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The New Coffee Room

  1. TNCR
  2. General Discussion
  3. Calling the States

Calling the States

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  • K Offline
    K Offline
    Klaus
    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 18:54 last edited by
    #180

    If I understand correctly, Biden would be at exactly 270 if everything goes as it is currently projected.

    However, only 67% are counted in Nevada right now, and it's pretty close. Is there a realistic chance that Nevada could turn around and give Trump the necessary votes?

    1 Reply Last reply
    • J Offline
      J Offline
      jon-nyc
      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 18:58 last edited by
      #181

      It's possible, a little more so since Trump over-performed among Latinos.

      But that possibility doesn't seem to be animating the knowledgable election watchers. Even that GOP-leaning polling firm that called FL, MN, MI etc for Trump predicts a Biden win there.

      "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
      -Cormac McCarthy

      1 Reply Last reply
      • J Offline
        J Offline
        jon-nyc
        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 18:59 last edited by
        #182

        There's still a decent chance Biden could pull ahead in PA.

        Almost by definition the counties that take the longest to count are the populous ones, where Biden has commanding leads.

        "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
        -Cormac McCarthy

        1 Reply Last reply
        • J Offline
          J Offline
          jon-nyc
          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 19:00 last edited by
          #183

          The betting odds favor Biden in PA.

          Screen Shot 2020-11-04 at 1.59.59 PM.png

          https://www.electionbettingodds.com

          "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
          -Cormac McCarthy

          1 Reply Last reply
          • C Offline
            C Offline
            Copper
            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 19:03 last edited by
            #184

            Now we'll see which side planned ahead.

            Then we'll see how fast the other side can catch up.

            Will we get a concession speech before or after Thanksgiving?

            1 Reply Last reply
            • J Offline
              J Offline
              jon-nyc
              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 19:10 last edited by
              #185

              CNN called WI.

              A little anti-climactic since Stepien effectively called it 2 hrs ago.

              Screen Shot 2020-11-04 at 2.09.56 PM.png

              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
              -Cormac McCarthy

              1 Reply Last reply
              • X xenon
                4 Nov 2020, 18:29

                @LuFins-Dad I think you're underappreciating how much the new media landscape has broken the dominance of traditional media. (and this will continue to be the trend)

                It's the same thing that led to wokeness / mass protests without even a figurehead.

                J Offline
                J Offline
                Jolly
                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 19:18 last edited by
                #186

                @xenon said in Calling the States:

                @LuFins-Dad I think you're underappreciating how much the new media landscape has broken the dominance of traditional media. (and this will continue to be the trend)

                It's the same thing that led to wokeness / mass protests without even a figurehead.

                51% of Americans get their news online, 35% from tv, 9% from radio and 5% from print media. Many of those online are visiting sites such as NYT or CNN.

                If the vast majority of all types of media were biased against Trump (they were), how does this effect the vote? If Biden is elected, it is in large part due to media bias and Trump's personality. The media has helped elect a dementia patient as POTUS.

                But, there is a silver lining. A Biden presidency is going to be a disaster, if he follows through on his promises.

                “Cry havoc and let slip the DOGE of war!”

                Those who cheered as J-6 American prisoners were locked in solitary for 18 months without trial, now suddenly fight tooth and nail for foreign terrorists’ "due process". — Buck Sexton

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                • C Offline
                  C Offline
                  Copper
                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 19:26 last edited by
                  #187

                  The msm won't let Mr. Biden do anything wrong.

                  They can guarantee it.

                  He is all set.

                  And the Harris presidency is even more iron clad.

                  What racist misogynist will dare say a discouraging word?

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  • A Offline
                    A Offline
                    Axtremus
                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 19:29 last edited by
                    #188

                    Small town democracy. 🙂

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • L Offline
                      L Offline
                      LuFins Dad
                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 20:13 last edited by
                      #189

                      ABC just retracted their call for Arizona and put it back into toss/up.

                      The Brad

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • K Offline
                        K Offline
                        Klaus
                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 20:23 last edited by
                        #190

                        If this ends up 270:268, how likely would it be that one or a few faithless electors would appear?

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • D Online
                          D Online
                          Doctor Phibes
                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 20:27 last edited by
                          #191

                          American elections are like NASCAR (the alternative to motor racing) - the rules are tailored to guarantee the maximum amount of uncertainty so that it isn't until right at the end that some guy who doesn't appear to be quite all there is declared the ultimate victor.

                          I was only joking

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • G Offline
                            G Offline
                            George K
                            wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 20:34 last edited by
                            #192

                            "Now look here, you Baltic gas passer... " - Mik, 6/14/08

                            The saying, "Lite is just one damn thing after another," is a gross understatement. The damn things overlap.

                            J 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 20:57
                            • J Offline
                              J Offline
                              jon-nyc
                              wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 20:50 last edited by
                              #193

                              "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                              -Cormac McCarthy

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • G George K
                                4 Nov 2020, 20:34

                                J Offline
                                J Offline
                                jon-nyc
                                wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 20:57 last edited by jon-nyc 11 Apr 2020, 20:57
                                #194

                                @George-K said in Calling the States:

                                Alternative title: Team Trump calls Michigan for Biden.

                                "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                -Cormac McCarthy

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • L Offline
                                  L Offline
                                  LuFins Dad
                                  wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 21:00 last edited by
                                  #195

                                  Supposedly there are 500K ballots from a solid Trump area coming in.

                                  The Brad

                                  D 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 21:01
                                  • L LuFins Dad
                                    4 Nov 2020, 21:00

                                    Supposedly there are 500K ballots from a solid Trump area coming in.

                                    D Online
                                    D Online
                                    Doctor Phibes
                                    wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 21:01 last edited by Doctor Phibes 11 Apr 2020, 21:02
                                    #196

                                    @LuFins-Dad said in Calling the States:

                                    Supposedly there are 500K ballots from a solid Trump area coming in.

                                    Are they in the back of Giuliani's SUV by any chance?

                                    I was only joking

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • J Offline
                                      J Offline
                                      jon-nyc
                                      wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 21:07 last edited by
                                      #197

                                      "You never know what worse luck your bad luck has saved you from."
                                      -Cormac McCarthy

                                      L 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 21:13
                                      • J jon-nyc
                                        4 Nov 2020, 21:07

                                        L Offline
                                        L Offline
                                        LuFins Dad
                                        wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 21:13 last edited by
                                        #198

                                        @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                                        My understanding is they want PA to stop counting until the question of non-postmarked ballots and new ballot arrivals is resolved. Arizona is not adding new ballots, just still counting those they already received.

                                        The Brad

                                        X 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 21:18
                                        • L LuFins Dad
                                          4 Nov 2020, 21:13

                                          @jon-nyc said in Calling the States:

                                          My understanding is they want PA to stop counting until the question of non-postmarked ballots and new ballot arrivals is resolved. Arizona is not adding new ballots, just still counting those they already received.

                                          X Offline
                                          X Offline
                                          xenon
                                          wrote on 4 Nov 2020, 21:18 last edited by
                                          #199

                                          @LuFins-Dad Is that an issue that they've been dealing with? Non-postmarked ballots? How do they get to their destination without a postmark?

                                          A 1 Reply Last reply 4 Nov 2020, 21:25
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