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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Calling the States

Calling the States

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved General Discussion
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  • jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nycJ Online
    jon-nyc
    wrote on last edited by
    #311

    Betting odds:

    NV: 91/9 Biden
    PA: 90/10 Biden
    GA: 87/13 Biden
    AZ: 65/35 Biden

    National: 91.2/8.4

    Only non-witches get due process.

    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
    1 Reply Last reply
    • jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nycJ Online
      jon-nyc
      wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
      #312

      The President and his campaign staff had falsely claimed throughout the day that their representatives were not allowed in the room. But their counsel admitted at the hearing, after questions from the court, that they had several representatives in the room.. In fact, they had at least 19 observers...

      Only non-witches get due process.

      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
      1 Reply Last reply
      • jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nycJ Online
        jon-nyc
        wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
        #313

        Georgia is going to be close. Biden should have it tip his way literally any minute now.

        But it will likely finish within 1/3 of a percent.

        Only non-witches get due process.

        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
        1 Reply Last reply
        • Doctor PhibesD Online
          Doctor PhibesD Online
          Doctor Phibes
          wrote on last edited by
          #314

          Trump lies more easily than anybody I can think of. I don't think he sees it as lying, he just says what he wants to be true, and he believes it is true. I suspect he's done it his whole life.

          I heard his speech earlier today, and he almost convinced me that he believed it. Clearly, it's a total load of bollocks.

          I was only joking

          1 Reply Last reply
          • taiwan_girlT Online
            taiwan_girlT Online
            taiwan_girl
            wrote on last edited by
            #315

            From 538

            "The contest for Arizona just got closer, but Biden still leads there. That’s the takeaway from Maricopa County’s approximately 75,000-vote report a moment ago. Trump won 56 percent of that batch to Biden’s 42 percent, which cut Biden’s statewide lead to 1.6 points, or about 46,000 votes. With perhaps another 200,000 votes outstanding from Maricopa — and at least a few from other counties in Arizona — Trump is not out of the race for the state’s 11 electoral votes yet."

            Sounds like voter fraud to me!!!! Stop the count!!!!

            1 Reply Last reply
            • kluursK Offline
              kluursK Offline
              kluurs
              wrote on last edited by kluurs
              #316

              It does suggest that Fox and AP were perhaps a bit premature in calling AZ for Biden.

              1 Reply Last reply
              • bachophileB Offline
                bachophileB Offline
                bachophile
                wrote on last edited by
                #317

                4DAE3360-B519-45B2-9C97-3B70CA95F530.jpeg

                When u lose support at Fox, that’s bad enough, but hey, looks like even the NY Post is abandoning the sinking ship

                1 Reply Last reply
                • bachophileB Offline
                  bachophileB Offline
                  bachophile
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #318

                  biden just passed trump in georgia

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nycJ Online
                    jon-nyc
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #319

                    Nice

                    Only non-witches get due process.

                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nycJ Online
                      jon-nyc
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #320

                      Glad I didn’t stay up for it

                      Only non-witches get due process.

                      • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nycJ Online
                        jon-nyc
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #321

                        Interesting graphs showing how the margin has changed over time, for the 5 remaining states.

                        DA1DE3C4-65D1-49CF-B5A9-868EB711ED3C.jpeg C8B8B722-5C3B-4D5D-B062-E85AB07BEF38.jpeg D1C4B7BE-89DE-440D-8D86-336BD08B4443.jpeg 0BA1587E-0AB5-4A05-B0BF-3A7D8E66E10D.jpeg EC9FD447-F501-4C6A-A8FD-9A91037D8D26.jpeg

                        Only non-witches get due process.

                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • bachophileB Offline
                          bachophileB Offline
                          bachophile
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #322

                          Now Pennsylvania

                          If he takes all the outstanding states it’s over 306 electoral votes.

                          I guessed 330. Damn.

                          AxtremusA 1 Reply Last reply
                          • bachophileB bachophile

                            Now Pennsylvania

                            If he takes all the outstanding states it’s over 306 electoral votes.

                            I guessed 330. Damn.

                            AxtremusA Offline
                            AxtremusA Offline
                            Axtremus
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #323

                            @bachophile said in Calling the States:

                            I guessed 330. Damn.

                            So you missed Florida. Like many professional pollsters. No need to beat yourself up over it.

                            bachophileB 1 Reply Last reply
                            • AxtremusA Offline
                              AxtremusA Offline
                              Axtremus
                              wrote on last edited by Axtremus
                              #324

                              The Decision Desk has called the entire election for Biden:

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • jon-nycJ Online
                                jon-nycJ Online
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #325

                                By the way, Biden took the lead in PA without counting any votes that arrived post-November 3rd. Those have been segregated and not yet counted.

                                Only non-witches get due process.

                                • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • Catseye3C Offline
                                  Catseye3C Offline
                                  Catseye3
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #326

                                  I forget which entity's calling of the winner makes it official.

                                  From VOANews: "Many people assume the winner of the U.S. presidential contest is determined once the media calls the race and the losing candidate delivers a concession speech. But the truth is that formally declaring a presidential winner is a months-long process that won’t be completed until January.

                                  "That process essentially involves Americans voting for electors, the electors voting for the president, and then Congress declaring the winner.

                                  "There's Election Day, where those electors are elected; there's the date in December where the electors meet and then vote for president; and then there's the date in January where the Congress certifies that election.”

                                  Success is measured by your discipline and inner peace. – Mike Ditka

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • jon-nycJ Online
                                    jon-nycJ Online
                                    jon-nyc
                                    wrote on last edited by jon-nyc
                                    #327

                                    I do think everybody here knows that.

                                    But for all practical purposes....

                                    alt text

                                    Only non-witches get due process.

                                    • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins DadL Offline
                                      LuFins Dad
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #328

                                      Now comes the interesting part...Let’s see what the Republican legislatures do....

                                      The Brad

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nycJ Online
                                        jon-nyc
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #329

                                        You mean gerrymandering post census?

                                        Or do you think they'll try to select rival electors?

                                        Only non-witches get due process.

                                        • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        • jon-nycJ Online
                                          jon-nycJ Online
                                          jon-nyc
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #330

                                          I think in terms of actual shenanigans it's far less likely given that Biden's victory is overdetermined.

                                          Only non-witches get due process.

                                          • Cotton Mather, Salem Massachusetts, 1692
                                          1 Reply Last reply
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