Rasmussen predicts

[George K]

@LuFins-Dad PA just want's to be the Illinois from 1960!

[Larry]

Link to video

[Larry]

Link to video

[89th]

I’ve said it a million times. Trump has zero chance of winning this.

ZEEE

RO

[Jolly]

@89th said in Rasmussen predicts:

I’ve said it a million times. Trump has zero chance of winning this.

ZEEE

RO

Maybe.

Maybe not.

[LuFins Dad]

@89th said in Rasmussen predicts:

I’ve said it a million times. Trump has zero chance of winning this.

ZEEE

RO

According to 538, there’s 61% chance if Trump takes PA, and he has a solid shot right now...

[Larry]

@89th said in Rasmussen predicts:

I’ve said it a million times. Trump has zero chance of winning this.

ZEEE

RO

I know you have said it a million times. Say it a million times more, it still won't make you right.

[jon-nyc]

@LuFins-Dad said in Rasmussen predicts:

@89th said in Rasmussen predicts:

I’ve said it a million times. Trump has zero chance of winning this.

ZEEE

RO

According to 538, there’s 61% chance if Trump takes PA, and he has a solid shot right now...

How does 538 rate his chances overall?

[LuFins Dad]

@jon-nyc 10%, but that’s where it was when Biden was 6.8% up in PA, they don’t seem to have updated now that the lead has dropped to 2.5%.

[Axtremus]

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/pennsylvania/

That’s the Pennsylvania data underlying 538’s forecast.

Compare to the survey data presented by Real Clear Politics:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_biden-6861.html