Missed a few others.

And I actually wrote 329 as Jon mentioned in the other thread.

[Loki]

Biden won a couple of days ago. Let’s start talking about his promises and what his first year looks like.

The last two days are fake drama. Let’s look forward.

[jon-nyc]

Sorry buddy, you don't get to turn the page on our gloating that easily.

We get at least until Trump concedes. Then we'll return to our normal levels of obnoxiousness.

[Loki]

@jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

Sorry buddy, you don't get to turn the page on our gloating that easily.

We get at least until Trump concedes. Then we'll return to our normal levels of obnoxiousness.

You are gloating? Pyrrhic victory at best. Many people believe this is the ideal but formerly impossible outcome.

But you are right, gloat while you can.

[bachophile]

Interesting tweet
Native tribal lands vs voting in Arizona

Native vote is clearly Biden

[jon-nyc]

Trump is attracting all the immigrants!

[LuFins Dad]

Gloating over .027%...Nice....

[xenon]

@LuFins-Dad what was Hillary’s margin?

[89th]

@Jolly said in Calling the States:

@89th said in Calling the States:

Have to admit, I woke up this morning and the race is closer than I expected! Still don’t see Trump winning though. Odds don’t look good to get to 270 and there’s going to be a trickle in of mail in votes that will favor Biden overall.

Yep, your Biden landslide prediction stunk..

Did it?

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/biden-on-path-to-win-306-electoral-college-votes-same-as-trumps-landslide-victory-in-2016

“ Biden on path to win 306 Electoral College votes, same as Trump's 'landslide' victory in 2016”

[Copper]

If the recounts gave this election to Mr. Trump

And I don't think they will

Would that be as sweet as the victory over the evil Ms. Clinton?

Wow, tough question.

The delay and the apparent Biden victory would make it extra nice.

I guess it would be pretty sweet, but not as sweet as the victory over Ms. Clinton.